weatherwiz

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah ... 'frontogenesis' is right - as in, the temperature gradient along an actual warm front.

The more I look at this...it appears like the "fuzzier" physics of mid range was - excuse the anthropomorphism - miss-interpreting the whole weekend as a slow moving coastal/Nor'easter.

But as we are getting into the short range on this thing ...it's devolving away from that to more of lead warm frontal wave tonight, followed by a murk day tomorrow afternoon in wait as the whole vestigial baroclinic axis retrogrades back N as a warm front.   I think "Pope" poster ...like 'jenet' can't recall his handle ...mentioned this yesterday, credit to him, but I agreed with him at the time.  You can actually see this in the D4-10 Euro ...in the sense that it's trend over the last few cycles is to raise height everywhere over the east coast ...and in order to get there...the support for that sort of cyclogen is washing out .. 

Agreed and that was a great call...this has definitely moved away from a cyclogenesis aspect (for tonight)...which probably does favor the idea of a region wide soaker b/c the drivers behind the rain are now different. 

Starting to get quite intrigued with Sunday night/Monday though...you could argue that's an even stronger signal for torrential rain...screaming southerly flow to the tropopause with LP just to our West. 

This is some pretty hefty frontogenesis across the state. 60+ knot LLJ too coming off the ATL

Actually could probably see some thunderstorms across SE RI and far SE MA on Sunday. Pretty steep lapse rates with that ulvl low that passes overhead and decent elevated CAPE

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Everyone is talking about the cold rainy MDW in the MAY discussion thread and you just can’t help yourself with d15-20 severe potential in June. 
 

Triple buns for you: 
 

I already talked enough about the rain threat  

Still loving the June 10-12 or June 10-13 period for severe weather here...like an actual really good setup. Going to Chicago on a train trip 17-20...hopefully a derecho will blow through there

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

His sister’s FB page.   Heartbreaking. 
 

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=10226953048758931&id=1434944541

That is beyond devastating.  

So hard not to break down after reading that

I am sniffing hard a severe threat around June 8-12. My sniffer better not let me down 

9 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yup, was chatting with DIT about that upper level divergence last night. Great synoptic set-ups usually win out over Stein-bitten calls.

Bingo!

May end up with some poor drainage flooding in spots. If there was any convection involved in this someone could probably pull of 3-4''

Pretty decent jet for late May...going to be pretty intense ulvl divergence 

PWATS around 1.3 - 1.5''

Pretty intense LLJ feeding moisture into like a "weak CBB"

The rainfall rates are going to be quite intense

There could be a couple high-end severe weather events across parts of the upper-Midwest region (well like parts of MI/IA into MN/WI) the first week of June. 

Think lightning hit something nearby. Sounded like a bomb went off holy crap 

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

At tree line and above 

.32 here

Super interesting hmm

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Wizzy 

 

Very relaxing video! Great light show. 
 

Barry!!!!!!! 

Looks like a ghost or a flying saucer 

Just got into bed and boom to the west 

Pretty solid event!

Just now, KoalaBeer said:

Ya you got to email it or use a file transfer service if the clip is to large. Sending through text compresses it especially if it’s being sent from iOS->Android or vive versa. 

Thanks!

when I get onto wifi I will send it to myself. I’ll also upload the entire video to YouTube and people can just skip to the last 10 seconds of it 

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I've noticed that Twitter and FB love to screw up the quality of videos when uploading. It's frustrating. 

So I checked the text I sent myself of the video…and the quality is good there but when I save it to my phone it became pixelated.

I just need a new cell phone…something wrong with my camera so the image in view shakes and pictures and videos are blurry 

4 minutes ago, radarman said:

The twitter link doesn't do it justice without the audio

We swore in it so had to take out sound lol

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Nice! Is the pixelated part you or Twitter?  

Seriously though good stuff. 

I’m not sure why the quality is like that. I took the video with my work phone…it was the end of a 10:00 video when the strike happened. So I took an 8 second clip and texted it to my personal phone…maybe that’s why? 

It won’t let me tweet that video…

7 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

send it soon

Time for back end +CG’s!!!!

JUST SAW AN AMAZING CG AND GOT IT ON VIDEO!!!!! it was one of those flash flash flash flash same spot for like 3-4 seconds