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Posts posted by wncsnow
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GFS does look warmer so far...
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Crazy run of the RGEM... Best so far for most areas and much colder
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I like that the NAM didnt come in super warm and amped.. I think its a good sign for my area and WNC even though it shows less moisture
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The RAP paints a prettier picture than HRRR but its still at the end of its run. Wait and see mode. NAM coming in shortly
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I like areas from AVL to HKY to winston to Danville and just NW of there to get highest amounts
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Mt. Mitchell will really do well in this setup, over a foot is attainable above 5,000 ft
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3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:
Do any of you think they will send out Winter Storm Warnings for Danville, in Southern VA?
highly doubt it. Think we get a WWA. If models keep it up tonight though we might get one in the morning
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GSP usually starts low and gradually increases as the event closes in but they dont have much time, especially if places get 3-6 inches like some models show..
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Hard not to get a little excited for areas N and W of 85 with todays trends, the EURO was especially encouraging this close to start time of the event
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One thing that I have noticed is the EURO and UKMET especially have moved the SLP quite a bit closer to the coast and a little stronger too 1008 vs 1005... That helps with more precip near the Blue Ridge and cools the column with heavier precip
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Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
I've seen this too often. Never bet against climo and the NW winter shift 36 hours out.
Gives you and me 3-5 inches at least lol
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Verbatim... Euro is warning criteria snow for southern mtns, southern and central foothills out along i 40 corridor to GSO
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EURO looks pretty good for Western areas.. colder and further West..
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Just now, Buddy1987 said:
Anyone on the foreign models for 12z?
RGEM and Canadian isnt updating on pivotalwx
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1 hour ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
You coming home to Marion for this one?
Probably not.. But not a bad spot for sure, temps may be an issue here and in Marion
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EURO will be interesting, really wish this weak ridge would go away and the cold air could fully entrench itself on the East side of the Apps
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If I get a dusting I will be pleased. GFS keeps temp in mid 30s during snow so it wont stick well..
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The GFS only shows good snow accumulation for the mountains... lighter amounts East due to being warmer
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This run is a SWNC/ Franklin special
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The December to Remember 7th-8th blue turd winter threat thread.
in Southeastern States
Posted
Meanwhile the HRRR looks like a other 4 letter word still which does cause some pause..