powderfreak

Yeah I didn’t read the study trying to make that point or reference a comparison to any other type of gathering. I don’t agree with its numbers but even just mentioning a possible study of Sturgis, people seem to assume the authors have said it was worse than other things? University spread seems like it may be similar... certain schools are getting decimated and sent home where it happens.

Yeah it would be from the bars and indoor stuff if it’s there. The outdoor stuff is a hard sell. Close proximity, indoors, no masks, I mean we saw what that one wedding in Maine did recently. The party at Killington recently. If it happens, it happens indoors.

Casper, Wyoming. Not bad for September 8th.

26F with steady snow falling... Chamber of Commerce day in September for ski country, ha. Even snow blowing off the roof into the camera view, looks like dry powder.

It’s like modeling how much money in American health care costs are a result of the fast food industry...maybe this number? Maybe that number? Who knows? But the headline will be good: “Study finds the Fast Food Industry responsible for $100 billion in health care costs and accelerated the deaths of X number of Americans annually.” Modeling costs of negative externalities Is tough.

Any modeling is based on a decent amount of assumptions of behavior, from climate to health to economic models, so definitely use caution in any of those. It’s just another preliminary study that will evolve over time as it gets reviewed. The problem is it’s just such a sensitive topic right now that it’s almost impossible for anyone to read it in a truly objectively, IMO. At least it’s weather relevant factoring in temperature and precip to estimate indoor vs outdoor traffic . Ygcst=β +β Sturgis +β Temp +β Precip + β 'Xst+α +τt +εgct

This graphic out of CBS in Denver is like some Game of Thrones world. Way up NW will be freezing cold, then we will have land of fire, then winter snow, then more fire...

Ha, yeah I remember not even being able to walk around my house or take the dog out without those crampon/tracks you wear over your boots, same idea as chains over car tires. Just inches of clear ice as ground cover.

Pretty crazy satellite of the fires in Cali...that’s when the lack of rain gets real in a hurry.

The diurnal ranges out west are hard to fathom... was just clicking around, saw Steamboat Springs had a high of 89F yesterday and right now it’s 40/28 with a forecast high of 87F again today. Just massive near 50F temp swings...wake up chilly at 40F and then have upper 80s by 2pm.

I absolutely lost it in Jan 2014. That was my melt down on here, we all have one. Philly was on like their 4th winter storm warning and my yard was like 3-4” of clear frozen water....just huge puddles flash frozen in place. Skiing was ice skating while everyone on here cheered about Leon bringing snow after snow south of the Pike. F*ck Leon lol. I’ve never seen anything like that... we’d go from brutal cold (snowstorm down south) to inches of rain, back to brutal cold (another snowstorm down south) then more inches of rain. Its hard to fathom a month that averages so cold, with so much precip, could render so little snowfall. There wasn’t even any upslope behind the rainers either. Just flash freeze and dry.

Bodies wrapped in tie-dyed sheets with peace signs all over.

There’s gotta be some catch. 200k for 2,000 square feet a mile from the base of the ski resort and it isn’t a complete dumpster fire on the inside...

This weekend is out of control, lol. All restaurants have been completely sold out, people getting pissed they can’t eat out. Every parking lot full, cars parked on lawns, been like old times. Even parking along our driveway. Good for the economy.

@cpickett79 here’s your spot... probably 180” annual in your front yard. And you don’t have to sleep in a camper.

Nice on the Stowe Cider! I live like a couple hundred yards from their brewery, ha. Exactly the same choices my wife and I usually have... Double IPA here, Stowe Cider for her. I think Tips Up is her favorite as well, she just calls it the "green can one."

Big moon tonight.

Sign me up for January 2011 too... wasn't the same as yours but it was more than serviceable as we seemed to at least get 8-12" in a couple of those events. That entire winter was awesome though on the whole.

I’m jealous. If the Canadian border doesn’t open, that place is going to be a once in a lifetime powder party with 50% less skiers. I truly think the locals up there are in for something special from a skiing standpoint... I mean millions of people cut off at the border a few miles away in Quebec/Montreal and suburbs, and Americans have to drive past every other ski area to get there, and they aren’t on a multi-mtn pass. Place could be legit empty with that snowfall...wow. I’m jealous, if there’s one place that you could grab the most possible powder turns this winter, it’s Jay hands down... it is in most winters anyway, but close Canada border traffic and it’s like a private powder party.

You and I will likely be rooting for very similar stuff on the whole... from NW upslope set ups to synoptic storms. Sometimes we’ll have differences but by and large compared to the general forum, we’ll be rooting in the same outcomes.

I didn’t realize 30+ in that one got so far north, looks like probably some mid-level high ratio band from like Rutland to Rangley but that’s a classic NW New England screwjie while SE New England has cars trapped on highways.

Yeah it’s crazy the variability in New England...that image might be my largest snowstorm this decade. We are definitely an island up here in NW New England in the sense of the forum. Need Dec 2003 style storms like I said, ha.

That particular one had warning snow amounts in Litchfield/Berkshire/Bennington counties...but the set up was a low moving along a stalled front, those seem to be tighter because you have that strong gradient already in place. Same thing in March 2011 when a strong low tracked over ORH and dropped 27” here in Stowe...it went along a frontal boundary. But yeah not many in New England were too stoked with us getting feet while it’s 56F in ORH. That’s usually a BGM-BTV-CAR type jackpot. Obviously for someone who’s lived in ALB area and then up to NVT, I’ve had a few really fun ones with that track.

It’s just climo unfortunately. Everyone has their tracks. Though I wish we could sign up for Dec 5-6 2003 all the time... 18” for Scooter and 18” up here... 8”+ for the whole forum pretty much. If only we could do this type of widespread dump all the time:

Ha, the Berks and Litchfield did really well in that storm. I look at it not NNE vs SNE, but WNE vs ENE .