uncle W

just missed the rain today with a cell just to my west...at least the dry weather is killing the nutsedge on my lawn...

looking for heat waves is as frustrating as looking for snowstorms last winter...There has to be a year that had a pattern like this with heat to the north and south of us...sooner or later it will get here and with above average minimums already the summer will end up above normal one way or the other...some analogs suggested a warmer than average June but cooler the rest of the way...that could still happen but we would need some help from Canada...So far we are cooler than them...go figure...

you know how many people will loose their business if they cant open...look whats happened already...enough with cowering in the corner...

then it will start getting warm...

1995 tied a record low on June 28th...54 degrees... 1988 set a record low on July 1st...53 degrees...tied for the second coldest July day on record... we all know what happened both years in July and August...hopefully 2020 stays like this week...

1954 was a summer before the 11 year cycle that had two heat waves in July reaching 100 degree in NYC...

most of the summers that preceded the 11 year cycle were cooler than average in the NE...1987 was a warm summer but the heat started in late May...a lot of those years had early heat like 1965 and 1976...

78 imby by the pool...

elderly Staten Islanders too...I'm pretty good tolerating the heat to a point...some old folks wear a sweater when dew points are under 70 in Florida...

the average number of 70 degree minimums have gone up in the last decade...starting with the 1930's these are the average 70 degree minimums for a ten year period and the average consecutive days for a decade... decade...total days...consecutive... 1930-39.....29.9...…….7.7 1940-49.....32.4...…….6.4 1950-59.....29.4...…….7.3 1960-69.....23.9...…….5.7 1970-79.....33.2...…..10.3 1980-89.....37.3...…..11.4 1990-99.....31.9...…….9.3 2000-09.....34.5...…….9.3 2010-19.....47.4...…..12.6

90 max...60 min today

the frequency of 80 degree minimum days are going up like all the other temperature records for NYC and Newark NJ....here is the list of days with a minimum 80 or higher for NYC and Newark... Newark N.J. 80 degree minimum days... min/max...date... 80/97.....7/17/1968 80/90.....7/24/1972 80/97.....8/03/1975 80/98.....7/23/1978 81/101...7/21/1980 80/98.....7/09/1981 80/94.....7/10/1981 80/100...7/18/1982 80/98.....7/19/1982 80/98.....7/16/1983 80/97.....8/15/1985 80/95.....8/12/1988 80/98.....8/14/1988 81/99.....8/15/1988 82/105...7/08/1993 83/104...7/09/1993 84/105...7/10/1993 80/99.....7/11/1993 80/97.....7/12/1993 82/104...7/15/1995 81/103...7/05/1999 82/102...7/06/1999 80/99.....8/01/1999 82/101...8/08/2001 82/98.....7/03/2002 81/100...7/04/2002 81/96.....7/30/2002 80/102...8/13/2005 81/100...8/02/2006 80/101...8/03/2006 80/98.....6/28/2010 81/103...7/06/2010 82/99.....7/24/2010 86/108...7/22/2011 86/102...7/23/2011 82/100...7/19/2013 80/97.....7/20/2015 80/98.....7/23/2016 80/97.....8/14/2016 80/98.....7/20/2019 80/99.....7/21/2019 ……………...………………………………………………………….. min/max.......dates... 81/90......7/03/1876 81/90......7/19/1878 80/95......7/07/1883 80/94......7/25/1885 81/91......8/11/1891 82/98......8/09/1896 80/94......8/10/1896 81/96......8/11/1896 81/95......7/18/1900 80/95......6/30/1901 82/100....7/02/1901 80/96......7/18/1905 80/95......7/19/1905 80/92......8/11/1905 80/87......7/23/1906 80/94......8/06/1906 80/90......7/05/1908 81/95......7/06/1908 84/93......7/07/1908 81/93......8/05/1908 80/87......8/06/1908 82/94......8/13/1908 84/93......8/14/1908 82/100....7/31/1917 82/98......8/01/1917 80/96......8/06/1918 82/104....8/07/1918 81/94......7/20/1930 80/98......8/02/1933 81/100....6/26/1952 80/95......7/16/1952 80/101....7/22/1957 81/95......7/23/1978 82/102....7/21/1980 80/96......8/08/1980 80/95......8/09/1980 80/95......8/15/1985 80/94......8/12/1988 80/99......8/14/1988 81/97......8/15/1988 80/100....7/08/1993 80/102....7/10/1993 84/102....7/15/1995 82/102....7/05/1999 83/101....7/06/1999 82/103....8/09/2001 82/95......7/03/2002 81/96......7/04/2002 80/95......7/30/2002 80/98......8/13/2002 80/99......8/13/2005 83/97......8/02/2006 81/103....7/06/2010 80/100....7/07/2010 80/97......7/24/2010 84/104....7/22/2011 83/100....7/23/2011 82/94......7/20/2015 80/96......7/23/2016 81/96......8/13/2016 81/92......8/29/2018 82/95......7/20/2019 80/95......7/21/2019

88 imby...89 was the high so far...

Newark NJ had its first 90 degree day yesterday...The most 90 days came in 2010...the least came in 1967... most... 54 in 2010... 49 in 1993... 43 in 1988.... 41 in 2002... 41 in 1991... 40 in 1959... 40 in 1983... 40 in 2016... 39 in 1994... 39 in 1944 least... 07 in 1967... 09 in 1996... 11 in 2009... 11 in 1985... 11 in 1946... 12 in 1982... 12 in 1975... 13 in 2004... 13 in 1960

snowfall measurements have been unreliable at times since 1996...

90 imby...no rain here... Central park hit 86 before the shower...could of would of should of hit 90 without the rain...

86...

83 going up to 90...nice pool day...

sandy had a big ao/nao block that pushed it NW into Jersey...Agnes had a weaker block but still took a left turn into the coast...the blocky pattern that started after winter could continue at least into July...

what ever it takes to keep the heat away...

radar looks ominous especially areas south of NYC...The city could get clipped...I had 0.80" last night and I could pick up some more later...

my truck was green this morning...

1952 and 1966 had 100 degree heat near the end of June...

84 for the high...trace of rain so far.

relative to the normal of the time you have to go as far back as the 1890's to find a year with well above normal temperatures and then have a cool April and May...