OceanStWx

I mean I know it goes without saying but that evolution of a full phase with a remnant PV streamer over the Southeast will 100% not have even a vestige of a storm then 6 hours from now. The epitome of threading the needle.

New year, new model. Who doesn't love a little cyclonic wave breaking.

I know I have an expiration date given the shift work. If they aren't going to promote me to primarily day shifts I can't be doing this still when I'm approaching 70. It's hard enough now with a toddler and family obligations.

Who knows what I would be doing if there wasn't the internet and The Weather Channel actually 24/7 weather back then.

I'll be right around that myself. 37 years 2 months would take me to my 62nd birthday. Part of me loves the idea of being able to say 40 years service, but then again...

Weenies grew three sizes as they read his AFDs. I'll be completely honest that reading his AFDs in high school and thinking "WTF does that mean?" was a big motivation to go to school for meteorology. 26 more years for full benefits...

Naked mud angels in LEW tonight.

Looks like moose urine. And honestly I don't think we can rule that out.

I love this description: MALCONTENT West Coast-style Double IPA for those with bitterness in their hearts.

Even later than that actually, it was the 24.12z GFS that roared west. WPC (nee HPC) tossed that idea in favor of continuity of forecast because it mishandled heights, vorticity, and RH in the Dakotas.

The cancellation begins Christmas, it will be complete by New Year's Day.

I opted for no clear beers. Hazy for me. Grabbed Flume^2 from Battery Steele, Weary World Rejoices from Bissell, and Tessellation from Lone Pine. The stockings will be hung by the chimney with care, while lies passed out in his chair...

I didn't measure and I really don't have to, the last couple of days vaporized my meager pack and I can see the lawn again out front and thin cover out back.

The official gov't sanctioned () white Christmas is indeed 1" snow depth at 12z 12/25.

Yes, Ts are still reported. But it is fairly subjective and local to their siting area.

Shitter's actually full at GYX (plumbers needed to snake the drain this afternoon).

Hermit Lake is not a true coop in that we only get obs when the MWAC is active. So we do miss snow reports in the shoulder seasons sometimes, but they reported between 191 and 205" in the last couple of seasons. I believe they were trying to install some snotel equipment though, which will be great for mapping snowfall in the Whites. Jay Peak did have 346" in 2000-2001. That season MWN "only" had 297"

I obviously can't say much about the coop reporting itself, but I have no reason to seriously doubt it. But if that assumption's true MWN is probably closer to 350+" on average but loses a great deal to estimation/blow off. It actually works nicely if you use the near 200" average at Hermit Lake (only 3 season's worth of data) or Pinkham Notch's 147" average.

I look at the POR for MWN, and they (full season) range from 140" to 566", Hermit Lake Shelter at the bottom of Tucks has only been providing snow obs for a couple seasons now but that will be fun to compare. In the last three seasons MWN has been at least 100" more than Hermit Lake. Jay Peak on the other hand had a (full season) range of 100" to 350". If they are going to have lower low seasons, they have to have higher high seasons to make up the difference. And I just don't see "mid-slope" sites pushing 600" a year.

See that makes it less believable to me then. In order to average over 300" I think you would have to be including all snowfall, not just ski season.

Even if you considered obs sites slightly down the mountain that might be better at "catching" snow that blows off the summit, the shoulder seasons where MWN is below freezing and pounding snow while 1000 ft up from the parking lots is 33 and rain makes a huge difference. MWN has some 500" seasons in the record, so if another ski resort is claiming a higher average you would be talking their record seasons being in the 600" range. I have a hard time believing that.

When BTV had Jay Peak as a coop, they averaged 205", elevation between 1875 and 1840 ft. Assuming the lat/lon is correct at NCEI that is off one of the trails about halfway up the mountain.

12.6" doesn't even crack the top 20 for me. I may start counting down until May 1st.

I just feel bad for Kevin's kids watching him drag the tree out to the curb because Christmas is cancelled.

I'll actually second that. It was essentially dry 24 hours up here.