powderfreak

Another example of how hot it was and what even “normal” feels like…

Normal low temp here is 54F in the most recent 30-year climo update.  The forecast low is 57F, which is a great relief.  But it’s still above normal and we will bill it as substantial relief.

Yesterday was 91F (+13) max and 70F (+16) min… a +15 day in high summer is very impressive.  Big anomalies are harder to come by this time of year… standard deviation less than it is in cold season.

19 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Sliders open?  Watch for bears!

In dog we trust.

51 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yup…that backdoor is a cooler airmass, but still humid. There’s 3 airmasses over the region right now.

62/58 here.

You know it’s been humid when dews of upper 50s feels like a breath of fresh air.  A 58F dew felt humid after June and first half of July.

Windows and doors open, wife complaining about being cold.  Don’t give a shit if your cold right now honey, grab a blanket, embrace it and enjoy it. Sliders are staying open.

18 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

We wish it was like the tropical grounds of Stowe where it precipitates every day.

Ha you and TBlizz have had more in like 90 minutes than I have in two weeks I think.

We do have it more frequently though, a bunch of 0.25-0.50” vs the one time 1.50”+.  Only 1.33” here in past two weeks I think but like 5 days with rain out of 14.

The Taunton crew racking up the water this week.  Good to see.  Full the swamps back up.

64/59  

My mini-split seems to be pumping out heat now.

8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I think it more apt to say it is a wild gradient for August ?

not trying to tamp down your expression - it is an impressive gradient, regardless.  But that is actually pretty common in spring around here - "down here" may be more apropos. 

Like, I've seen the 40 F differences across even short ranges, between Lawrence Massachusetts, and Hartford CT on some hapless screen door slammin' nonsuspecting day in May, many ... many times.    In fact, ALB at 83 while it is 38 F at the end of April's - I think I've seen that at least a handful over the decades.   

Not sure what the return rate for butt boning BD "extremes" are, as opposed to just the standard dildo ..but I know that 30 F variance between HFD and BOS is rudely fairly common.

Yes good call.  For mid-summer.  Usually do not see this type of gradient in the second half of summer too.  Once we get into autumn you start seeing it more.  But to have 59F afternoon at MSS in the St Lawerance Valley, while most of SNE is about to burst into flames from high HI... it's impressive.  More so because it's not just like its upper 80s down there... but high end record heat.

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

95 BOS ?

if so we have a winner! 

 

Meanwhile BTV is 63F.

That's a wild gradient across New England right now.

66/61 here now at 12:10pm.  Breezy northwest wind too.

Lol.  How it can go from afternoons of absolute torching to sitting mid-60s is wild.

50s are back in N.NY like MSS.

Front is through BTV… 64/61.

Just a wild boundary between cool and absolute torch.

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

1.04” through the tipper…back to -RA

Roughly a half inch here, rounding up by a few hundredths. 

21 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

Incredibly dry around here.  Some days we missed rain by only a mile or two....

May           2.25"
June        0.22"
July        1.03"
August        0.20"

You “win.”  That’s insane.  The 1.45” L.E. in 2+ months.  Averaging under 0.75” per month.

18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Dude there are hundreds of mob bodies in there… Who are these people kidding in the media that act like this is headline and nobody knew it was coming

A massive reservoir about 20 miles outside Las Vegas… gambling, prostitution, drugs… the vice capital of the world. Organized crime thrives there. You wonder how many people really “disappeared” in that area over the years.

Southern VT plateau though… 

The western US knows how to do drought.  They just keep finding bodies as the water level drops in Lake Mead.  The 4th one this summer.

Wonder what the drought here in the northeast will uncover… 

Mob hits left and right.  “Boaters found a body inside of a barrel after extremely low water levels exposed the bottom of the lake.”

https://www.npr.org/2022/08/08/1116307660/lake-mead-human-remains-fourth-body-swim-beach

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Damn girl. Gusty swirling winds

Nice, I think I described it the same earlier.  Swirling gusty winds, wasn’t like true straight line winds.

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Im Not arguing it’s not a furnace with 90’s like we’ve had. BOS just averaged 90 degrees over the last 3 weeks for their first time in recorded history.  So anything less is going to be cooler. It looks to me based on enslikr it may…. ( may) turn into a warm , humid wetter pattern mid and late month . A cutoff to our SW in Augdewst means warmth and humidity and storm chances. That said I do not hug for a second it is going to turn wet and rainy . Droughts tend to change so called “ modeled looks” 

No argument on any of that.  This weekend into early next week the trough axis is right over us… but then retrogrades westward as we go through next week which would support larger scale SE flow.  Eventually by like Aug 18-20 it’s in the Ohio Valley.  Good ‘cane look too, sucking up the coast.

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You do realize if that happened that shows a cutoff to our SW which would pump up high dews but keep days under 90 with south flow. That is not a cold nW flow pattern. 

Model data averages 2-M temps around normal, GEFS a bit cooler.

No one is saying it’s cold, but after this stretch, this is a noticeable change that the public will notice.  Hopefully dews stay up for you my man.

I’m also not even sure it happens but on a science forum we have some data saying a change is going to happen.

These are 2-M temps days 5-9 averaged.

The ensembles are sort of done with the torch after Thursday.  Just nice August weather after that.

We can argue if they are right or wrong but they all say the same thing Day 5-9.

EPS:

The GEFS…

And why not the Canadian ensembles too?

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We know you don’t look at model data and rather mock data you don’t agree with, but numerous models have decent anomalies at 850mb this weekend.  Doesn’t mean jacket weather, just a break.

Here’s Euro:

15 minutes ago, kdxken said:

4.4 in the woodyard since May 1st what do you got?

You’ve only had 4.40” since May 1st or June 1st?

Around 12” here since 5/1.  West side of Mansfield in Underhill looks to be leading the state of VT with 16.5”-17.5”.

22 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Just about the same rain with round one, Stratus is just a tick above 0.30” line.  We had some pretty solid winds too, thought we might lose power to be honest, downbursty swirling with the heavy rain.

Just saw MVL ASOS gusted 43mph with that storm.  Sounds about right, I would’ve estimated in the 40-50mph zone.  More than enough to risk losing some full foliage branches and stuff.  Probably the best wind of a storm yet this season.

14 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Hit 90.1° today. This is the second summer with my weather station and the first 90° reading. Also had .34 in about 15 minutes. 

Just about the same rain with round one, Stratus is just a tick above 0.30” line.  We had some pretty solid winds too, thought we might lose power to be honest, downbursty swirling with the heavy rain.

Looks like 90-91F again so far for MVL and MPV.  Dews near 70F.  High end stuff up here… while it’s in the 60s like 30-40 miles north.

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Just about through lavarock now.

Up this way it sagged south this morning but almost seems to be retreating north a bit as a warm front.  Must be a little wave rippling through.

1 minute ago, wx2fish said:

57 in Rangeley and 88 at BML is pretty wild. 

A/C humming along while folks are wearing hoodies and pants like a county to the north.