sferic

11 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

You are golden. What part of LI?

Lynbrook a few miles NE of JFK in Lynbrook

2 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

It will. Even some of the shaky 18Z models have LI getting 12-18" or maybe more.

Trend west continues too

Worth the drive !

@TugHillMatt @Syrmax

It has commenced; hopefully the start of something big

@TugHillMatt @Syrmax

Back on Long Island

Weird, haven't been here in over a month!

Cameras setup for timelapse

Will keep the Brewerton, Pulaski, Clay and Lysander crew in the loop

@TugHillMatt@Syrmax @wolfie09 heading to LI now from Catskills , wish me luck !

2 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Where I am in the Catskills it is getting insanely close between nothing and 6+, which is still relatively nothing seeing the totals being spat out on LI 

 

And trust me, they can have it, this weekend one year ago I was digging out of 25”, don’t need that again 

In Liberty now, tomorrow LI; hope we all cash in

1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said:

uggghhh

Just now, CoolMikeWx said:

You'll be in my neck of the woods. Not a bad spot to make an L.I run.

Yup, passing Best buy and the Galleria by exit 120

Long Island here I come ( layover tonight in Liberty NY though)

3 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

It's not. The models do not typically trend in one direction in "all together now" fashion and then it's over. They do go back and forth. This is how it is every major winter storm or most. One model run from one model two days before the storm is not a clincher or "cancels" the storm. There will be more changes on all of the models tomorrow. 

WX/PT

Well said and very, very true

3 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

I wonder what a board like this would have been like in March 1993. Of course the number of models to analyze were far fewer than there are today. The non stop posts for the storm of last week would have been nothing compared to the lead up to the superstorm of 93. 

How about March 2001? NVM, let's forget that one

Anybody old enough to remember ne.weather on usenet?

Plenty of room in the SUV for @TugHillMatt @Syrmax@CNY_WX and @wolfie09

Headed to LI tomorrow, who knows what will happen?

Nice drive though

2 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Just looking at probabilities and at quick glance they have blossomed a bit NW. 

Here are 18Z MEAN and CONTROL

What is the difference between mean and Control ?

Long island trip on cancel alert; not worth going if it's not going to be substantial or borderline HECS

2 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

I’ve always said that when we get screwed by synoptic systems we find a way to make it up with lake effect. Almost 8 inches here over the last 3 days. 

Hovering around 6 new inches here in Cicero

6 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Euro looks sick, if negative I should go to Queens.

Don't blame you

I will make my decision whether to stay North of Syracuse in Cicero this weekend or head back to Lynbrook Long Island ( near JFK airport)

I will wait for tonight's 00z runs

Odds leaning for the trip to LI

Potential of 12-18+ will be the decision maker

6 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Hang on...don't kick Granny off the car roof yet...CMC says not so fast...

Now Mr Drysdale wants to go too if the CMC comes to fruition

2 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

00Z GFS....LOL. Congrats Nantucket. Thing rapidly deepening and slides outside the 40/70 BM.  Chase cancel! 

We might not even see high cirrus in CNY...maybe on eastern horizon. Wow.

Cancel Granny Clampett trip

2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Got room for a couple stowaways? I'll sit in the trunk and @Syrmaxcan ride on the roof.

This what you have in mind?

2 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Not with this storm unless there is a major shift in track. 

Like March 2016 or was it 2017?

I can't believe I am driving 280 miles to my other home on Long Island; but it could be awesome.

Of course I'd rather it veer west so CNY cashes in.

100 mile shift west on the 00z Euro and it will register like a 8.2 earthquake