powderfreak

The weenie snow maps seem extra weenish this time of year. It’s like counting precip as snow with SFC of 37-40F and 925mb around 0C. Many of the snow maps certainly don’t line up with what soundings would lead you to believe... seen a lot of snow maps shared on social this morning in ski country lol.

Yeah for sure, I could see it changing through the season. It was just shocking how many people seemed oblivious to COVID this weekend... wondering why only prepackaged food was available, why they can’t go inside lodges, why the lift line is so long because its live together ride together. To your point I think people might come and realize IT IS a different experience. They weren’t lying when they said you boot up at your car in the cold. You aren’t taking the family and bags into the lodge, that entire base lodge now has a max occupancy of 75 people including staff with counters at the door. You go in to piss and then go back outside. I think you are on the right train of thought with huge initial demand, until people realize it’s truly about skiing and skiing only. You aren’t getting a beer with your buddies in the lodge. Your not sitting for 4 hours with your kids in a day lodge... if they aren’t into skiing that day you go home.

Honestly most of the smaller tier places are likewise worried that they won’t be able to meet the demand. There will be a lot of overflow from the big resorts where people can’t get tickets for or are at capacity. The industry is concerned it’s going to do flat numbers at a very reduced capacity, thus leading to total chaos as demand far out-paces COVID supply. And even smaller mountains are going to drastically cut back on day ticket sales. Places have stopped selling seasons passes in some cases and stopped all sales all together. Many smaller areas jacket up their rates too, to try and combat the demand. If the last few weekends are any indication, people are so far over COVID it isn’t even funny. These ski areas are going to get full visitation at 50% possible occupancy lol. It’s going to be a sh*tshow. A LOT of people are going skiing to very limited services and lift capacities. I mean this past weekend was filled with “We are no longer allowing people in, we have reached a level of customers we are comfortable with for a global pandemic.” Is met with “What pandemic? That was April. F*ck your comfort level my family wants to ride your gondola.” Lol.

Way up. Epic is substantially up but they added the Peak resorts this year so hard to compare year over year. Most ski areas are way up on passes, people are afraid that’s the only way they can ski as many of the larger operations have said they won’t do day tickets or it’ll be severely restricted day tickets. Many people got discounts/credits on passes from last year’s early closing too, along with assurances/pass insurance this season... there was a ton of incentive to buy a pass this year for consumers and they took it.

Yeah that’s a lot of snow at the picnic tables.

There’s no way to know if someone quarantined or not. How could anyone prove you didn’t sit locked in your house for two weeks before your weekend in VT? Because you can do the quarantine before you visit, so there’s literally zero way to prove anything. Obviously it’s unlikely but unprovable. Given the massive volume of fall foliage tourists from all over the United States this past weekend, it’s a moot point. The Vermont Ski Area Association is basically going with the assumption that people are responsible and follow the state guidance but beyond that it here’s nothing anyone will do. A recent article in the local Stowe paper here quoted the General Manager of Smugglers Notch as saying that the only few people this summer that were asked to leave that resort, were people who openly admitted to not following the quarantine, mocked it, and signed the state’s form anyway. The gist was basically don’t be stupid and advertise that you didn’t follow the guidance as then you sort of force the hand.

You are holding onto Stein’s hand with a strong grip, afraid to let go. Like a Stockholm Syndrome, developing an attachment to your abuser... afraid of what life without Stein will be like.

Yeah she gone. Flood Watches will be out in the next week or so, lol.

Just different zones... based on general storm system trajectories we certainly see different weather than much of the forum. Everything from snow to thunderstorms. Anyway, check out the 18z GFS.... plenty of rain over the next 8 days lol. It goes absolutely wild early next week with a stalled front.

So nice to see the monkey climbing off many backs today. Now every model run with more than a quarter inch of rain won’t get automatically tossed because of Stein. Finished with 0.41” here. As usual if the majority of the forum is getting a lot of a certain type of weather, we probably won’t. We only get a lot when the majority of the forum doesn’t .

There’s a lot of water coming out of the hills these days, ha. This weekend hiking was by far the wettest and muddiest of the entire warm season, IMO.

Lesser rainfall over here, only 0.4” so far... but we actually need to dry out, all joking aside. Around 6” now since 9/27.

Looks like some good totals in Kev’s area... 1-3” so far. Lots of 2”+ in Ellington, Vernon, Manchester, Windsor, etc.

Too much now, ha. 5-6” plus 7”+... soggy soggy if that comes to fruition.

Looks like 1/4-1/3” around here so far.

Haven’t you wanted water?

Ha yeah I wasn’t looking for snow, had the appeal of a raw, cold layer at picnic tables amid larger southerly flow.

35F on Mansfield but might just be a shallow cold wedge around summit height with warmer air above that. Haven’t looked at a sounding.

Water on the 00z 3km NAM. TAN crushed.

It can get wet in a hurry. Just need a few events this time of year for the ground to get soggy with standing water. Pretty good model signals the past day or two for you guys in NH/ME to get soaked with synoptic season starting... those deepening lows tracking near the eastern seaboard usually bring some good water this time of year.

My folks got power back in the Albany suburbs this weekend after 3.5 days without. That's an unheard of amount of time for a power outage in that area. I don't think growing up there I can remember anything more than just a single night without power. It's full on suburbia there, power outages always seemed extremely rare. Lots of underground lines, trees cut well back from lines, etc.

Times Union newspaper in Albany had an article stating the NWS believes 100mph gusts were reached in their CWA.

It needs to rain tomorrow if we are going to keep up our average of 0.40” per day over the past 15 days.

Euro crushing. 1-1.5” QPF as snow.

Yeah but if you put on enough bandaids over several weeks you can fix the gunshot wound.