weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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radarscope
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Key is going to be the position of those below-average heights just southeast of Greenland. Well position and strength. As advertised, they might be just far enough northeast to spare us...although NNE would be at risk. Anyways though, this is a pretty solid look for what could be some active periods of severe weather across the Ohio Valley.
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It's great scrolling through the CAPE map on the GFS and getting tickled by the yellow CAPE contours. It's coming!
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no tors today haha. Today is nothing special for sure but whatever develops will have a good chance to drop some grauple and produce gusty winds.
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Actually grauple is probably more likely given the super low WBZ heights
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Very nice inverted-V look on soundings later today with as much as 125+ J/KG of 3km CAPE. Could see quite a bit small hailers with some pretty gusty winds. Perhaps a severe gust possible.
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I agree with this haha...always love me some mid-level lapse rates approaching 8. Not common around here
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Another vigorous shortwave moves overhead during the day Monday with extremely unseasonably cold temperatures aloft yielding very steep mid-level lapse rates. Combination of surface heating and dewpoints into the 40’s will contribute several hundred J/KG of MLCAPE. inverted-v signature on forecast soundings indicate potential for strong, gusty winds with any thunderstorms while the super cold air aloft will promote potential for small hail/grauple.
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May 8-9 mid-spring rain, snow, cold, wind obs
weatherwiz replied to CT Valley Snowman's topic in New England
Thanks! wow not bad at all up there! I was definitely hoping/I guess leaning towards the CCB cranking earlier. Guessing CT didn’t get much in the way of anything? -
May 8-9 mid-spring rain, snow, cold, wind obs
weatherwiz replied to CT Valley Snowman's topic in New England
Are there any PNS statements or snow total maps? Didn’t see anything on NWS pages. -
Happy birthday @CoastalWx @RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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yup...that's a pretty significant amount of CAPE for this type of setup. I'm surprised SPC doesn't have a general thunderstorm risk out
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yeah tomorrow is going to be nuts...strong gusty winds, cold, snow squalls with grauple!!!!
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Well after this we can finally turn our attention to severe wx season. It's coming!!!!!
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It was fun while it lasted Yeah Saturday afternoon it going to be winter-like...cold temperatures, gusty winds, squalls...it's going to be a pretty crazy day
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Well this weekend was cute but after this it's back to reality...should be tracking severe wx...like a snow event would be super fun but it's severe weather season damn it
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At least Saturday afternoon is still in the cards...going to be numerous squalls with grauple and strong winds. Going to feel like December out there
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GFS holding it's own regarding getting the CCB going
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Doesn't seem like the NAM wants to phase...if it were to phase it would probably be a solid hit. So I guess we just have to decipher what the odds of a phase are and if there is a phase how quickly does it happen?
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my map was predominately NW Hills and NE Hills for any meaningful accumulations (4-6'' up in northern Litchfield County) then a strip of 2-4'' across larger part of that county and then up your way
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yeah let's not overlook Saturday afternoon...which was actually the original purpose of the thread before the snow threat evolved Too be honest more people could see some sort of frozen throughout the day Saturday then Friday night.
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/
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Euro cranks that CCB in ME...wow
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This is some pretty crazy mixing for around here
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Even better!!! Can't overlook Saturday afternoon either
