wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Sleet even for the mountains lol -
Precipitation looks better but there's gonna be p type issues for many
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Anyone have the 6z Euro?
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The northern stream is the main culprit for the lower totals. But then again, if it isn't squashed, it's probably a mixed mess even for the foothills and mountains. No true CAD high in place.
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Euro is pretty steady but slightly less than 12z
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Canadian is finally coming in and it also has less precipitation across nc.
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We need more of a NNE movement of the precipitation not ENE. That's one reason it's so dry over NC. Plus the trough is too progressive and trending more positive last few runs
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Storms drying up faster than a Nature Valley granola bar
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My confidence is dwindling fast. I assume the Euro will be very dry as well. Must have been some new data sampled..
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UK is a disaster for snow lovers east of the Apps.
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We need a strong subtropical jet. Lacking a bit during a Nina.
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Another step down compared to previous run
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Don't like the trends tonight... may turn into an inch or less for leeside screw zone.
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Mixing
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This looks more like the Euro with the heavy precip in the OH valley
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I don't like all the northern stream interaction pressing down on the system.
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NAM looks warmer
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I dont like it from the phase happy NAM. Might be lower precip this run
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NAM looks disjointed so far.
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Dallas was getting 8"+ now models have them under 4 and they are less than 2 days out. Shows how quickly it can change...
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I agree. The Euro and UK both showing it is concerning me. If 00Z euro and UK come in dryer again I'm going to lower expectations
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From what I can still the SREF looks ok. I don't have the plumes but QPF looks ok. Nothing huge but solid
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Never ignore the Euro
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I just have that nagging feeling that something is going to screw us still. Don't like the 18Z euro going dry again. It looked like the UK with a dry area around the escarpment too. Hopefully the trends will be good at 00Z.
