ChescoWx

Hottest day for a while today before storms tonight usher in some typical June temps to close out the week. Weekend looks a bit unsettled with maybe some more rain chances but not a total washout. Temps look to fall back to a little below normal to start the new work week. Chester County records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1943) / Low 43 at West Chester (1899) / Rain 3.35" at Coatesville (1938)

Hottest day for a while today before storms tonight usher in some typical June temps to close out the week. Weekend looks a bit unsettled with maybe some more rain chances but not a total washout. Temps look to fall back to a little below normal to start the new work week. Chester County records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1943) / Low 43 at West Chester (1899) / Rain 3.35" at Coatesville (1938)

Did you record a 90 yesterday? The high here was 78.2....today we topped out at 83.6 for the high here in Chesco...even by roof top station could do no better than 85.

I was quoted for an article written last week for the Chester County Local (see below). Fortunately my thoughts downplaying the model outputs were correct...as I suggested that the county would not see a 100 degree day. This despite the many models (hello Euro) and on line weather sources hyping the century mark as a possible outcome. As we always say we don't sweat or shovel model output!! Now, If the model was right....I would clearly not have posted this link!! LOL!! https://www.dailylocal.com/2024/06/17/scorching-temps-on-way-for-chester-county-but-no-100-degree-days-says-observer/

was quoted for an article written last week for the Chester County Local. Fortunately my thoughts downplaying the model outputs were correct...as I suggested that the county would not see a 100 degree day. This despite the many models (hello Euro) and on line weather sources hyping the century mark as a possible outcome. As we always say we don't sweat or shovel model output!! Now, If the model was right....I would clearly not have posted this link!! LOL!! https://www.dailylocal.com/2024/06/17/scorching-temps-on-way-for-chester-county-but-no-100-degree-days-says-observer/

I was quoted for an article written last week for the Chester County Local. Fortunately my thoughts downplaying the model outputs were correct...as I suggested that the county would not see a 100 degree day. This despite the many models (hello Euro) and on line weather sources hyping the century mark as a possible outcome. As we always say we don't sweat or shovel model output!! Now, If the model was right....I would clearly not have posted this link!! LOL!! https://www.dailylocal.com/2024/06/17/scorching-temps-on-way-for-chester-county-but-no-100-degree-days-says-observer/

No matter what climate alarmists find and post there is just nothing we observe happening in today's current climate that has not occurred before....no matter how often they say unprecedented etc.

Once again Charlie I will produce the source data. Below is detailed map coordinates and elevation of all NWS/ AWOS / MADIS stations included in the data set. All of the data produced is derived exclusively from this data set. There is clearly a station mix like the older County data favoring the relative lower elevation sites with 16 of the 27 (67%) below 450 ft in elevation with just 11 at above that level. In addition of the current 15 stations moving forward 8 of those 15 are below 450 ft asl. A great go forward mix of higher and lower stations.

A beautiful morning across the county with many spots dropping into the comfortable 50's for lows. We see temps begin to warm again today and especially tomorrow with highs tomorrow again touching the 90's in many spots. Some shower and thunderstorm chances tomorrow night as another cold front passes and will cool us back down to near normal temps to close out the work week. Chester County Records for today: High 101 at Phoenixville (1943) / Low 45 at Coatesville (1902) / Rainfall record was set just last year (2023) at Chester Springs with 1.82" of rain.

A beautiful morning across the county with many spots dropping into the comfortable 50's for lows. We see temps begin to warm again today and especially tomorrow with highs tomorrow again touching the 90's in many spots. Some shower and thunderstorm chances tomorrow night as another cold front passes and will cool us back down to near normal temps to close out the work week. Chester County Records for today: High 101 at Phoenixville (1943) / Low 45 at Coatesville (1902) / Rainfall record was set just last year (2023) at Chester Springs with 1.82" of rain.

From my friend Chris Martz some great perspective data! "Well, it was hotter during June 1853 as an “unprecedented, climate-fueled heat dome” set up shop over the eastern half of the country. On June 20, 1853, Washington, D.C. hit 100°, which eclipses the “official” (since 1872) record high of 99° from 1931. The following day was 97°, and then on June 22, 1853, D.C. again topped 100°, capping off at 102°, which would break the “official” record of 101° from 1988, and eclipses Saturday’s 100° reading at DCA. The same day, Detroit, Michigan topped off at 106° and so did Fort Brady (present-day Sault Ste. Marie). The “official” daily record high for June 22 in Detroit (1874-present) is 98° from 1988 and Sault Ste. Marie’s (1888-present) is 90° from 1975, so the high of 106° on June 22, 1853 shatters those. It also eclipses Detroit’s “all-time” June record high of 104° from June 28, 1934 and June 25, 1988 and Sault Ste. Marie’s of 93° from June 27, 1901; June 30, 1927: and June 26, 1983. And, these 106° highs shatter Detroit’s “all-time” record high of 105° from July 24, 1934 and Sault Ste. Marie’s of 98° from July 30, 1916; July 3, 1921; and August 5 and 6, 1947."

