People have forgotten it because it has become a joke. We haven't had a legit storm in February since 2015. Almost 10 years! December has had way more storms than February since 2009. There has been a huge Ridge in the SE most February's. I have seen some forecasters predict it again this year.
Yep that's the norm the past 5 years especially.. May have to root for a super clipper with the upcoming pattern. The trough orientation doesn't look ideal for a miller A, then the MJO goes into its warm phases later this month. This will probably be a pretty quick shot of cold air. Then we are already talking about a "relaxation of the pattern"
And who can forget the super clipper/lee trough that dumped almost a foot in the South Mountains? I remember going to bed thinking we might get a dusting to an inch and woke up to 6 or 7 inches of powder.
This might be the most interesting weather day of January and its not even a snowstorm. 6-8 inches of rain in 12 hours or less along the escarpment (especially Transylvania, Henderson, Polk)could cause big flash flooding issues.
We don't get as many true CAD highest anchored in the NE and the Atlantic and Gulf waters are torching which leads to stronger warm noses. That's my theory at least.