nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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4.6” and mod SN. 25/24.
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Yeah, feeling like we hit the upper range of forecasts based on trends so far - this stuff is so fluffy too which is helping to accumulate quickly. Super pumped to see this turning into a region wide type of event vs what was shown a few days ago. Looks like the show is starting out east!
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26/24, closing on 3.5”. Pouring snow.
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2.4” 26/25 SN
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Nice big dendrites mixing in now with the smaller flakes. This is fluffy AF so will pile up nicely.
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26/24 and SN. 1.3” Went to our favorite lakeside bar after church - back home now to put a fire on and finish making homemade pasta.
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Go Navy, Beat Army!
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Dark green now covering the city
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26/26 with SN-. This looks like it’s part of the clipper system vs the upslope we’ve had all day. Let’s goooo!
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26/25, its been flurries / SN- all day. Looks like the main show should be starting in a few hours.
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Yeah, I was saying something similar earlier (without a sounding though) — if I was going to be home in Alexandria for this, I still wouldn’t be sweating temps. There’s cold air above very close by and DP as precip starts is probably ~31.
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Latest HRRR at H18 (snow still falling) - actually seems in line with Euro.
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Looking at the HRRR now, even with temps reaching low/mid 40s for majority of the area, DPs are below freezing, and the 925 freezing line cuts through C MD this afternoon (aka cold air is close above). I don’t think temps will be a major concern - but will lose some at the start in the usual spots.
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I expect a new snowy cabin profile pic!
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TSSN’s computer screen is zoomed way in on Hanover, PA and doesn’t look anywhere else.
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Last four runs. Precip shield has shifted W into western NVA and N/W into the NW areas in MD.
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3k NAM ratios show your area finishing with ~13/14:1 ratios which will help your area. I’m glad to see this turning more into a regional event vs just limited to a very narrow band like a few days ago.
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Definitely see a path to double digits in the mountains, ratios here will be good.
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Morning fellow weenies! 24/23 with flurries. Had a fresh coating overnight. Heading to the tire shop to get my snow tires put on for the season.
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After bottoming out to 15 earlier, up to 21 now (in line with model/forecast).
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It sucks with temps IMO. I’d rely on Euro/3k/etc for that at this point.
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Ukie used to be a better model…it just seems to always be off the last few years. I’d trust the higher resolution models at this point. I do think DC will likely be just under 10:1 ratios.
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Btw, Pivotal’s new beta site is so much better than the old one. Took me a minute to figure out the navigation but once I did, its really good.
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Glad you had a great time and yeah, that was a great winter last year here. The second you cross into the county driving up 68, it’s basically another world. It’s my happy place.
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GFS has over 0.6” of QPF at Deep Creek through Sunday night with upslope snow showers continuing. What a weenie run.
