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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by weatherwiz

  1. 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    Yeah ... 'frontogenesis' is right - as in, the temperature gradient along an actual warm front.

    The more I look at this...it appears like the "fuzzier" physics of mid range was - excuse the anthropomorphism - miss-interpreting the whole weekend as a slow moving coastal/Nor'easter.

    But as we are getting into the short range on this thing ...it's devolving away from that to more of lead warm frontal wave tonight, followed by a murk day tomorrow afternoon in wait as the whole vestigial baroclinic axis retrogrades back N as a warm front.   I think "Pope" poster ...like 'jenet' can't recall his handle ...mentioned this yesterday, credit to him, but I agreed with him at the time.  You can actually see this in the D4-10 Euro ...in the sense that it's trend over the last few cycles is to raise height everywhere over the east coast ...and in order to get there...the support for that sort of cyclogen is washing out .. 

    Agreed and that was a great call...this has definitely moved away from a cyclogenesis aspect (for tonight)...which probably does favor the idea of a region wide soaker b/c the drivers behind the rain are now different. 

    Starting to get quite intrigued with Sunday night/Monday though...you could argue that's an even stronger signal for torrential rain...screaming southerly flow to the tropopause with LP just to our West. 

  2. 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

    Everyone is talking about the cold rainy MDW in the MAY discussion thread and you just can’t help yourself with d15-20 severe potential in June. 
     

    Triple buns for you: 
     

    I already talked enough about the rain threat :lol: 

  3. Still loving the June 10-12 or June 10-13 period for severe weather here...like an actual really good setup. Going to Chicago on a train trip 17-20...hopefully a derecho will blow through there

    • Weenie 1
  4. 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

    Yup, was chatting with DIT about that upper level divergence last night. Great synoptic set-ups usually win out over Stein-bitten calls.

    Bingo!

    May end up with some poor drainage flooding in spots. If there was any convection involved in this someone could probably pull of 3-4''

  5. Pretty decent jet for late May...going to be pretty intense ulvl divergence 

    image.png.c8e0f6f791f40ce4ded82b71c90dee95.png

     

    PWATS around 1.3 - 1.5''

    image.png.6152cd04f91df97507b51b83265cd5fd.png

     

    Pretty intense LLJ feeding moisture into like a "weak CBB"

    image.png.c14b5212d7c2a61551c4b030ca67dce5.png

    image.png.93ded0a49ccb45232e9bfbdf65d596f1.png

    The rainfall rates are going to be quite intense

  6. Just now, KoalaBeer said:

    Ya you got to email it or use a file transfer service if the clip is to large. Sending through text compresses it especially if it’s being sent from iOS->Android or vive versa. 

    Thanks!

    when I get onto wifi I will send it to myself. I’ll also upload the entire video to YouTube and people can just skip to the last 10 seconds of it 

    • Like 1
  7. 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

    I've noticed that Twitter and FB love to screw up the quality of videos when uploading. It's frustrating. 

    So I checked the text I sent myself of the video…and the quality is good there but when I save it to my phone it became pixelated.

    I just need a new cell phone…something wrong with my camera so the image in view shakes and pictures and videos are blurry 

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