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dan11295

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Everything posted by dan11295

  1. dan11295
    Latest track is better for Bermuda, Atlantic Canada certainly has to watch this though. Potential for significant impacts to Newfoundland and even eastern Nova Scotia
  2. dan11295
    Fiona being in a very good upper air environment has certainly helped in maintaining intensity. Also I think the core stayed just far enough away from the higher mountains in the central portion of Hispaniola
  3. dan11295
    Looking at the NWS Data & Hazards Viewer. 6 Collection stations have 2-day totals of 20"+. Three are over 24". Heavy rains are continuing in these areas as well.
  4. dan11295
    Biggest concern after Fiona re-emerges is going to be Bermuda (core still looks to stay east of the Turks & Caicos). Fortunately, Bermuda has strong building codes, but if they get the eastern eye wall of a strong Cat 3 there will still be significant damage. Btw, they have never been hit directly by a Cat 4 and due to heat content limitations it would probably take close to a perfect atmospheric setup for that to happen.
  5. dan11295
    One minor piece of good news is central/eastern PR finally has a break in the rainfall over the past hour. Unfortunately they are not done with the rain yet with more heavy bands to go through.
  6. dan11295
    What was your biggest storm last winter?
  7. dan11295
    Seeing 3 WU PWS reports of 7.2-7.8" in the Smithfield RI area. Also a couple 7.3-7.5" further west as well.
  8. dan11295
    Current estimate is ~5" in your area. So i would knock 20% off those radar estimates
  9. dan11295
    Digital storm totals might be a tad overdone, PWS i am seeing have 4.5-4.7" where 5-5.5" are estimated currently. Of course it depends on PWS accuracy/siting etc. Regardless, current trends on radar are problematic for this corridor.
  10. dan11295
    Not in Cranston, but farther to your west going toward Foster there are multiple stations with 4.2-4.7". There is a sharp cutoff to the heaviest totals in your area.
  11. dan11295
    That Foster-Cranston/PVD corridor had gotten hammered last 2 hours. 4-5+ widespread in that corridor now.
  12. dan11295
    Ground truth at the radar estimates so far are pretty accurate.
  13. dan11295
    3km NAM is certainly looking better than 12k NAM atm, even if location and QPF of jackpot areas will be off on the 3k. You are getting these quick cells that drop 3-4" in spots then weaken and move on. If you get any training then you might have problems, otherwise stuff has time to run off it seems so far.
  14. dan11295
    Hilarious how we are talking about bumps west like it's a winter storm
  15. dan11295
    So last 6 days at KBOS 98 95 97 98 98 98+ pretty impressive
  16. dan11295
    When doesn't it?
  17. dan11295
    FYI the 8.62" they have had so far today would rank as the #5 Wettest JULY on record.
  18. dan11295
    No snow?
  19. dan11295
    the Logan number looks pretty good. seeing 15-16" reports in SE Mass. The airport is almost in the heaviest banding right now.
  20. dan11295
    100k outages in MA now. A lot in southern in southern Bristol-PYM counties.
  21. dan11295
    28k out now in PYM County and Cape Cod. Given that we havent gotten to peak winds yet will def have issues in those areas for sure.
  22. dan11295
    Winds have really picked up here in the past hour. Fair amount of blowing/drifting even with only a couple inches. Difficult to measure as others are said.
  23. dan11295
    power outages starting to creep up 7k now. Going to be an issue in areas with wetter snow as mentioned before.
  24. dan11295
    1.2" here at 7 am. Echos here were really light until the past hour.
  25. dan11295
    Getting into some decent rates here as that NW RI band works northeastward. Probably only couple inches on the ground here (will measure shortly).
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