I'm 32 now. So about 3 degrees cooler. I was 15 this morning, how about you? My dad lives on Ashworth road and is usually 2 or 3 degrees warmer on calm nights too.
We actually got down to 27.8 and it clouded up more and its 29 again. It was supposed to be 34 right now.
Latest HRRR has a lot more snow on the escarpment than previous runs and it's been going up each run
I think many right along the escarpment will get a few hours of sleet with this mid level dry area. Maybe it will be enough to coat the ground. I will consider that a win.
After looking at todays long range, I'm getting close to throwing in the towel.
The NAO is trending to not be as negative and go towards neutral
The cold dump is going in the west and will take weeks before it gets here if it does at all it will be modified cold.
The MJO is going back to warm phases and could get stuck in those.
The PNA and Pacific in general is a big problem.
We need to fix a lot before we get a real shot of a true winter storm producing pattern. Otherwise its thread the needle and hope for a miracle.
I remember you as one of the "originals"
Back then Burger, Griteater, Packbacker, Widreman and so many more. Some who have passed on I'm sure. It's a great community to be a part of.