powderfreak

I bust your balls a lot for your dry persistence forecasting in the warm season but you had the fear and it has continued into the cold season. Your idea of using the dry falls and how those years correlated to shit snowfall the following winter has not been wrong so far.

BTV forecast:

It would be nice.

Yeah, like that guy in the ski thread who vacationed there recent at one of Alex’s properties and said they woke up every morning to the car covered in fresh snow. It has been amazing to me the lack of synoptic snowfall or even precip events. It hasn’t rained or snowed synoptically in a long time. I guess tomorrow is synoptic but there’s an orographic assist too. Been a while since just straight mid-level lift producing precip.

Just ran into an old friend at the gas station 15 minutes ago in Stowe, his first words were “You must be stoked we are having a good old winter finally with cold and snow”…. right after getting back from BTV where my wife was commenting on the grass blades showing and how little snow there was. If you live in the orographic bubble, the perception is wildly different from outside of it. Locally folks seem oblivious to what’s going on regionally.

It is crazy the differences. I also don’t think people up here realize how lucky we’ve been too. Everyone talking about “finally an ol’ fashion winter” and I’m thinking we haven’t seen a synoptic snow in like a month and are only surviving because of orographic or mesoscale stuff. It’s been very tenuous but has worked out to date.

Ahh so a cold 48F instead.

You chillin with a chainsaw waiting for one of them to come down?

The mountain got blasted with 6-7” and I’m at the Dentist.

Tomorrow afternoon will feel cold after today. 8F at 2pm here? After 36F today. Decent FROPA.

I’m here for the weather and snowfall discussion… love ski area ops disco too, but try to avoid opinions on the business side of things, both good or bad.

Changes at the C-Suite level wouldn’t impact the local operating leaders much. Course corrections can be warranted at any level though.

Strong southwesterly winds resulted in a lot of blowing snow today in the sunshine, even in the valley. Despite temps rising to the 32-36F range today, the snowpack remained very dry and transportable with the low RH/dews.

We just don’t know when he’ll strike. Nobody does.

Had some surprise squalls this morning, had 2” at home. 3,000ft had 5” in 24 hours.

There were some nice 30-35dbz squalls around the area today. Mansfield avoided a true whiteout but High Road plot picked up 2" regardless.

Down to -3F now. SLK and HIE/BML are the true cold spots.

We are averaging 5 degrees colder in the means (than the last few winters) and snowfall has increased. Despite the colder winter than recent seasons, it is a normal winter in terms of temperatures up here. But the change from the recent winters make it feel like a better than normal winter to date.

It was 55” yesterday evening. Haven't seen it released by BTV yet tonight.

Yeah today had to have been the driest and fluffiest snow yet. You can see the texture, all air.

Picked up 4-5” of fluff last night on the hill. Very fake.

Good point. The big event climo max is a bit further NE in the means.

It’s been an enjoyably average winter up here so far. After multiple years of winter months with massive departures (like +8 months at times), having sustained cold and sustained snowpack has led to a fun winter to date. Expectations are low. Compared to recent years, the consistent cold, dry settled snow on the ground has led to a more normal January vibe. It isn’t deep, but even a 7-14” of consistently cold snow depth makes for a wintry month. Mansfield Stake depth at elevation tracking slightly above normal. @J.Spin with a similar track compared to normal snowfall down at low elevation. It’s pretty crazy the mirroring going on between the Mansfield summit COOP depth and J.Spin’s snowfall relative to normal.

This is a good reminder. I also sometimes think that one good blizzard can make a season in some spots of SNE, but those are exceedingly rare. This isn’t the Gulf Coast. Multiple warning events are needed to get to climo and it just hasn’t come close for many so far.

Its been much colder than normal lately as you head south. We’ve been below freezing for a while but the coldest anomalies are definitely south. -10F here vs 26F half a foot of powder on the GOM palm tree beaches… what’s more impressive .