mattskiva

I'm actually kind of surprised to hear there are a lot of Leesburg people in Deep Creek. Davis/Canaan is like 45-60 minutes closer now with US 48. I always thought of Deep Creek as more of the Baltimore crowd.

Why would you buy at the lake, vs in Davis or Canaan which gets 2x as much snow out of every storm, has actual vertical relief, and is easily accessible from the Byrd Superhighway? Of course, land there isn't any cheaper right now, and it's also a 2 year wait minimum to build. So instead of sitting in my slopeside house, I get to ski by my slopeside empty lot and stay in the Canaan Valley Lodge. First world problems, I suppose. 20" of new snow made for pretty good 1200 vert glade skiing today.

It's still WISP, with its 600 vert that skis like 300.

Still holding 21.2F KJYO, 21.9F KHEF

Okay, so they updated it at 5:30 and you hit refresh more often than I do. Bully for you. It was 1-3" earlier. The point you're missing is that if it wasn't snowing, I could get on my motorcycle and be in "western Loudoun" in 8 minutes. At the same latitude and same elevation I am at now. It's a completely arbitrary designation. There are parts of Loudoun where the weather is often very different from my area, but they are not easily drawn as a straight line on a map.

I am near Dulles and everything is a glacier. All side roads untreated, unplowed.

My advisory language was for 1-3" and then mixed precip, but sure. 10 miles away it's a warning. At the same elevation and latitude as here

About 4" here in "eastern Loudoun" under my winter weather advisory. Mostly heavy sleet now, building a nice glacier on top of the powder.

Plus, I get a text forecast with this particular brand of language abuse: Rain, snow, and freezing rain before 3am, then a chance of rain between 3am and 4am, then a chance of rain and snow after 4am. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 30. Northeast wind 13 to 16 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. So, the snow could be heavy at times, but it will accumulate less than an inch? Okay, I'd like to see how that works.

Still 21.2F here with snow, 3-4 inches at least I'd say. NWS really needs to drop the "eastern/western loudoun" fetish they have with these new forecast zones. Eastern Loudoun often ends up with warning criteria yet under an advisory. I'm west of Dulles but in their "eastern loudoun" zone.

You'll still do well with the upslope. Canaan will do even better as it always does in these situations. Could be really big numbers there.

That's highly unlikely, especially as the mass exodus from the cities post covid continues.

You prefer we destroy our watersheds by littering them with broken glass, plastic and steel from cars?

All the 0Z suite give Loudoun 6"+, except the GEM which has a stupid bias. If those numbers are right, I'll take that. Of course some of that is probably sleet.

The Alleghenies always jack in these storms, what does that have to do with you? They jacked even when we got 3ft back in '16.

I thought this was the banter thread, given the 70 or so memes from 2015 that were posted here this morning

CWG's latest facebook post says only 1-4" for DC area, so I am sure you'll be fine - after all, they've never grossly underforecast amounts before lmao

Under 50 dbz echoes now, good lightning show

Yeah that's the one. I wonder how much consideration is given to not setting off 5 million cell phones and waking up a whole metro area with EAS activation at 2am.

Left storm (is that kind of like left shark?) heading straight at me, about 15mi away. Tons of thunder and distant lightning now

Looks like maybe a hook in the SW portion of that cell now

There was a brief period of hail as it moved in (small hail). Lasted only about 3 minutes. Then garden variety thunderstorm, nothing exciting.

Under the leading edge of that cell now - getting hail and lightning

Excellent - I am down at our place at Colonial Beach this week and that track would seem to put the center of the storm pretty much right over top of us. That's a good bit west of the latest NHC track, though.

1" hail in SE loudoun area https://share.icloud.com/photos/0zy9Q0mb6wdf5m_evGzGqSApg#Chantilly_-_Cedar_Crest