uncle W

the averages are going up in NYC faster than any time in recorded history...the minimums out doing the maximums...we can argue why its happening and I believe the expanding heat islands play a roll in the higher temperatures...plus other factors like the Sun...the average temperature in NYC went up about a degree on average in the 1890's...1930's...1990's...2010's...some of it can be traced to the development of Manhattan and the outer borough's...New Jersey is creating its own heat island with every parking lot being built...less sticks in the sticks...to bad it is a political football because politics ruin any cooperation finding a cure so to speak...

especially when you use data from years ago when Miami was a small town...

November in NYC...decade averages and extremes... 1971-2000 normal's...Temperature...47.1...Precipitation...4.36"...Snowfall...0.4" Average temperature... decade....Ave.t.....High.....low....ave.max/min...max...min...rainfall...snowfall... 1870's.....42.2.....45.5.....37.0...........................76.......7.....3.66".....0.9" 1880's.....43.2.....45.5.....38.7.....67.3.....21.2.....71.....13.....3.54".....1.8" 1890's.....45.1.....49.9.....41.5.....66.7.....24.1.....72.....14.....3.76".....3.3" 1900's.....45.7.....51.6.....39.7.....65.8.....26.6.....74.....19.....1.91".....0.3" 1910's.....45.0.....47.8.....41.6.....69.5.....26.7.....76.....19.....2.90".....0.2" 1920's.....45.6.....49.2.....43.9.....70.0.....24.1.....76.....12.....2.65".....0.1" 1930's.....46.2.....51.9.....41.8.....70.4.....21.4.....78.....12.....3.05".....2.2" 1940's.....47.5.....52.4.....44.2.....70.4.....27.5.....74.....23.....3.59".....0.6" 1950's.....47.1.....49.7.....43.5.....70.5.....24.5.....84.....16.....3.80".....0.5" 1960's.....47.3.....50.4.....42.5.....69.9.....28.7.....78.....20.....3.73".....0.3" 1970's.....47.6.....52.5.....41.7.....71.5.....25.7.....81.....17.....4.91".....0.3" 1980's.....47.7.....50.4.....44.6.....72.4.....26.9.....79.....18.....4.97".....0.6" 1990's.....47.6.....52.0.....43.0.....72.0.....27.7.....80.....23.....3.41".....0.3" 2000's.....48.6.....52.7.....45.3.....70.0.....28.0.....79.....22.....3.77".....trace 2010's.....47.5.....52.8.....43.9.....70.0.....26.8.....74.....15.....3.48".....1.3"...2010-2018 1870- 2009........46.2........................….69.7.....25.6.......................3.55".....0.8" 1980- 2009........48.0........................….71.5.....27.5.......................4.05".....0.3" Warmest Novembers... 52.8 in 2015 52.7 in 2001 52.5 in 1979 52.4 in 1948 52.3 in 1975 51.9 in 2011 51.9 in 2006 51.9 in 1994 51.9 in 1931 51.5 in 1902 51.1 in 2009 50.8 in 1999 Coldest... 37.0 in 1873 38.8 in 1871 38.9 in 1880 39.0 in 1882 39.3 in 1875 39.7 in 1901 40.3 in 1869 wettest... 12.41" in 1972 12.26" in 1977 10.00" in 1889 8.90" in 1988 8.24" in 1963 8.09" in 1985 7.62" in 2018 Driest... 0.34" in 1976 0.60" in 1931 0.71" in 1908 0.71" in 1890 0.86" in 1917 0.90" in 1933 Highest Temperatures... 84 11/01/1950 83 11/02/1950 81 11/01/1974 80 11/15/1993 79 11/02/1982 79 11/03/2003 78 11/07/1938 78 11/05/1961 78 11/04/1975 78 11/03/1990 Coldest temperatures... _7 11/30/1875 11 11/30/1872 12 11/27/1932 12 11/30/1929 13 11/22/1880 14 11/23/1880 14 11/24/1880 14 11/29/1875 15 11/23/2018... Lowest monthly max... 60 in 1878 60 in 1893 60 in 1901 60 in 1904 61 in 1976 61 in 1947 61 in 1907 61 in 1884 Highest monthly min... 36 in 2011 36 in 1998 35 in 2006 35 in 2009 34 in 1902 34 in 1963 34 in 1975 34 in 2001 34 in 2010 34 in 2016 33 in 1907 33 in 1948 33 in 1985 Greatest monthly snowfall... 19.0" in 1898 14.0" in 1882 12.8" in 1938 ..6.4" in 2018 _6.3" in 1892 _5.0" in 1896 Biggest snowfalls... 10.0" 11/26-27/1898 9.0" 11/29/30/1882 est... 8.8" 11/24-25/1938 6.4" 11/15/2018 6.0" 11/30/1898 5.0" 11/29-30/1896 4.7" 11/07-08/2012 4.7" 11/22-23/1989 4.0" 11/29-30/1892 4.0" 11/26-27/1938 3.7" 11/26/1882 est... 3.7" 11/29-30/1945 3.0" 11/24/1898 3.0" 11/30/1967 2.9" 11/30/1995

