powderfreak

Yeah most of the lift is up higher so it wouldn’t matter much either way, just something to look out for… that wind shift looks to bring the changeover.

I just looked more into the wind/flow and all the snow profile is NW flow behind the FROPA. It’s not like an east flow coastal. 10AM Sat on 18z GFS. You can see the ESE flow is under the warm air at 850mb, not snow profile. Then where wind streamlines go NW behind the front is where it starts snowing. You can see the frontal position in the streamlines. Looks like everyone will need wind to go NW in this to flip to snow. Anyone seeing E/SE flow will be in the warm sector and N/NW will be cold sector. Both here and there, it’ll start snowing when the wind goes NW as the front will be through.

18z GFS did go back west. It’s nail biting, ha. This thing will have one helluva gradient on the SE side.

Or rain right through. 18z NAM was a wet day Saturday. Changes over late here but not ideal. 4pm Sat

My sister had 4.5” out by BGM, said forecast was for around an inch. Pics look nice out there. Seems like a nice Advisory event down south.

Looks a lot more wintry there than here, ha.

That’s a nice looking radar for DIT.

Much better look for Phin’s area than GFS/GGEM. That spreads snows into far NW SNE and Backedge’s spot too. Gives a bit of wiggle room up this way too.

I didn’t want to say specific locations, ha. Trigger warning.

ALB has had 1/4-1/2sm SN the past 60-90 min. Not bad. Should translate eastward?

I’m dying at these exchanges .

That southern snow is todays event.

Provided the two-lane road to the ski area isn't completely screwed up on Harlow Hill from vehicles who can't climb it, it's fine. Sunday looks very windy and regardless of P-Type on Saturday, I see significant lift operation issues on Sunday.

I want this to get as far east as possible right now. I still think big early spring storm, convection in SE, could amp a bit on arrival. Riding the line between big snow and big rain or mix.

Can't get any better than 12z GFS... about 2" QPF with perfectly placed thermals. Decent snow growth column.

All downhill from here. The thermal profiles coupled with QPF, definitely the jackpot that run up here. Tall lift all within the DGZ zone… maximizing thermal profile.

Yup, it costs so much money to support an affluent population on the whole.

That’s great. Invest in the under represented areas of America and make money doing it. There are still a lot of economies with potential.

It’s a tough call, they will have to make up the money elsewhere. The state governments have barely been able to keep up with needed road work in many areas. Bridges need to replacing. Gas tax compensates for other taxation short falls. You feel for the family operating with a Toyota Corolla or Honda Accord that can’t meet the gas prices. Folks in $50,000+ trucks and SUVs worrying about gas prices going up is definitely an American problem.

Nice RT 2 fronto band in Mass. BDL went from 0.46" to 0.16" QPF but there was very little change in N.MA and extreme SVT/SNH near the border.

Oh it's bad. I didn't ski today but there's only so much rain and melt you can have and then freeze it up. At some point grooming machines can't even really do anything about it. There's just so much frozen water... you get like the blue ice bulges in the middle of trails that grooming tillers just bounce off of. It's like trying to cut up pavement. Anything with pitch is terrifying as a fall can send someone for a slide for life even on like an intermediate trail... where you don't stop until you hit something.

It's a thread the needle type situation when a low is moving up along a frontal boundary that's also moving. Gotta be in the right place at the right time. That EPS run was about the best thread the needle situation. A lot of members with major upstate NY snows that just clips NW New England.

We’ll be praying for suppression depression soon. Much rather a fringe job than 1-2” of rainfall.

Yeah I’m sort of given up on this winter really getting it done, now it’s time to enjoy whatever snow falls. 12z euro was more progressive.

If that's worse case I'll take it ha. Just want anything to cover up the defunct municipal skating rink look going on outside.