Dunkman

Eek was about to comment that I hoped the Canton tornado lifted because it looks bad on radar. Pretty pronounced cc signature the last couple scans.

7 hours ago, mob1 said:

Unfortunately there are now confirmed fatalities from that collapsed hotel. 

The fatalities were actually in a mobile home park. Everyone at the hotel has been accounted for.

1 minute ago, DanLarsen34 said:

Anyone have any idea why this isn’t a tornado emergency? It’s passing off to a new one too.

I'd guess because it isn't a highly populated area.

It went right over Oronogo

Just now, StormChazer said:

That's gonna drop a tornado soon.

I agree. The velocity scan from TLX looks much more menacing than from FDR right now.

Maybe the tornado went just east of Whiting? Couldn't get a great look at it on the phone.

86 mph ASOS gust in Emporia, KS is wild. Don't see that every day.

That is a serious looking bow I bet it's rocking in Smithfield right now.

9 minutes ago, NCsandhills said:

Updates on Cumberland? Am at work in Raleigh looks like it's headed this way....everyone is sort of panicking. 

The line has almost caught up with the warned cell, I doubt they'll continue the warning.

There's maybe a little something on the CC radar with that storm west of Chapel Hill

edit: Ok there's definitely some debris on the next scan

The tornado probabilities on the most recent watches were lower than one would expect with the rather large 10% area. Certainly makes it look like the primary threat will be the squall line.

Nothing even remotely interesting materialized here in the center of the Triad but hey look it's more rain...

59 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Remember that cold blast the models were showing a few weeks back, it had highs in the teens for NC!?? And then the actual temps verified at 5-10 degrees below normal!? How do y’all think a 10 day , early March cold snap will work out?

I don't know we're pretty good at getting cold rain to verify in March and April.

This only being warm enough to rain for the 12 hours it's actually precipitating thing is some bs

From now on I think we can just immediately toss any model run that shows a storm drying out. That's no longer possible in the southeast.

It's a good thing we hovered around 31-32 all night here in High Point/Greensboro because this 1"+ of rain could have been a real nightmare if it was a little colder. As it was, about .2" of glaze here.

The heavy line rolling through Guilford County right now is all/mostly rain here in N High Point. Nice glaze on everything.

RGEM was not good for the last event iirc. I seem to remember it (and the CMC before the RGEM got into range) having a ton of ice that never verified. It seems to do better in the NE I think whereas the NAM seems to have a better handle on our region, at least in the last few years.

7 minutes ago, jjwxman said:

I think they actually ticked up along and north of I-85.  I wouldn't be surprised to see RAH put Davidson, Forsyth and Guilford in the Winter Storm Watch.

Nice call

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 335 PM Friday...

Overview: Confidence is increasing that we`ll see impactful icing
along with some snow/sleet accumulation across the Triad and the VA
border counties, occurring primarily Sat evening through the
overnight. Will issue a winter storm watch from the Triad NE across
the central VA border areas.

5 minutes ago, CARDC79 said:

Snow wise, has the look/feel of car-topper at best in Triad before we torch mid-levels. I really hate freezing rain. 

It's really had that icy look all along. At this point I kinda just hope it torches and we get rain.

9 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

I'm also surprised that WINTER STORM WATCHES have not been issued yet.

  

 

I don't know about VA but the current forecast for the Triad is an advisory level event right now and obviously less south and east.

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Does anyone think this will be a situation in which Northern NC and Southern VA get placed under an ICE Storm Warning?

They usually use WSW with mixed precipitation. It does seem like there's going to be a pretty decent sized swath of ice somewhere with this storm though.

I'll have to check to be sure but I think KGSO went over yearly record today. In related news I'm officially over the rain.

That band is really picking up on radar hope it's snow for you guys!

6 minutes ago, Poimen said:

I measured 13" snow yesterday...going to add .5 to 1" perhaps this morning. The layer of ice on top of the snow is making ideal conditions of accumulations. Light snow currently. 

These flakes are accumulating fast. Wouldn't be surprised to see is squeeze out a couple inches if it sticks around for a bit.