powderfreak

Doesn’t get much better. Only a wind blown 1-2” here with this system. Hard to tell exactly as it’s been very breezy...blowing the cars clean.

Burlington was the best college town I could have picked for myself... great atmosphere and you can walk everywhere.

See that provides more context than your first post. The first one you posted I read more like DIT’s “it hasn’t snowed so therefore it won’t in the future” but you actually back it up here with solid reasoning. My apologies for assuming you were just knee-jerking it.

It may never snow again. You are using the irrational line of thinking I used to use when all snowstorms hit eastern SNE for a few years. Assuming because BTV went two years without a 6+ event that it would continue to snow more in the Boston suburbs than in NNE. We get it, snow is emotional, but Nature loves averages. Then again, maybe that’s why this is happening...to make up for those big years. But Will called out my stupid assumptions then and it’s good he’s calling out yours too, lol. Just because it didn’t snow for a while doesn’t mean it will continue to not snow.

You got hit with 1-2 canes every decade?! Or you mean 1-2 tropical cyclones were in the vicinity each decade?

I totally get the seasonal vibe everyone is quoting as a reason to give it up, but it surprises me every year how many of you have no faith in March as a winter month. March at BDL averages pretty much the same snowfall that December does...6-7”. It isn’t outlandish to think it *might* snow.

How many canes do you think you average every 100 years?

It certainly doesn’t look cold, but it can still be serviceable as we enter bowling season in March. I totally get your pessimism from months of the same thing, but I still think from a law of averages standpoint, the longer it doesn’t snow the more likely something breaks favorably.

C’mon Wolfie, are talking about weather here, not the President.

Early HRRR looks... Showing some severe SE flow downsloping west of the Green Mtn Spine and NW of the Whites.

No love for your hippies in Vermont?!

The EFS model knows for sure.... the Emotional Forecast System.

It could certainly be warm, but I'll take the under on 70s/50s for max/mins in the NNE mtns for 4 days. I will say, that was a fun week of summer skiing.

Warm down there? Had a couple rounds of light snow this morning, now going bluebird and temps/dews dropping a bit. 24/10 now in the valley with NW breeze. Perfect mid-winter day. 1" new snow at the mountain now blue skies. It has been one of the best President's Weekends weather wise that we've seen in a long time. Great snow going into it and just bluebird most of the time without high winds or truly brutal cold.

What did you have in 15-16? That was by far our worst winter in past 20+ years. I feel like even then, SNE was still in that stretch where you’d pull a 12+ event even in a terrible pattern.

We got screwed by mid-level dryness and despite the entire column below freezing had a pretty decent glaze event up here from supercooled water droplets. BTV/MVL/MPV/CDA ASOS’s all reported freezing rain and freezing drizzle along with unknown precipitation in that bust. That was one of the more interesting busts that we’d get. A below freezing column in a west to east moving synoptic system and the ASOSs are showing ZR, while the better lift in SNE is producing snow.

Cold and clear the past two days until this evening when high clouds rolled in. A 46-degree diurnal spread today in the valley... -23F to +23F. February looking like February should.

-23F for a min at MVL. Car barely started this morning.

-16F at 11pm here. Cold shot centered further NE as SLK is *only* -20F.

It’s going into the busiest Saturday of the year for the ski resorts. Presidents Weekend is a huge one. The cold should delay the arrival.

Northeast Kingdom of Vermont temps right now... Lake Eden LEDV1 1200ft... -21F Gallup Mills GALV1 1300ft... -19F Island Pond ISPV1 1200ft... -19F That seems to be the sweet spot elevation... the higher valley spots.

Holy shit for 10pm.

Yeah that was -24F at MVL. My wife said she was getting consistent -22F to -24F on her car as she drove to work that morning. That's pretty cold. I could see negative upper teens to low twenties here?

Yup. I think I'm a little behind that. I'll wait for the first 6 holes, then crack a cold one, and seem to play the best through 13-14. It goes downhill quickly after a second IPA.

-11F here at 9pm. You know it is going to get brutally cold when the dew points are plummeting with the temperatures. Dew point is down to -17F now from -13F an hour or two ago. It's like the temperature can't catch up to the dew point despite it's free-falling. Trees are popping outside.