moneypitmike
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Posts posted by moneypitmike
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1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:
At this rate I may never need to install. Lol Euro and EPS
My pool is getting opened in the 1st. I guess itll be a while vefore anyone goes in.
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16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:
Look forward to the wet period later this week. I don't buy the euro, but it has interior SNE snow...lol.
meh.
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On Fri Apr 14 2017 at 7:41 AM, Damage In Tolland said:
Doesn't seem overly wet . Scattered showers mid week. Euro has less than 1" thru day 10
You better fire up your drought thread.
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I think one of the reasons totals are reduced out here is poor snow growth not just qpf issues. Baking powder, I just shoveled and it's surprisingly heavy.
How much did you measure, Chris?
It's predominately qpf, though. That said, we're now hiavng the best snow of the storm--at least since 5:00a.m. If it keeps up a while this could get us over the hump to reach advisory level.
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Yeah I am sorry it didn't work out for you down there.
It is what it is.
FWIW, BOX has updated it's snowfall forecast map for what is likely the last time. I don't know what they're thinking with the amounts they're showing out here. My ZFP is also calling for 12-16". A quick look out the window and at the radar makes me shake my head.
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This is a case where it was too much modelology instead of "looking out the window" last night so forecasters held on too long for the areas that busted..
I was worried going to bed last night, the radar returns hitting a wall as they headed up here were tell-tale of a bust. Mets and others saying not to worry since it's really not going to be firing up until 06z gave me hope.
At least I can now make it from Thanksgiving until probably February without using my snowblower.
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This is an utter failure in GC. I don't know if we'll achieve advisory level snow. At least its breezy so the couple inches that came down can blow around a little. If it weren't so funny to bust so drastically, I'd really be bummed. I'll probably get more Thursday night/Friday than I get from this.
This winter has diminished to a D- at this point out here. Sucky, sucky, sucky. When can I open the pool?
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Many a classic snowstorms for SNE involve the Messenger east trend posts. No idea why it happens, but it happens often enough. Always a tick east, tick east, tick east. Wouldn't be a snowstorm without your analysis.
LOL--Messenger's 'in-storm' pbp freaks me out everytime. I become convinced I'll only get flurries.
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Euro looks fine to me. Look at 5h and 7h on mesoanalysis. Once that closes off they will do very well. It also looks to be as if Eastern Mass is going to get absolutely shellacked judging by downstream radar.
Upstream radar. No one gives a sh*t about downstream radar.
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The meltdowns would be epic. I wouldn't cheer that on, but I would find a way to take sick pleasure out of that.
I would be laughing so hard--the continuation of the 2014-15 winter.
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Today is toss the model day, If it does not show your max BY total toss it, I look at all of then and i end up with the same 1.25-1.50"+.......................
You, ftw.
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The band on LI into NYC is OES/convergence zone..It really wasn't part of the storm
How the heck does NYC get OES on a NE wind? LIS ain't gonna cut it.
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Some of us have remained unperturbed today by the paranoid talk of WNE being screwed etc.
LOL--I love that icon.
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Nice W. MA has moaned their way to the 24-36 range and meanwhile I get subsidence and only 18 inches
it was really little more than some whimpering.
Let's see how it plays out.
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When I look at the models quickly vs 21/22z....I think and this was a very fast glance...that the Euro was still too far west and probably too slow with the systems movement. The next hour is really critical as everything comes together, but I'd have liked to see that striated band of precip east of ACY actually right on the coast to confirm the Euro and some others western edge.
JMHO.... looking at the radar the orientation of the developing bands etc - I mean at least right now they appear to be originating outward from a center that is a bit SE. Maybe it hooks up and in over the next few hours, don't know beats me.
I'm seeing something very different. But, I'm not as well-versed in this.
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Interesting new BOX map
An 18z NAM rip and read.
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GFS qpf totals will bring frowns to lots of faces. Still a decent storm.
Ride the EC.
snowing lightly at the Pit.
16.4/6
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Long duration right into 18z wednesday up here on some of the models
Spin and churn, baby.
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Think most of us get paranoid right before the event when a sucker hole is likely. It's one thing to have a storm whiff one way or another...but when everyone around you gets nailed and you can't manage persistent heavy snow, it's the worst IMO. We've all been there. But if you get lucky things break your way. I remember being paranoid about getting sucker holed in the Feb 2013 storm...most of the models had this area in the screw zone...I was pretty pessimistic up until the deform band moved ashore from LI around 5-6pm. 30" later...
Yeah--they do suck. I think me, Chris, Lurker and Dave dealt with that in the Boxing Day storm. Still was decent but disappointing compared to all the reports on here.
At least when you're missing wide-right, you can be better prepared for it.
Looks like we'll need to do some saturating before anything of not.
16.7/6
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I never know what to make of the p/c---I rely more on zfp. But, my latest p/c has just upped the ante out here.
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Th Euro ens is perfect for us
It appears to be good for GC, too. If ever I want the King to be right........
Model Mehham
in New England
Posted
This.
What are people's thoughts on cloud cover this afternoon out in GC?