dan11295

5 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Italian hospitals are almost totally overrun every single year during flu season. There are many articles about it from previous years. Clearly some folks think mostly empty hospitals are the norm. No clue why they think that makes sense from a business perspective. Doctors and nurses get paid when they see patients. 

True, hospitals are designed to run in high as capacity as possible. empty beds mean no money.  part of was really hurting hospitals this year was everyone postponing their "elective" surgery (kind of a misnomer because in reality it just means any procedure not necessary to preserve life in the short term).Meant less money for the hospital and people with worse health issues because they delayed.

Anyways,. back to weather. Didn't mind the snow actually, even being so early.

Got about 3" here in Maynard. stuck to the trees nice, but not enough snow to cause tree damage/power issues.

30 minutes ago, Tom12309 said:

Ah, no.  People don't go to hospitals seasonally.   You really think people say hey it's fall, let's go to the ER?  Please.

 

What you need to look at are the ICU capacity numbers.  Places like Texas, not good.  You got a heart attack or something there, you're pretty much on your own.  Beds taken up by Covid patients.  Hey, but the economy. 

 

Yes they do, its called a flu season. Other health issues tend to be more prevalent in the winter as well. Of course per CDC flu hospitalizations don't start normally rising until December and we don't have 20k+ hospitalized with the flu through the entire year. Unless you are in El Paso, there is plenty of hospital capacity available. Texas is a big state

Seen some some preliminary damage estimates of ~$5 Billion., or comparable to Sally.

23 hours ago, BombsAway1288 said:

That is quite the spike over the last week.

Does this translate to mean that there is A LOT more people that actually have covid right now and don't necessarily know it being that actual new daily positive numbers are less than in April/May?

I saw a graph a few days ago that showed a similar spike from wastewater in Metro Boston. Sure enough MA numbers are up 50% in last 7 days.

32 minutes ago, UMB WX said:

lol at the models that had us down to a few hundred deaths a day in the fall.  AWT that was malarkey.

Early IHME models had no cases after early June...

7 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Staring down the barrel of 100k cases.  If it doesn't happen tomorrow, it will be by late next week.  

Last  four Fridays: 52k, 61k, 71k, 81k. Not quite a steep as slope as the summer spike. Big difference are we are already above the summer spike peak numbers now, it is much more spread out throughout the entire country, and we are heading toward winter which is more conductive to viral transmission due to more people gathering indoors, colder/drier air in general etc.

7 minutes ago, Prospero said:

I'm still waiting for Cameron's data to be displayed from Beta. I think they wait 30 days as Laura's did eventually show up and it was impressive. Beta's may be as well.

You mean Delta (I know easy to get Greek Letters mixed up)

6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Yep and a chance to set some more records.  Any idea when the latest is that a major made LF in the US?

 

Wilma was Oct 24. 1921 Tampa Bay Hurricane was Oct. 25

7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Thanks, I didn't know about the licensing issue!  Is only certain equipment allowed to display very high wind speeds?  (Sounds like a money issue.)

 

I know it's a Weatherflow thing mostly (maybe some other sites have similar deals). Basically selling access to the data. Wundergound stations don't have this restriction for example.

1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Treatment at the beginning of the pandemic was terrible, deaths are declining while cases increase. The virus is not nearly as deadly as once thought. Regeneron helps reduce viral load in patients. 

https://www.biospace.com/article/covid-19-by-the-numbers-mortality-rates-in-u-s-decrease-despite-uptick-in-cases/

https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/regeneron-says-its-covid-19-antibody-treatment-cut-medical-visits-n1245197

The most recent data (from the week ending October 10) showed excess deaths only 0 and 2.9 percent higher than historic data.

A look at the data shows that excess deaths peaked the week ending April 11, with 35.6% to 40.6% more deaths than usual, then began a downward trajectory through June 20, when the incidence of COVID-19 rose in Sunbelt states after declining in the North and Northeast.

While this is certainly true compared to March and April. From about mid-summer on the calculated CFR using a 3 week time lag between cases and deaths has been steady at 1.5-1.8%. Worth noting that right now we are about 3 weeks after cases really started to rise again.

1 hour ago, Amped said:

Didn't even make headlines with all the election stuff.  There's a decent amount of damage.

From some preliminary reports sounds like there was a fair amount of damage in the MS Gulf Coast, Bay St. Louis-Gulfport. I know there were multiple reports of 100+ gusts in those areas, plus the surge. Fairly large power outage event throughout the Southeast also. 2.4M customers out from LA-NC

Appears most of New Orleans metro avoid the strongest winds thankfully with strongest winds east of the center. Am guessing you may see more damage from parts of MS Gulf coast than N.O. proper.

1.5M Customers without power now from Louisiana to Georgia.

EDIT: now 1.8M outages rising rapidly in N Georgia, although cant find any ASOS gusts  over 45-50 last hour in GA.

The overall core structure is holding together very well, baro forcing at work for sure.

74 MPH gust in Mobile last hour. That is stronger than anything they saw from Sally, lol

1 minute ago, gymengineer said:

Both Waveland and Gulfport MS gusting over 90 mph— not something many would have predicted this morning. 

I figured SW MS would gettting some strong winds being in the SE quad, especially once it intensified. With the fast movement this is going to be a fairly significant inland wind event as well ( as has been talked about).

12 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Weather channel showed a drone flying during the eye, power on and downtown looked fine, the high winds were very short duration

Short duration will limit damage in New Orleans proper for sure.

West side of N.O. will probably have minimal damage due to asymmetric nature of Zeta. 

Just now, Amped said:

It also  got onshore fast and didn't build up hours of suspense.   I like watching  storm chases that just cut to the chase.

This was a lot different than watching Sally move 2 mph for a day.

New Orleans hasn't seen its strongest winds yet. looks like new band formed in eyewall just SW of the city.

Three landfalling Cat 2+ hurricanes in Louisiana this year. Two with Greek names! Plus two 12 miles apart in landfall location.

Strongest winds are on the East/SE side right? They (N.O.) should miss the strongest winds I think. Places like Belle Chasse i think get whacked pretty good i think,

Just now, cptcatz said:

Is that normal?  I haven't been tracking hurricanes long but it seems like every hurricane this year had an open/weak south side as it moved north onto the gulf shore.

Its fairly common, but not always true. Laura didn't have a weak south side.

I am sure they will look at Zeta in post analysis for potential upgrade. As said, makes no difference as to the current impacts. Many people are going to get a lot more than they were expecting wind wise.