It's happened before that everyone is playing catch-up. It's tough right now...do you trust the trends and forecast accumulations county wide? Could just as easily bump back the 20 miles and current forecasts are fine. Should be interesting!
The low doesn't necessarily look more north to me on the 12Z GFS, but it looks like it expanded the moderate/heavy precip about 20-30 miles north. Just keep making small moves, won't take a lot more now!
Pretty big jump northwest on the Canadian. Maybe the Euro can make a small move in that direction. Not sure we are out of the game yet for Jan 03 at least for the SE crew.
Yeah, the GFS randomly threw in some rain well northwest which is wrong. Overall compared to 6Z it really didn’t change much. I was hoping for at least a little nudge northwest.
Smashing the refresh button on the GFS for a 1-3” “event“, hoping the NAM is on to something. Happy start of the season everyone! Here’s to the NAM and plenty of snow!!
For the record (and before the GFS runs) I do think this comes north a bit. We’ve seen it too many times inside of 60 hours that we get a north trend. I’d rather be rooting for that than trending towards a flatter solution. And in this case the NAM will have led the way!