powderfreak

It’s a Ray “Mooseknuckle Village” location for sure.

Looks like a weak tornado touched down late this afternoon in Beekmantown, NY just near I-87 in Clinton County (Plattsburgh, NY area). There seem to be a variety of videos of it... weak spin up but looked legit in videos. Line came off the Adirondacks and must’ve hit some low level veering in the western Champlain Valley to spin one up.

Getting a quick lap in between the synoptic rain and storms later.

8pm Sat to 8am Sun looks good for outdoor activities there . Its like surgically positioned during the overnight hours.

+ crack. It’s raining again, too. Awesome.

Hope it’s electric.

I can’t imagine living there and not being near the water. Strong hell no to interior Florida.

73/51 Back in the sweet spot for temps/dews.

It was a smoky blue tint hazy day. There were some clouds around the mountain, but the view was smoggy. The Mansfield ridgeline is 2 miles long from above where I'm standing to the high spot across there, and even that view was hazy. The 5-6 mile visibility seemed about right. Eventually the clouds filled in.

The smoke today was real bad here. MVL ASOS didn’t get a vis above 5-6sm all day long. Sure, it’s not as bad as that episode of 1-3sm we all had last summer (or two summers ago?)… but it was an extremely noticeable haze all day obscuring the mountains.

We got some clearing but all that did was cause low level ground fog from the earlier rain. So we lost the clouds overhead and replaced them with ones in the bottom 30 feet.

We stayed dry all day until now. Torrential rain and thunder just moved in. One of the best Saturday’s in a while included low vis haze/smoke/air quality alerts when not raining, followed by torrential rain at 5pm. The bar is very low.

I’m destroyed with bites. My ankles itch just writing this, ha. They’ve been bad up here too.

No thunder up here… just a 0.49” stratiform rain over 3 hours. The mosquitoes will enjoy it.

Impressive radar. Just heavy heavies everywhere.

Yeah I’d toss those GEFS temps… take +2 on most of that. So it’s normal to slightly AN… but it’s like Wiz said.. this is normal June. We like to rush seasons in.

Have you looked? Because I honestly don't know if I believe you. I just did (because it's fairly easy to do so) and I'm seeing most ensembles are showing a normal temperature regime. GEFS are probably too cool, but I'm imagining that @CoastalWx also looked and arrived at his conclusion after seeing the H5 pattern and resulting set-ups. And I'm not calling for a cold pattern, before this gets spun as "some are calling for 40s and 50s". This is model data on a science forum. Read it how you want to. EPS Days 8 - 15 GEFS Days 8 - 15... this is colder.

Not once did Scoots say anything about a cool, chilly pattern. Who the hell is thinking "Looks like big heat is gone for a while" means 30s at night? The mental gymnastics, projections, hyperbole and assumptions in here could keep a psychiatrist going for years. If we as a science forum have gotten to the point where we can't call it like the models show, we've jumped the shark.

Good luck here. We used to live more in model reality but that’s moved on to filling agendas with strong hyperbole. The ones to trust are the ones who can actually say when models show the weather they don’t want. Like Coastalwx loves heat and humidity in the summer… if he says models have backed off a bit on heat, they did.

The trick is to not even look at model guidance, maybe some twitter posts, and “guide” the weather to the outcome you want.

My conundrum is a dog that has been sprayed twice in her life, but I know her instincts are to go after any small (or big) animal that wanders through. We have a skunk that comes by most days, and is very careful to stay on the perimeter where it knows the dog can’t get it (due to being on a lead attached to the porch). The problem is going to be, one day, the dog won’t be tethered or will slip out when the skunk is doing his thing eating grubs…. the dog is getting sprayed again.

That’s impressive to be honest. Might be the most impressive reading yet in the trees there.

I remember when mine when in… when the crews left and those things were quietly cranking out cold, dry air. It’s a life changer. Congrats.

This is a warm season AFD. Hazy, quiet, warm conditions after some record/near record temps. Summer vibe tonight. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 703 PM EDT Wednesday...Mostly clear skies with some residual wildfire smoke will likely yield a colorful sunset tonight across the North Country. We likely tied or broke a few temperature records today looking at observations but we will wait until 8 PM to begin sending out any record statement as we want to ensure the data is correct. Otherwise, it`ll be a quiet night across the region with increasing cloud cover toward morning as a cold front approaches the region.

I bet the PWS is right. Just different settings between a wide open airfield and areas with more vegetation where people live. More evapotranspiration. Dews are a bit higher, temps a bit lower. I think your PWS is fine.