I got around 5" of slush with that storm...Lost power for hours and my gazebo was flattened... https://www.nycsubway.org/perl/show?129631

I still like 1959 for enso, qbo and the ao forecast going into November...The ao was very negative in November 1959 and there was a major cold shot after mid month... Oct 1959 compared to 2019 and Nov 1959...

I had my eye on 1959-60 and 1992-93 for a while...59-60 is my top analogue as of now...both had big March storms...

I heard flurries was the forecast in 47...great bust... 1947... http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/52878037/ http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/52878066/

I remember all the busts good or bad...1989 had a bad bust in February and one in December...

that was Jan 19-20th, 1978...only Alan kasper was worried we would get a big hit on his late night show...from Jan. 9th-Feb 7th 1978 there were six major storms that brought rain or snow or both...that was a bad month for letter carriers...

the morning of the March 3rd 1960 storm had a forecast for snow changing to rain on the morning TV news...I was walking on 11th Ave and 63rd St at about 8am with light snow falling...it was 27 degrees and snow was starting to drift near the curb...I said to myself how could this snow change to rain...it could have easy if a coastal that developed near Virginia and bombed out didn't...the weather bureau missed that one...That evening while listing to WMGM on the radio the disc jockey ( Scott Muni ) said 'hey kids...no school tomorrow'...

the December 11-12th 1960 storm is still one of my favorites...16.6" in Bensonhurst...21" at Newark...15.2" in Central Park...record cold followed...then the two disasters spoiled it...it was great to be 11 years old during March 1960 to Feb. 1961 ...four cold windy snowstorms and hurricane Donna...

one of my first weather memories was hearing the wind howling thru the alley way of my house...it was situated almost ne/sw so the ne wind had a funneling effect...it had to be from 1954 when I was five...

Newark NJ...…. least and most 90 degree days for Newark NJ since 1933... year.....total...cons...max...total 100 days... 1933.....18.....….5.....101.....1 1934.....18...…...5.....100.....1 1935.....14...…...3...….96 1936.....22...…...5.....104.....2 1937.....22...…...5.....100.....1 1938.....18...…...3...….95 1939.....24...…...3......95 1940.....15...…...5......99 1941.....27...…...4......97 1942.....15...…...2......98 1943.....31...…...4.....102.....2 1944.....39...…...8.....102.....4 1945.....24...…...5...….99 1946.....11...…...3......95 1947.....22...…...4......99 1948.....26...…...6.....103.....2 1949.....36...…...8.....105.....8 1950.....18...…...4...….98 1951.....18...…...3...….96 1952.....31...…...6.....102.....1 1953.....32...….11.....105.....6 1954.....18...…...3.....103.....2 1955.....32...…...6.....101.....4 1956.....14...…...5...….99 1957.....28...…...5.....101.....1 1958.....21...…...3...….96 1959.....40...…...5.....100.....1 1960.....13...…...4...….94 1961.....34...…...4...….98 1962.....14...…...4...….98 1963.....20...…...6.....100.....1 1964.....26...…...4...….99 1965.....26...…...4...….97 1966.....33...…...5.....105.....5 1967...….7...…...3...….95 1968.....23...…...4...….98 1969.....15...…...3...….96 1970.....22...…...5...….94 1971.....22...…...5...….96 1972.....21...….12...….96 1973.....31...….11.....100.....1 1974.....18...…...4...….98 1975.....12...…...4...….98 1976.....14...…...3...….93 1977.....26...…...9.....102.....2 1978.....16...…...5...….98 1979.....20...…...5...….96 1980.....27...…...4.....101.....2 1981.....21...…...8...….98 1982.....12...…...4.....100.....1 1983.....40...…...7...….99 1984.....22...…...5...….97 1985.....11...…...3...….97 1986.....22...…...5.....100.....1 1987.....37...…...8...….98 1988.....43...….20.....101.....5 1989.....27...…...6...….99 1990.....26...…...4...….98 1991.....41...…...7.....102.....2 1992.....22...…...3...….98 1993.....49...….10.....105.....9 1994.....39...…...5.....102.....2 1995.....33...….12.....104.....1 1996...….9...…...3...….99 1997.....20...…...6.....101.....2 1998.....21...…...4...….98 1999.....33...…...8.....103.....3 2000.....16...…...4...….96 2001.....22...…...5.....105.....3 2002.....41...….10.....100.....2 2003.....20...…...5...….95 2004.....13...…...2...….97 2005.....37...…...5.....102.....3 2006.....31...….10.....101.....3 2007.....21...…...4...….97 2008.....22...…...7...….99 2009.....11...…...7...….95 2010.....54...….14.....103.....4 2011.....31...…...5.....108.....4 2012.....33...….11.....104.....3 2013.....25...…...7.....101.....2 2014.....15...…...3...….96 2015.....35...…...9...….98 2016.....40...…...8...….99 2017.....22...…...4...….99 2018.....36...…...6...….98 2019.....27...…...4...….99 2020.....

