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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. The RRFS is on weatherbell for sure. It does OK from what I can see. My bigger question is how it does in the cold season - cold air damming, mesoscale banding, etc.
  2. Because the METARs only report a 6 hour max every 6 hours and the 1-min obs are rounded to the nearest degree C so unless they actually dial in manually we don't know for sure. If they provided 1-minute data that wasn't rounded we'd know sooner.
  3. NWS told us it was 101 when they dialed in shortly before 3.
  4. They were last at 100F in 2019. They reached 103F in 2011.
  5. Yeah. Looks like a big day points N & W.
  6. Thursday's severe threat seems decent especially near/west of I-91. Mid-level lapse rates are fairly steep plus decent low and deep layer shear.
  7. lol this sounding is nothing special at all. Even assuming it's overmixed in the boundary layer you've got CAPE that's not impressive with meh mid-level rates. You also have 0-6km shear on the order of 25 knots or so which is not sufficient for organization/supercells. Absolutely nothing like 6/20/95 or any of our more memorable events.
  8. I didn't say no severe... just that sounding you posted didn't show anything of the sort.
  9. What's exciting about this?
  10. Lapse rates are pretty steep. Sucks there's not better mid level flow but we'll probably have some fun bangers around.
  11. Yeah didn't like seeing that on the GGEM. GEFS still look OK though.
  12. EPS, GEPS, and Ukie a total disaster Sunday through Wednesday. Lock it in
  13. Wiz - are we locking in the D6/D7 EML on the GFS?
  14. Updated this for the 11pm news tonight.
  15. HRRR is really impressive for many. The NAM has been warmer with a stubborn layer around 850. We'll see!
  16. Yeah some areas could see a good thump tomorrow night.
  17. 99% have gotten over "why" we're warming (it's us)... and the more interesting question is what we do or don't do about it.
  18. Congrats to the Greens and Berkshires on the GFS for Friday.
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