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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. A 100+ hours out? Plenty of time for large scale changes. Just need to see it take hold on guidance.
  2. We had a burst of heavy wet snow earlier this morning... even down into town the road was covered around 5:15am when I came in. Surprisingly sporty driving. However, once that initial band lifted northward and rates diminished, it's back over to rain or white rain below 1,500-2,000ft. The trees are snow covered above 2,000ft with 1-2".
  3. Dude we are swamped. It's the city comes to the mountain town.
  4. Same up here. 45F and sun. Rec Path has people running in shorts. Very March/April vibe.
  5. Just let it happen. See where it snows. Put yourself in a position to succeed. Or don’t.
  6. The Front needs a good foot of snow, with some moisture. It’s definitely possible at elevation. But that sustained pitch for that vertical? The part of the mountain between Hayride and Nosedive, known as “the Front” in Mtn Ops lexicon takes the most snow to open. You are in it to win it once you enter those runs and the threshold to open them is higher than shorter, mellower pitches. I do think a 6+ inch snowfall will reopen many closed intermediate natural snow trails though.
  7. The challenge tonight is it’s a holiday week, you need to groom. People don’t pay big money to vacation in ski country, just to have the hill offer a midweek late season thaw groom. The less grooming the better for the snowpack tonight, but the calendar and visitation say all core routes absolutely need to be groomed.
  8. This was a tough thaw. The hill got smoked. I’d imagine it was widespread to other regions for melt with these temps and dew points. The steep natural snow runs that were open (no snowmaking yet) need a good 1” of frozen QPF to be ok again. Stake looked to have lost up to a foot.
  9. Snow melt pouring off the roof here. Thick fog too. It’s like it’s gotten into the warm sector but keeps wanting to radiate to the dew point.
  10. 45/41 now at MVL. Mixed out finally in the valleys. Snowpack isn’t loving 40 dews. Temp went 37F to 45F in an hour, late in the evening. Locally at the nearest PWS is showing 43F. Coldest in the topographic bottom.
  11. Wolfie may not be able to avoid the hook…
  12. Decent inversion right now…. the lowest elevation is king of the cold right now.
  13. That is insane. A +15 or -15, doesn’t matter but 15 from normal in the means is hard to comprehend.
  14. 10F at 10pm. The inversion has been lingering. Should break tomorrow. The 34F at ORH is a sign.
  15. I’m impressed with MVL (-1.4), BTV (-1.9) and MPV (-2.4). Its a low bar these days to be below normal during a winter month… but after last winter‘s torch, damn it feels like winter. Last December was +7.8 at MVL. Holy shit that is warm. -1.4 this year is almost a 10 degree swing in the means. The heating bill feels it. Its the difference between monthly mix/max means of 37/24 and 29/15. Sensibly speaking, it’s a big difference to keep the highs below freezing.
  16. It hasn’t been bad up north for snow. Places have had coverage consistently since November. There was a healthy 2” rain storm in mid-Dec but temps were like 34F so it wasn’t as bad as recent years’ thaws. It’s been a below normal month of December. Thats going to snow in the north. As the seasonal jet lowers, suppression becomes a concern up here in January and February before the jet migrates north again.
  17. From this morning… super sharp inversion, but no visible signs of it either. It was 9F in the base area (where I took this with my phone), but 29F at the top of the lifts. It was below zero in town at this time too. From 1500ft to 3600ft (ridge is 4K)… a 20 degree temp rise on the lift ride up.
  18. -8F Its 29F at 3,600ft top of the FourRunner Quad. Just the FourRunner Quad alone, it’s over 20 degrees warmer at the top than bottom right now.
  19. The inversion is strengthening again this evening as the atmosphere radiates. 3,600ft… 23F 1,500ft… 13F 750ft… 0F 730ft… -1F The river plain is the surface of the moon in these patterns with a fresh snowpack. Lowest solar angle of the year. Energy bills ramping up quickly over this last stretch here.
  20. Wolfie quick to counter snowy, but what about RadarMan’s area? 30 burgers are tough. I think October 2011 in the northern Berks?
  21. Anytime the temperature gets under -25F in New England, there's a good chance it's a fake -25 to -30 unless it's a mountain site.
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