uncle W

NYC has more snowfalls 2" or more on this date ( March 6th ) than any other day in the year...so far NYC has 4.8" of snow to date...here is a list of years with the least amount of snowfall up to March 6th... 1997-98.....0.5" 1918-19.....1.1" 1972-73.....2.6" 1991-92.....3.2" 2001-02.....3.5" 1931-32.....4.7" 2019-20.....4.8" 1958-59.....5.7" 2006-07.....6.4" 2011-12.....7.4" 1899-00.....7.9" 1954-55.....7.9" 1877-78.....8.1" 1988-89.....8.1" 1955-56.....8.2" 1979-80.....8.2" 1998-99.....8.2"

on March 22nd 1998 NYC got 5" of snow...2-3" on Staten island...from March 27th to 31st the temperature topped 80 degrees...90 imby on the 31st...April 1998 had no days in the 80's...the highest temp was 73 near the end of the month...

if the city gets a warm March chances for significant snow are slim... snowfall for the warmest March's in NYC... year.....,,temp.....snowfall..... 2016.....48.9.....0.9" 2012.....50.9...…..0 2010.....48.2...…..T 2000.....47.2.....0.4" 1998.....45.4.....5.0" 1995.....45.0...…..T 1990.....45.1.....3.1" 1986.....45.1...…..T 1985.....45.8.....0.2" 1979.....46.9...…..T 1977.....46.8.....0.6" 1973.....46.4.....0.2" 1946.....49.8...…..T 1945.....51.1...…..T 1936.....45.2.....1.5" 1929.....45.1.....0.2" 1921.....48.4...…..T 1898.....45.6.....2.0"

el nino took a hit last week...oni was down to +0.1 for the week...I thought a strengthening el nino this time of year would help matters...1992-93 comes to mind...now that possibility is off the table...what else can go wrong...

1877-78...the year without a winter... https://www.wlfi.com/content/news/Local-Weather-History--The-Winter-Less-Winter-of-1877-78-566768271.html

the ao was negative from Christmas to April that winter...there was also long stretches of neg nao that winter...he can't be serious about this...

JB picked March 1960 because March 1896 was not available......I picked March 1960 back in September...too bad it wont be like that...but I still think March 2020 has the biggest snowstorm of the season but that aint saying much...I would not be surprised if the storm is a March version of the early December event......

on this date in 1958 NYC got 8-10" of wind swept snow around the area...temperature dropped to 3 degrees a day later...I was in the third grade at the time and remember what I was doing before and after the storm...

JB just jinxed my 1960 analog...it was the only analog with all three winter months warmer than normal with a historically cold and snowy March...the way this year is going we will be lucky to get a March like 1992 or 1980 let alone 1960...the biggest snowfall in Central Park so far is 2.1" in January...I had 3.5" in early December...I think March will have a bigger storm with 3-5" or so... some weak snow years with the biggest snowstorm coming in March... year...….seasonal snow...March snowstorm... 1959...………...13.0"...………...5.5"...……………... 1968...………...19.5"...………...6.6"...……………... 1976...………...17.3"...………...4.2"...………...…. 1980...………...12.8"...………...4.6"...…...……….. 1981...………...19.4"...………...8.6"...……………. 1992...………...12.6"...………...6.2"...………... 1998...………….5.5"...…………..5.0"...…………... 1999...………...12.7"...………...4.5"...………….. 2007...…………12.4"...…....…..5.5"...………….

I grew up in the 1960's...it was a great decade for snow...Christmas was white almost every year...then came the 1970's and 1980's...from the 1969-70 winter to the 1991-92 winter NYC had one winter with at least 30" of snow...1977-78 had over 50 inches and two storms over a foot...1979 had a snowstorm over a foot...1983 had an 18" snowstorm...1982 had the April Blizzard...since the 1992-93 winter there have been 14 years with at least 30" of snow and to many major storms to mention...in todays world with more moisture in the air snow droughts could be short but who knows for sure...after the snowy 1940's NYC had six winters with less than 20" of snow...the seventh year was 1955-56...it was even worse going into March until two major storms came during the third week of March...that period was much drier than today is...before the 1995-96 winter NYC had two years with a storm 20" or more...1888 and 1947...since 1996 the city has five...1996, 2006, 2010, 2010, 2016...2003 and 2011 just missed 20"...

the coldest maximum day so far this winter was 25 degrees on 12/19...today was 29 or 30 for the max...the record for the warmest seasonal max is 31 set in the 2001-02 season...last years coldest max was 14 on 1/31... season.....coldest max... 2001-02......31 1997-98......29 1952-53......29 1974-75......27 1992-93......27 2011-12......27 1998-99......25 2000-01......25 2019-20......25 1961-62......24 2005-06......24

JB is seeing more ghosts than Sam Darnold did against the Patriots...