fake news covering the day...

I was a baby in 1949 and it is still the hottest July 4th on record...1978 was the coolest with a high of 62 and rain falling...1986 was the coolest...two days later it was 98 degrees...1981 is the wettest with a rainy fireworks night... July 4th almanac for NYC... Highest max. Lowest max. Highest min. Lowest min. Max. Precipitation. 102 in 1949....62 in 1978....81 in 2002....55 in 1986....1.76" in 1981 ..99 in 1919....64 in 1941....79 in 1999....57 in 1938....1.20" in 1872 ..98 in 1966....68 in 1909....78 in 1876....58 in 1882....1.20" in 1895 ..97 in 1911....69 in 1895....78 in 1908....58 in 1909....1.19" in 1978 ..97 in 1955....70 in 1882....78 in 1974....58 in 1978....1.11" in 1967 ..96 in 1999....70 in 1954....78 in 1983....58 in 1979....1.06" in 1906 ..96 in 2002....71 in 2007....77 in 2006....59 in 1963....1.00" in 1889 ..96 in 2010 ..96 in 1898. 1872... http://bklyn.newspap.../image/50350422 1895 storm... http://bklyn.newspap.../image/50410949 1906... http://bklyn.newspap.../image/53874183 1949 heat... http://bklyn.newspap...image/57072676/ http://bklyn.newspap.../image/57072686 1919 heat... http://bklyn.newspap...image/55306748/ 1911 heat wave... http://bklyn.newspap...image/53944070/ 1939... http://www.nycsubway...erl/show?113363

snow lovers have been spoiled since 1994...some great winters since then...1993-94...1995-96...2002-03...2009-10...2010-11...2013-14...2014-15...the two biggest snowstorms came in different years...both topped 1947...the 1980's and 1880's had one each...both epic storms...the blizzard of 1888 looks like it was under measured when you look at some of the pictures...

