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snywx

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Everything posted by snywx

  1. Areas along and N of 84 will prob deal with more IP than ZR. I see the potential ZR problem in areas like NNJ/Rockland/Westchester
  2. I think alot of it has to do with their climo being very similar to one another. CNJ/NYC/LI all average roughly 25-33" of snow while snowfall averages double that once you get 40 or so miles N & NW. Geographically places in Orange county are closer to Central Park than parts of Western Suffolk.
  3. Yeah.. By the time the heavier precip gets in here temps from the surface up to about 5000' are well below freezing. That warm layer is shallow and not very warm. Curious to see how this continues to trend.
  4. Agree.. Just took a peek at the soundings for MGJ and its a classic sleet -> snow signature. Warm layer is between 800-850. From 850 to the surface its cold cold. Maybe .10-.15 of liquid precip
  5. -1 for a low here.. this cold streak has been impressive
  6. Another below zero night here -2 for a low
  7. My folks in Highland Mills measured 8.5”. That town is such a weenie spot lol
  8. 3-6” call for the great northwest aka Orange County seems to be working out
  9. Projected qpf output has been steady & consistent up here. Pretty much 0.25-0.35. Factor in high ratios and we have ourselves a decent event.
  10. Def one of my favorites as well. I think it was a general 28-36” throughout the county.
  11. Good call.. I agree with a general 3-6” ( west-east) up here.
  12. I’m only expecting 3-4” here. Gonna have to be east of the river to really cash in or increase those odds.
  13. I think 6-10 within the city limits is a good forecast. Nassau/Suffolk border on east should be in line for an awesome event 12”+. Us up here In the great northwest should be in the 3-6” range.
  14. This will be a nice 1-3" pack refresher for us up here in the NW. Im perfectly content with that.
  15. I think snow cover is playing a role.. how much do you have left?
  16. That’s basically a carbon copy of the 12z euro. By tonight it will be much different
  17. Regardless of what happens this weekend it will still look quite wintry out there. Snowpack has held firm here
  18. Take my word for it.. donot become heavily invested in this potential storm. The euro is most likely out to lunch. It’s literally the only piece of guidance getting anything back this way
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