Charlie you still choose to ignore that the current NWS MADIS station mix is actually still stilted more to the warmer lower elevation sites not the cooler higher elevation sites.....just as it was in the older observations. I can still compare relative apples to apples by segregating low vs high vs location which I have done. The only variable not included is the machine based adjustments to arrive at the altered data to get the warming answer.

I guess if you call that machine algorithm application to chill the past and warm the present science.....have at it!

Bastardi long ago gave in to the almighty dollar and just forecasts cold every year to get the winter weenies to sign up!

Funny Don the difference in those summer charts in my section of the Northeast USA.... if we eliminate the after the fact computer adjustments to chill those nagging hot summers in the US back in the 1930s and 1940s in blue....now if we allow for altered data in red- there is the warmth you speak of.

So Don you think that kind of reporting on the weather this week is appropriate??

Plenty of lunacy and misrepresentations being presented by main stream media outlets. This weekend on MSNBC they are reporting on this run of the mill not unprecedented June heatwave in the eastern US as : “Extreme heat,” “baking,” “absolutely scorching,” “extreme,” “ferocious,” “relentless heat wave smashing records,” “intense,” “scorching hot,”; Ridiculously they go on to say that “Scientists say there is a clear Link between intense heat & human-caused climate change, meaning this extreme weather is unlikely to go anywhere anytime soon" Weather like this week in the east is of course not climate but no one ever seems to correct climate alarmism. I love how the reporter says "it just feels like it is getting hotter every year" welp except for 90 years ago in the 1930's.... https://x.com/i/status/1805269169442623714 With this recent warm period....aside from Caribou, Maine (data begins in 1939), did any station location set a monthly or all-time record high temperature with data back to early 1900s or late 1800s?

One last hot day before we cool down tomorrow. While we are still over 2" of rain above normal this year here in Chesco our lawns gardens and many farmers in the county could sure use a little rain, The good news is our best shot for some rain in a couple weeks looks to arrive later today and tonight. After today it look like only one day this week could touch the 90 degree mark again....Wednesday. Chester County records for today: High 99 degrees at West Chester (1988) / Low 40 degrees also at West Chester (1984) / Record daily rainfall today is the 5.75" from the remnants of Hurricane Agnes back in 1972. Some other daily rainfall from that day across Chester County included 5.63" at Morgantown/Elverson / 5.75" at West Grove / 4.56" at West Chester and 4.98" at Glenmoore,

One last hot day before we cool down tomorrow. While we are still over 2" of rain above normal this year here in Chesco our lawns gardens and many farmers in the county could sure use a little rain, The good news is our best shot for some rain in a couple weeks looks to arrive later today and tonight. After today it look like only one day this week could touch the 90 degree mark again....Wednesday. Chester County records for today: High 99 degrees at West Chester (1988) / Low 40 degrees also at West Chester (1984) / Record daily rainfall today is the 5.75" from the remnants of Hurricane Agnes back in 1972. Some other daily rainfall from that day across Chester County included 5.63" at Morgantown/Elverson / 5.75" at West Grove / 4.56" at West Chester and 4.98" at Glenmoore,

Truth!!!

As of 1230pm all locations in Chester County are above 90 degrees. This includes a few spots reaching 90 for the first time so far this year. Of interest here in East Nantmeal we have already hit 91.5 degrees. I have kept daily local observations here for 21 years / summers. This is the warmest temperature recorded here in East Nantmeal Township since the 91.6 degree reading 19 years ago back on August 13, 2005. This is only the 60th time I have recorded a day over 90 degrees in the past 21 summers. Tomorrow will be another hot day but maybe a couple degrees lower than today. Tomorrow will end what for some spots has been a string of 90+ days. The good news is as I look into the longer range models....Is I have a suspicion we will not see another day this summer as hot as today. Stay cool!

As of 1230pm all locations in Chester County are above 90 degrees. This includes a few spots reaching 90 for the first time so far this year. Of interest here in East Nantmeal we have already hit 91.5 degrees. I have kept daily local observations here for 21 years / summers. This is the warmest temperature recorded here in East Nantmeal Township since the 91.6 degree reading 19 years ago back on August 13, 2005. This is only the 60th time I have recorded a day over 90 degrees in the past 21 summers. Tomorrow will be another hot day but maybe a couple degrees lower than today. Tomorrow will end what for some spots has been a string of 90+ days. The good news is as I look into the longer range models....Is I have a suspicion we will not see another day this summer as hot as today. Stay cool!

Elevation??

A note on the above analysis an average temp error does not mean the station is wrong....however when the overall rating for each of the metrics (in this case temperature) is given a red check mark by the Gladstone analysis this indicates a problem when compared to surrounding stations. Most stations including mine have average temp errors vs surrounding stations....mine runs cooler but it still is within the acceptable range of surrounding stations....this is why my station gets a green check mark. While the results for KRDG result in a red check mark on the analysis of temp so it is clearly a problem as it usually is.

Below is the analysis of the KRDG Thermometer over the past few days...it is worse than thought...that thermometer is running over 4 degrees on average too warm during the day!!