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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    Compare the latest SREFs to the EURO... lol. Not even close. I can't believe the SREFs have gotten this bad inside of 24 hours.
  2. powderfreak
    Wow at the 18z NAM from NYC to BOS. That crushes NYC. IMO, that'll be the most interesting aspect of this storm right now...although no one in here probably cares, there's a fascinating war going on about how much snow falls in the United States' largest city. TWC showed an RPM run that gave NYC 3-5", and then showed the EURO with 2 feet. Covering it all.
  3. powderfreak
    I can't even find a GFS ensemble members or even a SREF ARW member that shows that much precip reaching the ALB-BTV longtitude. Something funky happened in that run.
  4. powderfreak
    EURO rots the deform band up here. That's ridiculous and I toss. You can see how it lingers QPF up here for several panels. Anyway, hard numbers are 1.4" for Lewiston and 1.7" for Laconia, 1.0" for MVL. I'll eat my hat if Dryslot only gets 0.4" more QPF than up here. That was a bizarre run.
  5. powderfreak
    So as I see it for up here... NAM...0.2" GGEM...0.15" GFS...0.4" UKMET...0.1" ECMWF...1.0" The King is either a hero or it falls really hard.
  6. powderfreak
    Yeah I'm not sure what to do with that. Nothing else has more than 0.4" of QPF.
  7. powderfreak
    That hour 24 map is save worthy for you guys.
  8. powderfreak
    What the heck just happened? It's got a foot of snow up here and all other models have 2-3".
  9. powderfreak
    WTF... 1.0" QPF up here. Are you f'ing kidding me?!
  10. powderfreak
    The more I look at this, the more I think it's the south shore that could school everyone. The high ratio deform band will deliver but the south shore from BOS-PVD and SE is going to get bombed with like 3" QPF of "real man snow" lol, along with 40-70mph winds.
  11. powderfreak
    Yeah sorry meant NYC. My sister lives on the West Side and she said folks are literally expecting the storm of their lifetime. Like people brought in sleeping bags to work, they are being told not to go outside after 9pm tonight, stuff like that.I just think the media could care less what ISP gets for snow if NYC gets a mundane 8" or something, they are going after someone. And you know everyone saved that 24-36" forecast map from yesterday evening.
  12. powderfreak
    I feel bad for the beating OKX is going to take if they only get 5-10"/6-12" of snow in NYC after a forecast of 24-36" within 24 hours of start time.
  13. powderfreak
    lol we are going to disown you in NNE and lump you in with the SNE'ers for rooting for SE tics.
  14. powderfreak
    12z GGEM QPF.
  15. powderfreak
    Yeah it really cut down out west...BTV's southern Warnings and most of ALY's warnings would be in trouble, especially Litchfield's Blizzard Warning.
  16. powderfreak
    The EURO has had some short term fails this year, at least up here. There haven't been many winter storms for you guys to compare but up here so far this winter, the Euro sniffs the threat out first, it's the most consistent, but it's been too heavy on QPF in the short range. Even the last wet snow event up here it had 1.6" of QPF for me within 12 hours of the event that verified with 0.6" as the heaviest went east.
  17. powderfreak
    No there are just that many weenies between NYC and BOS.
  18. powderfreak
    This is going to be tight in western areas...ALB has 10-14" forecast for the city, and two feet in the Berks. GFS says no.
  19. powderfreak
    They both get 0.25" QPF up here...going big now
  20. powderfreak
    What fun is a blizzard if you can't stay inside and talk about it online? .
  21. powderfreak
    Anyone complaining about over a foot needs to be smacked (or at least that's what you all tell me when I worry haha). But the mid-storm meltdowns are usually entertaining when it's because 14" fell instead of 20".
  22. powderfreak
    There's a good deal of cold dry arctic air in place up here. There's really pretty weak mid-level forcing by the time it gets up here. Most of the lift is way up there, with dry low levels. I'd just like 3-4" to get to 70" at home on the season. We've had a couple good events up here where literally everyone else was pouring rain, so it comes and goes. At least we aren't getting whiffed AND rained on, lol.
  23. powderfreak
    It really is amazing the amount of large SNE coastal bombs lately. It's like run of the mill 6-12" nor'easters have gone out of style...and now you guys get nothing for half a winter followed by a HECS or two.
  24. powderfreak
    And sometimes it's off...it has Montpelier with an 8 and 8, implying 16-20" in north-central VT with this system lol.
  25. powderfreak
    Haha his true wet dream is a localized 40" for him and no snow anywhere else.
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