Sn0waddict
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Everything posted by Sn0waddict
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Source?
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Eastern CT should get slammed regardless. These trends make a difference for for central/western CT though.
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RGEM no change vs 12z ICON significantly east vs 12z. Landfall over the eastern end of LI vs western LI. Similar track to the EURO.
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EURO a tic east of 0z but still pretty far west.
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HWRF/HMON pretty much followed the GFS to a tee, which makes sense I suppose considering they use GFS data.
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HMON track unchanged. Came in a little stronger. Splits block island and montauk
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CMC into block island. Practically identical to 0z. Maybe a hair east -
Kinda surprised to see it looking like that on landfall based on how ugly it looks right now lol
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FV3 went from NYC on 0z to New London on the 12z. But ya that above track would not be great.
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This is the all timer list. If the NAM is right this wouldn’t make the list. Few days ago we were thinking it could be worse than Isaias. Hopefully the trend is right.
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NAM looking east of 6z so far. Will have to see how the tug NW impacts the final solution though.
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Slightly east and weaker than 12z up until landfall, but it then cuts hard west. Euro has been terrible with this storm but interesting nevertheless.
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Yep I noticed that regarding the wind field. Faster landfall is surprising though .
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That’s one lopsided storm on the HWRF lol
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HMON into the CT/RI border as well.
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Ukie with the landfall right over my house. East of 12z and about 8mb weaker.
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CMC right into the RI/Ct border.
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Yes agreed. Though where/if it takes a last second turn left before landfall is gonna make quite the difference for some people. That will be a nowcast situation for sure.
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Not that I’m saying the 0z changes everything. 6z could go back west, but I imagine they prepared the forecast package prior to the latest runs.
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Didn’t want to say it myself, but ya pretty much this.
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SE CT landfall on the GFS.
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Doubt the NHC cares much about the RGEM lol. But if it’s a trend for all the 0z models then maybe that would mean something .
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Icon weaker and east vs18z, though 18z went into NYC lol so now it goes through central LI.