90 at the end of April...it was not a hot summer...

1963-64 is similar to 1995-96...both had a good December and a white Christmas...a Jan blizzard...a snowy February...more snows in March...2010-11 and 1960-61 shut off early...1947-48 can be put in the same category with them but had a comeback after a big Feb. Thaw...1994 had a comeback after a big Feb. thaw...1958 and 1996 had snows after a big Feb. thaw...

its funny that 1966 had similar storms in January and then December...both were KU storms and both times the low was very close to us and we got dry slotted...the December storm did have hours of sleet which was a downer...it did changed back to snow once the low got north of us...

85 in mid March 1990...1" of snow April 7th...

the 1966-67 winter was predicted quite well by the farmers almanac...the white Christmas was predicted three months in advance...it did have many ups and downs... 12/4.....14 degrees 12/8-11...60 degrees or above...66 on the 9th... 12/13-14...wet snow and rain... 12/18...56 degrees... 12/21...1" of snow... 12/24...7" of snow... 12/29...heavy rain starts as snow... 1/19...13 degrees light snow... 1/22-26...major thaw...68 degrees on the 24th... 2/2...58 degrees...wet snow that evening... 2/5...48 degrees... 2/6...3" of snow... 2/7...12" of snow...9 degrees... 2/8...6 degrees... 2/10...2" of snow... 2/13...4 degrees... 2/15...60 degrees... 2/18...2" of snow... 2/23...4" of snow... 2/25...12 degrees... 3/1...16 degrees... 3/3...64 degrees... 3/5...2" of snow changing to rain... 3/6-7...3" of rain... 3/11...72 degrees... 3/14...63 degrees... 3/15-16...3" snow and sleet... 3/17...3" of snow...20 degree max... 3/18...8 degrees... 3/21-22...10" of snow...

the Lindsay storm in 1969 ended on this date...20" of paste at JFK...one of the best busts ever because the storm was forecast to change to rain...

the last 25 years have seen great winters and horrible ones like this year,,, since 1993-94 (26 years) the Number of times snowfall was 00-09.9".....3...97-98...01-02...11-12... 10-19.9".....6...94-95...96-97...98-99...99-00...06-07...07-08 20-29.9".....3...08-09...12-13...18-19... 30-39.9".....3...00-01..15-16...16-17... 40-49.9".....5...02-03...03-04...04-05...05-06...17-18... 50-59.9".....4...93-94...09-10...13-14...14-15... 60 plus".....2...95-96...10-11...

I read that the ground where the glacier was during the ice age is still rising up causing the lake waters on the south shores to rise while the north shores retreat...

I got over a foot in Bulls Head that day...

some years with the biggest snowfall coming in March or April... year...…..snowfall date 1887-88...20.9"...3/12-14 1891-92.....8.0"...3/17-18 1895-96...12.0"...3/15-16 1905-06.....6.5"...3/13-14 1913-14...14.5"...3/1-2 1914-15...10.2"...4/3-4 1914-15.....7.7"...3/6-7 1923-24.....8.4"...4/1 1940-41...18.1"...3/7-8 1955-56...11.6"...3/18-19 1957-58...11.8"...3/20-21 1958-59.....5.5"...3/12 1959-60...14.5"...3/3-4 1967-68.....6.6"...3/1 1975-76.....4.2"...3/9-10 1979-80.....4.6"...3/13-14 1980-81.....8.6"...3/5 1981-82.....9.6"...4/6 1983-84.....6.9"...3/8-9 1991-92.....6.2"...3/18 1992-93...10.3"...3/13 1997-98.....5.0"...3/22 1998-99.....4.5"...3/14-15 2006-07.....5.5"...3/16 2008-09.....8.3"...3/1-2

so far this winters coldest consecutive 30 days is near 38.0... 1997-98 holds the record with 37.3 for the coldest consecutive 30 day period... year...30 day ave temp... 2019-20.....38.0 1997-98.....37.3 2011-12.....37.0 1948-49.....36.3 1931-32.....35.8 2007-08.....35.7 1889-90.....35.6 1952-53.....35.5 2001-02.....35.4

from the start I thought December and March would see the most snow this winter...I did not think there would be hardly nothing in January and February or being this mild...with the ao skyrocketing upward chances for significant snow are low...Hopefully March has some snow in it to make this winter a smidge better than horrible...

if we don't see improvement in two weeks I'll temper my thinking on March...we could still see the biggest snow of the season in March but that's not saying much...this winter is like a warm version of the 1979-80 winter especially if we do get a March storm...