dan11295

Obviously if Josephine forms now still we will still be ahead of 2005 pace wise. Next storm in 2005 was named on Aug. 24 (We know what storm that was). I agree we did have many short lived weak TS's so far. 2005 already had a Cat 5 (Emily) at this point. So ACE wide 2020 is behind 2005.

Was looking at pics from Cedar Rapids area, some significant structural damage from wind, vehicles blown over. Report from Marshalltown, IA of 100 cars with windows blown out.

I agree the this event was underwhelming ORH east in interior Mass pretty much but 50 mph gusts is what guidance was showing for this area. But that is fine with me. With still 3.5M customers without power on the eastern seaboard some people are going to be without it for a while. Certainly would not call this event a bust for New England as whole.

People have to remember some were expecting this to degenerate into a naked swirl off Florida and it turned into a Cat 1 NC landfall and a bit of a mess for the northeast corridor.

4 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

Holy smokes.....337k UI customers out....half a million plus out in CT....that’s oct 2011 territory inthink

337k is their total customers, that have 86k out. 300k statewide.

NY outages really started to spike in past 10 minutes. Still rising in NJ & PA (I am sure the excessive rainfall in PA hasn't helped them there).

Per PNS many 60-70 mph gusts in New Jersey, with some spot higher gusts. 

Stronger winds getting into NYC metro now. 650k out now in NJ . 1.5M out from NC north. 

405k out in New Jersey now. Numbers haven't jumped in New York yet.

Must be getting some strong winds in NJ, outages continuing to jump there, 272k out now.

Power outages in NJ jumped by another 65k in last 10 minutes.

Some heavy rains down in MD, 8"+ totals being reported now. 

First TOR warning in Mass.

30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That sure looks a tor on radar in northern New Haven county

Lots of tornado warnings ongoing, significant threat with Isaias. Appears some of these are not just your TC spinups either. multiple TOR's overnight with TDS on radar.

1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Looks like Josh had significant storm surge 

Seeing reports in main tropical thread also of significant surge

Sustained winds upped to 85 mph

SUMMARY OF 900 PM EDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.1N 78.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...135 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...29 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

2 minutes ago, PowderBeard said:

Funny talking with others about this system. Neighbors when out walking the dog and friends I saw at the grocery store all said some wind and rain tomorrow afternoon according to the news. Hopefully there are lots of surprises given how the last "Tropical Storm" went. 

Most "Tropical Storms" around here are ET-transitioning systems curving away from Cape Cod which give rain and really no wind to speak of. Even though this will not a strong storm at landfall down south, the track of Isaias combined with the jet enhancement at least make it a bit more interesting.

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

KeviShader

 

@KeviShader

· 11m

A buoy in the eye of #Isaias recently reported a pressure of ~991mb with 10m winds of 39kts, which roughly equates to a central pressure of 987mb. While recon should sample the storm in an hour, this gives us a rough idea on how strong the system currently is. #Hurricane

Show this thread

Buoy down to 989 now w/15kt wind. Also suggests 987 mb right now

I do say the radar presentation looks the best it has in a while, plus recon appears to show a pressure fall.

11 am NHC Discussion mentions baro enhancement keeping the storm from weakening too fast, even though the track actually shifted a tad west and is now basically entirely inland after landfall

Current westerly vertical wind shear of 20-25 kt is expected to 
decrease somewhat during the next 12 h and also become more 
southwesterly, which will be in better alignment with Isaias' 
forward motion vector. The decrease in the shear should result in 
less tilt to the cyclone, allowing Isaias to strengthen and regain 
hurricane status just before making landfall, and most of the 
intensity guidance shows a 60-65 kt system at that time. After 
landfall, Isaias is forecast to only slowly weaken due to 
interaction with an unusually strong winter-type jetstream that will 
be possessing winds of 100-120 kt. Expected strong baroclinic 
forcing will keep Isaias' circulation intact and also produce very 
strong wind gusts along the Mid-Atlantic states tomorrow. As a 
result, the gust factors at 24-48 h have been increased above the 
standard 20 percent in the Forecast/Advisory (TCMAT4). The cyclone 
is forecast to be absorbed by a larger extratropical low over Canada 
in 3-4 days.

3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

I still think this will shift east, probably right over Worcester, Nashua just west of 95 up in Maine. Will be some decent winds me thinks.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
 

E. CT/RI E+SE Mass gets some good gusty winds, particularly coastal areas but nothing too crazy IMHO.

How far East can this go? Is a miss to the SE still a real option? Then there is the issue of how strong. This storm is going to remain sheared and will probably be undergoing ET transition are our latitude.

Saw some limb damage in Stow driving into work this morning, couple side roads closed. Heard the thunder last night but missed the winds at home.

1 minute ago, Lava Rock said:

Fogged in. Did someone spout off and get the CV thread shut down?

It was time for it to go IMHO, it had outlived its usefulness.

when is the last time anyone on the Cape got this much snow so late?

Btw, Really ugly right now in SC, damaging TOR's ongoing. Rough night in GA and TN as well, energetic system for sure.