snywx

1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

At this stage (5 miles west of the river, 600ft asl) anything less than 6 will be a disappointment, expectations are for 8-10, anything over 10 is gravy.

8-10" is my expectation here as well. Im sure a few spots throughout the area will hit 12" but it should be isolated. 

Currently 25/19 here

12z NAM.. 

4 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Pretty sure most of Orange County should be in that, no need to go all the way up to Ellenville.

Absolutely.. I think if anything O.C might jack this event.. Paul Goodloe from TWC is in the area lol

18z GFS looked nice for us interior folk. Actually bumped up precip amounts slightly. I think we are looking at 8-12" areawide (Orange,,Ulster,Dutchess,Sullivan)

2 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

I could see 2 inches in Van Cortlandt Park but idk if that is an official site.

Yeah thats my thinking as well. Thats prob gonna the area within the city limits that receives the most snow. Yonkers prob the same. You will prob start to see advisory level snows once you get into the HPN area. 

12z GFS Kuchera 

23 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

Most NYPD and FDNY that I know up this way work in the bx 

Yeah.. Ive been doing the commute now for about 20 yrs. 

22 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Can't the tappan zee get congested during rush hour?

It can but the new bridge def helped with congestion. I cross that bridge at 6am and I cruise through 

44 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

The only thing that is stopping me from moving to Orange County is the traffic to my job.

Transfer to the bx or uptown 

12 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Seems every storm the past few winters has trended back to the 90s and brings back frustrating memories. I don’t live where I want to live but living at the bottom of Westchester is still better than growing up in Queens. I agree I expect about 1-2 inches of slop here but better than a total blanking I guess. 

Trust me I know the feeling. Growing up in the BX in the 80s/90s I used to cringe when I frequently heard "NW of 287".. Being a weather weenie like many of us are, moving up here to orange county in 2000 was the best! Doubled my snowfall average in a short 55 min drive ( no traffic of course ) lol

45 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

nws still giving me 3-7 in wp. my westchester crew still has a chance to see something here

HPN should be in line for a nice advisory event. I wouldn't be surprised to see some 1-2" reports coming from  as far south as areas like Van Courtlandt in the BX. This is your classic 90s snowstorm 

0z Ukmet 

0z GFS Kuchera 

21 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Up near Ramsey where I-287 merges into I-87 will probably be fine. That area where the elevation lowers and I-87 turns east into the Tappan Zee might be the area where you start seeing under warning snow amounts. 

I think anyone aoa 500’ in Rockland has a shot. Areas along the Hudson like tappan, south Nyack are a legit snow hole. North of sloatsburg should be 6”+

24 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

I’ll simplify it further. I don’t think Rockland and Bergen see that much snow

I think north Rockland & north Bergen have a legit chance at warning criteria snow. 

24 minutes ago, binbisso said:

8-12” is a good call up here 

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

SNE took all the snow even from the NW crew. Yes they will still get snow but the majority is going to fall in SNE 

Every piece of guidance has 8”+ up here. No one took anything away. 

N/W of 287 are in line for a nice 3-6” event w/ 6-8” spots near I-84

3 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Can we take the psycho analysis and the fake pessimism and the fake optimism somewhere else and stick to the weather? Holy hell this is impossible to read. 

By reading the last few pages you would think we were in for all rain. A good chunk of this forum will see a plowable snowstorm 

Damn CMC goes to town on both events for interior sections. That HP is holding firm for 1/10 event 

15 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

19z BOM goes with 7-9” across eastern/NE PA, western/NW NJ, SE NY, and interior CT.

BOM? I’ve seen this referenced lately 

12z GEFS prob of >4"

I think coastal sections might be able to squeeze out a few inches before the changeover but ultimately this is a N/W 287 snowstorm. Almost every piece of guidance now has 8-12" for NE PA, NW NJ, HV into SNE

Happy New Year! Hopefully this weekend can turn into a I-84 special!

27 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

Random, but just saw a meteor (borderline fireball) fall from the sky to the north. Considering I saw it through cloud-cover, it was pretty cool. 

Saw it here also.. It was to the north of me as well