weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Here goes another wonky NAM solution -
when they're off your screen
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you can't see without looking
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Good...we need it for the snow
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sure is. I'm hoping to see some lightning strikes tomorrow night. And by Lightning strikes I don't mean the Tampa Bay Lightning scoring, I mean negative charges in the clouds having a date with some positive charges on the ground.
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I remember that...I was at school. A few classmates commuted and took them like 5 hours to go home lol.
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18z GFS bufkit for BDL. That would probably briefly yield 2.5''/hr rates. It kind of sucks the window for the most intense lift is so short.
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Bridgeport is just bad period
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Can’t wait I I til tomorrow morning when we can put models away and switch gears to mesoanalysis and now casting.
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I swear doing stuff like that has come back to bite me hard. I mean I am constantly always fatigued now. It doesn't matter how much sleep I get. It actually really sucks. I used to go to bed like 2-3 AM and then wake up at 7 lol. I remember a few times staying up for like 2 days in a row I think I was up for like 42 hours straight when the Dec 08 ice storm was going on.
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Unfortunately, my days of staying up all night are long gone, too old now. I really miss being able to do it. I think it was the 2013 blizzard I stayed up all night for...that was awesome. I miss the days of staying up late for the 0z models, especially during the summer. When I saw a severe threat several days out I never used to go to bed lol...I would just nap throughout the day. Bruins also play tomorrow night so I'll be having a 9% IPA or two so that will knock me down. Maybe I'll get an energy burst.
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Thundersnow potential overnight drives me nuts. I've had a few occasions when I was a youngin' where I thought I heard thundersnow overnight and fell out of bed...only for it to be the plows. DAMN YOU PLOWS
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Looks like it wants to rejuvenate the CCB even back across CT
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I'm hoping this is too fast but even the 18z NAM is on the faster side as well (though not as fast as the HRRR).
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yeah this timing is getting crazy quick. I just mentioned in my write up start of 7-9 PM...that's going to be a big fail
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He must have his laptop upside down
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I did mention isolated power outages are possible
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I did not! I did spend a good deal of time though with eastern/northeastern MA. going to be a tight gradient
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Finally made a forecast https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2024/01/sunday-january-7-2024-southern-new.html
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Very good there...not so good for southern CT and areas closer to the coast
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hmmm I just realized I mistake I may have made earlier when looking at the NAM fronto. Been looking all around at 700mb frontogenesis maps. The focus here is going to be more in the 850-700mb layer than it would be 700-600 or 700-550mb layer. I just looked at the 850 fronto and its pretty wild. Great news too is lift would be strong enough to punch into the DGZ.
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There will certainly be a tight gradient around there. Right along the water totals will be much less but you go a few miles inland and they'll probably get several inches.
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Bufkit doesn't look bad for BOS. I could see BOS potentially getting in the 5-8'' range, especially if the banding blesses them.
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Think it's becoming clear where the swath of highest totals will be southern Vermont, southern New Hampshire, and central Mass into eastern Mass.
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Nothing better than the sound of neighbors starting up snowblowers in preparation for the storm. Sometimes multiple neighbors will be doing so at once and it sounds like an symphony.
