ChescoWx

mainly light snow with some drips mixed in here in NW Chester County temp down to 36.9

Snow has begun to mix in the the rain here in NW Chesco with a temp of 37.7

WXSIM with 6z NAM/GFS has rain arriving by noon with temps peaking at 42 before falling with the onset of the rain. Snow will begin to mix in by 4pm with mixed snow/rain with more snow than rain during heavier precip rates - temps will remain just above freezing for the duration.. Becoming all snow by 10pm and ending by 1am - total snow 0.3" to 1.0" - have to get my blower gassed up!!

Could we have an elevation driven event with spots over 600 ft across Chester and Berks counties seeing their 1st accumulating snow since the 2" that fell way back on January 18th? It's been a while without a WXSIM snow forecast will it be just as "accurate" as it has all winter long? WXSIM has light rain (temp 40.7) arriving on Friday by 10am quickly mixing with snow and getting heavy by 1pm temp down to 36.4. Moderate snow by 7pm temp at 33.4 - moderate snow through 1am temp 32.3 - tapering to flurries by 2am. Total snow accumulation 1" to 3"

Beautiful day even down the shore in Sea Isle City NJ same temp as here in Western Chester County PA - no sea breeze....yet!

Here in Chester County PA this winter (DJF) ranks as the 7th warmest since record keeping began in 1894. However, this winter was actually the 3rd coldest winter in the last 5 seasons! LOL! While this season was warm at an average temperature of 37.1 with normal at 31.3 (+5.8) it was still well below the warmest winter experienced way back in 1931-32 with an average temp of 39.5. Below are the top 7 warmest winters. 1. 1931-32 (39.5) 2. 1997-98 (38.1) 3. 2015-16 (37.8) 4. 2001-02 (37.5) 5. 1982-83 (37.4) 6. 2016-17 (37.3) 7. 2019-20 (37.1)

So Chester County PA will be having it's 8th snowless (trace) February. Also the 4th warmest February on record. So what does that portend for March snowfall?? Below are the 7 prior snow deprived February months and how the next month did from a snow view: 1925 - 1.9" / 1950 - 0" / 1959 - 5.9" / 1973 - 0" / 1980 - 6.8" / 1981 - 10.5" / 1998 - 0.5" So.... I will go out on a limb here with my crystal ball for the relative higher elevation areas of Western Chester County and Berks County and predict an elevation driven wet snow event over the last 12 days of the month that will be our largest event of the winter season to date...of course not too tough to beat that 2" event on Jan 18th....keep those snow plows handy my friends!!

While a February without a measurable snow event (more than a trace) is unusual it appears we have an excellent chance of finishing February 2020 with no snow in the Philly burbs of Chester County PA. This would mark our 7th time we have gone without a snow event outside of a trace in February since records began here in the County way back in 1894 our only day with a trace this month was on the 2nd. The other February months without measurable snow were 1950/1959/1973/1980/1981/1998/2020.

0.23" of rain since yesterday with today being our 4th straight day with measurable rain total over those days is 1.10" month to date at 2.22" and YTD 6.13" vs normal through today of 5.17". Normal snow for the season to date through today is 24.0" - snow so far this season just 5.8" just 24% of normal. If we are finished with snow this season this will be the 3rd least snow ever recorded in Chester County since 1894. Behind only 1972-3 - with no snow and 1949-50 with just 2.4" for snow less bragging rights!

Some wet snow and sleet mixed with rain here in East Nantmeal temp at 41.9 DP 28 - in this non-winter every flake is sacred! Before the heavy rain!

Some snow mixing with rain here in NW Chester County PA temp down to 38.4

Temp up 5 degrees over last hour now 54.6 - high gust so far 15mph - transition to snow line 100 miles NW of here

I have gone to Spring Training for the last 13 years - my brother and brother in law rent a house = outstanding time!! just a sea of phillies red - feels like you are in philly!!

Hi Steve very excited for Phigthins this year!! I do wish they signed another pitcher....but some strong adds in Wheeler and Gregorius at SS solid! Incredibly the Phillies are the #5 pick in vegas to win the World Series. Not quite sure I am there but I do think they have their 1st winning season since 2011....lineup is strong but of course it comes down to the pitching. Will they make one more deal before the season - will some of the young pitchers step up?? Either way it is always great to have our National Pastime coming back - for me it is the greatest sport!! Go Phillies!! Record 85-77

WXSIM with 6z data for NW Chester County PA has rain tomorrow transitioning to ZR overnite into Thursday with some light icing - up to 3" of rain this week plus for now showing snow heavy at times overnight Saturday into Sunday late morning with 3" to 5" of snow....no fear it will be gone by 12z

Even on a "relative" basis....me thinks highly unlikely!! LOL!!

Moderate snow in East Nantmeal

Light Snow here in East Nantmeal in NW Chester County PA with a temp at 38.8 DP 30.2

Here in Chester County PA we finished January as the 10th warmest 1st month of a year at 36.5 degrees the top 10 including this year are: 1932 - 42.4 / 1913 - 39.5 / 1950 - 39.5 / 1998 - 38.7 / 1933 - 38.5 / 2006 - 38.4 / 1937 - 38.2 / 1990 - 37.3 / 1906 - 37.1 We also finished with the 44th least January snow at just 3.8". Of note this is also the 29th least snowy season to date with only 5.8" of snow so far. The 28 previous times with this little snow to date - only 4x did we finish w/above normal snowfall (36") for the season. The average ending snow totals for those 28 seasons is only 19.9" of snow. The biggest turn around season was 1913-14 when we only had 3.3" of snow through January but ended up with 54.1" - the worst winter non-turnaround of course is the only season without any recorded snowfall the infamous winter of 1972-3 with no snow accumulation at all.

I suspect we are not done with a closer to the coast solution over the next 48hrs plus no doubt we will be NAMmmed!

Agreed Steve....I think it could be a white rain depending on intensity with some accumulation as you go up and over 600ft asl....but as you know this will all change by next run - plus we will likely be Nammed by Friday!

Agreed with both of you!!

Latest WXSIM for NW Chester County PA with 6z data has snow arriving by 1am Saturday morning with temps at 34.9 Heavy Snow from 330a till 730am with 3" of snow by moderate snow by 10am tapering off to light rain and snow by 11am ending by 1pm with total snow accumulation around 4" - models are all over the place expect them to come into better focus starting tomorrow evening - Thursday at 0z.

One thing we have in common with that winter was very little snow in January. Folks forget but we only saw 2.6" of snow in January 2010 in Chester County (we have had 3.8" so far this January. However, in 2010 we quickly made up for that with our 2nd snowiest February on record with 62.8" falling including 3 storms with over 1 foot of snow. 2/5-2/6 - 18.3" 2/9-2/10 - 26.8" 2/25-2/26 - 13.5" Our snowiest February in 1899 included the single biggest individual snowstorm in Chester County history when 45.3" fell between the 12th and 14th. 1898-99 was our snowiest winter with 95.0" falling - 2009/10 ranked 2nd with a total seasonal snow of 86.6"

12z data - WXSIM for the weekend light snow and flurries around midnight on Saturday with a coating of snow.