here is NYC 10" snowfalls...JFK you can get from this site... https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/IPS/lcd/lcd.html?_page=1&state=NY&stationID=94789&_target2=Next+> snowfalls 10" or greater...... Year....date....amount"... 1872...12/26.......18.0" 1874...12/20.......10.0" 1875...4/13.........10.0" 1876...2/3-4........11.0" 1877...1/1-2........13.0" 1879...1/15-16....13.0" 1888...3/12-14....21.0" 1896...3/2...........10.0" 1896...3/15-16....12.0" 1897...1/27-28....10.0" 1898...11/26-27..10.0" 1899...2/12-14....16.0" 1902...2/17..........10.0" 1905...1/24-25.....11.0" 1907...2/4-5.........11.0" 1908...1/23-24.....10.0" 1910...1/14-15.....10.0" 1912...12/24........11.4" 1914...3/1-2.........14.5" 1915...4/3-4.........10.2" 1916...12/15........12.7" 1920...2/4-7.........17.5" 1921...2/20..........12.5" 1925...1/2............11.5" 1926...2/3-4.........10.4" 1926...2/9-10.......12.0" 1933...2/11..........10.0" 1933...12/26........11.2" 1935...1/23-24.....13.0" 1941...3/7-8.........18.1"...ended as a mix... 1947...2/20-21.....10.7" 1947...12/26-27...26.4" 1948...12/19-20...16.0" 1956...3/18-19.....11.6" 1958...3/19-20.....11.8"...some rain was mixed.. 1959...12/21-22...13.7" 1960...3/3-4.........14.5" 1960...12/11-12...15.2" 1961...2/3-4.........17.4" 1964...1/12-13.....12.5" 1967...2/7............12.5" 1969...2/9-10.......15.3" 1978...1/19-20.....13.6"...ended as ice... 1978...2/6-7.........17.7" 1979...2/19..........12.7" 1983...2/11-12.....17.6" 1993...3/13-14.....10.6"...changed to sleet and rain...ended with a dusting... 1994...2/11..........12.8" 1995...2/4............10.8"...ended as rain... 1996...1/7-8.........20.2" 1996...2/16-17.....10.7" 2000...12/30........12.0" 2003...2/16-17.....19.8" 2003...12/5-6.......14.0" 2004...1/28..........10.4" 2005...1/22-23.....13.8" 2006...2/11-12.....26.9" 2009...12/19-20...10.9" 2010...2/9-10.......10.0" 2010...2/25-26.....20.9"...changed to rain for a time... 2010...12/26-27...20.0" 2011...1/25-26.....19.0" 2013...2/8-9.........11.4" 2014...1/21..........11.5" 2014...2/13-14.....12.5"...(9.5" or snow changed to heavy rain and ended as 3" of snow)... 2016...1/22-23.....27.5"* biggest of all time...

1995-96 went a head of 2011 on Feb. 16th...2011 had 57.2" but 1996 went a head with 60.9"

like last year winter will say hello when it's time to say goodbye...this year when the ao went negative we got extreme cold...Last year when the ao went negative we got big snows...lets hope that changes this month...I'm still waiting for the big one and I think it will come this year...TWT...

yeah...4" of snow on this date in 2012...

the cold snowstorm of 1857... https://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030213/1857-01-20/ed-1/seq-5/ the great storm of 1867... https://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030214/1867-01-21/ed-1/seq-5/ 1961 and 1978 had big snows that started on the 19th...

these are the storms that measured 10" or more with at least 2" LE... 2016 comes in 8th place just behind Dec. 1947... 4.43"...17.5"...02/04-07/1920...mid 20's to low 30's...snow/ice/sleet for over 72 hours... 3.17"...20.9"...02/25-26/2010...mid 30's to upper 20's...wet snow some mix... 3.11"...14.5"...03/01-02/1914...upper 30's to upper teens...started as rain/sleet/ice... 2.68"...12.5"...02/20/1921........mid 30's to low 20's...started as rain/sleet/ice... 2.62"...17.4"...02/03-04/1961...upper 20's to low 30's...changed to sleet/rain for a time... 2.52"...10.6"...03/13-14/1993...low 30's to upper 30's...changed to sleet and rain... 2.40"...26.4"...12/26-27/1947...mid 20's to low 30's...all snow 2.32"...27.5"...01/22-23/2016...mid 20's...all snow 2.22"...10.4"...02/03-04/1926...mid 20's to 30...mixed with sleet and ice... 2.16"...20.2"...01/07-08/1996...low teens to low 20's...all snow... 2.10"...21.0"...03/12-14/1888...upper 30's to single digits...started as rain/sleet... 2.08"...18.1"...03/07-08/1941...low 20's to low 30's...wet snow ending as a mix... 2.08"...12.5"...02/13-14/2014...mid 20's to mid 30's to mid 20's...changed to rain for 12 hours... 2.06"...19.0"...01/26-27/2011...low 30's to mid 30's to upper 20's...changed to rain for a time...

https://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/59982454/ the article continues on page 15 and it says Amityville was -16...

https://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/59982057 this article said Fire Island hit -26...

there was a period of sleet in the middle of the storm that kept accumulations down otherwise it would have been a 30" storm...