mattskiva

I'm just on the eastern edge of that cell, it's pretty windy here.

Under it right now. Rain, some wind but nothing spectacular, a little thunder, no lightning.

It certainly doesn't compare to the December event where most of Loudoun got a foot.

That's a lot of sleet! (apparently an artifact of the forecast changing from "snow and sleet" to "freezing rain and sleet")

Same in Aldie. Huge flakes right now. SN+

Not really buying that. I get the idea that any CAD would scour out more quickly (or never exist at all) at 3200 feet, but we're not talking about CAD with the snow scenario, and even if sea level at that latitude is in the 40s, it seems unlikely that the huge different in elevation would result in so much less accumulation in Tucker than in Garrett. In the vast majority of scenarios, Canaan sees more accumulation than Garrett (though there are certainly some exceptions).

1.5" Aldie

Do you do anything but complain? Not enough rain in the summer, not enough snow in the winter.

Had plans to go to Canaan, really hard call on what it's going to be like up there. They've gotten rain from a bunch of storms in Dec but above 3,000 feet there might be enough cold for this not to be a total disaster. I like the 2-8 inch forecast... reallly you could almost say 0-12" because it could easily bust high or low up there.

And yet somehow Loudoun always ends up near the max totals for the region (with the exception of the more southern storms).

3.5” roads are a mess

Snow/sleet here now, just over 2"

1” here, ripping snow right now.

Sounds like things are rough down in the Northern Neck. PDS warning for "flash flood emergency" BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Wakefield VA 952 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR MIDDLESEX, KING AND QUEEN, NORTHUMBERLAND, RICHMOND, WESTMORELAND, KING WILLIAM, LANCASTER, AND ESSEX COUNTIES... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Northwestern Middlesex County in eastern Virginia... King and Queen County in east central Virginia... Northwestern Northumberland County in eastern Virginia... Richmond County in east central Virginia... Westmoreland County in east central Virginia... Central King William County in east central Virginia... Northwestern Lancaster County in eastern Virginia... Essex County in east central Virginia... * Until 345 AM EDT. * At 947 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated gauges indicated heavy rain across the warned area. Three to five inches of rain have fallen, and an additional two to four inches are possible. Flash flooding is occurring with water rescues reported in Richmond County. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR Middlesex, King and Queen, Northumberland, Richmond, Westmoreland, King William, Lancaster, and Essex Counties. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! * Some locations that will experience dangerous flooding include... King William, West Point, Tappahannock, Warsaw, Montross, Champlain, Saint Stephens Church, Robley, King And Queen Court House, Callao, Center Cross, Kinsale, Morattico, Heathsville, Farnham, Haynesville, Jamaica, Millers Tavern, Newland and Coles Point. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. Please report flooding by calling 757-899-2415, posting to the NWS Wakefield Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSWAKEFIELDVA.

Visible rotation on this cell near Aldie - anything on radar?

This, too. Why on earth would any company insure any property in downtown EC at this point?

I would frankly find it very surprising to learn that there are states that are more regulated than Maryland, in any capacity. Well, maybe California, but even that has to be pretty close.

You people will 'meh' anything. Admittedly, no hail so far at my location, just heavy rain, and not too much wind. But lots of very loud CG strikes very close to me.

Very impressive lightning with the cell over my area (near South Riding). Lots of big CG strikes, looks like positive strikes if the radar is to be believed.

It was certainly severe in parts of the area - it seems like the storms may have weakened as they approached the metro. Loudoun, Fauquier and points west got it pretty good.

Media reports of a possible tornado south of Dulles, according to family. Anyone else hear this? Would make sense - hearing social media reports of trees uprooted and snapped in half in South Riding, about 5mi north of my location. This was about an hour ago, just getting online now

Sky was really unusual as the first storm (the Charles Town cell) moved in here. I would guess we had gusts >70mph based on past storms and what the trees did. Very intense gusts followed by 0.89" of rain in about 30 minutes and quarter sized hail. I think the worst of it was actually to my north, closer to Ashburn.

85/73

78/69 at KIAD, 80/70 at KHEF. I am showing 82/72 about 10mi to the SW of IAD. Much warmer than I expected. Full sun since noon.

Snowmageddon 1 without a doubt. Living in Loudoun County, we got a foot more snow out of that one than '96. I do remember '96 fondly, though. The negative for me in that one was that there was a lot more mixing which kept totals down a bit. My parents lived in Carroll County, MD and got crazy amounts in '96.