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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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With some models hinting at an early frost next week can our first freeze be far behind? Below are current reporting stations across the Chester County PA area with last year, average, earliest and latest first freeze dates.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
With some models hinting at an early frost next week can our first freeze be far behind? Below are current reporting stations across the Chester County PA area with last year, average, earliest and latest first freeze dates. -
Happy Red October for those who celebrate - Go Phillies!! Unseasonably warm weather starts the month with temperatures today and tomorrow well into the 70's to low 80's. We turn much chillier starting on Saturday with highs by Sunday remaining in the 50's. Rain chances increasing by tomorrow night into Saturday morning.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Happy Red October for those who celebrate - Go Phillies!! Unseasonably warm weather starts the month with temperatures today and tomorrow well into the 70's to low 80's. We turn much chillier starting on Saturday with highs by Sunday remaining in the 50's. Rain chances increasing by tomorrow night into Saturday morning. -
We continue to see a nice warming trend today through Friday. Temperatures by Friday could touch the 80's for what will likely be our last time for most spots till next April or May. We turn sharply chillier over the weekend and especially next week. Highs by next Tuesday will remain in the chilly 50's with nighttime lows down into the 30's with the potential of a frost or freeze across some of our typically colder valley locations by Wednesday morning.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
We continue to see a nice warming trend today through Friday. Temperatures by Friday could touch the 80's for what will likely be our last time for most spots till next April or May. We turn sharply chillier over the weekend and especially next week. Highs by next Tuesday will remain in the chilly 50's with nighttime lows down into the 30's with the potential of a frost or freeze across some of our typically colder valley locations by Wednesday morning. -
Happy Red October (a little early) for those that celebrate - GO PHILLIES! A nice stretch of warmer weather and sun through the remainder of the work week with temperatures possibly touching 80 degrees by Friday! We turn cooler again and wetter by the weekend.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Happy Red October (a little early) for those that celebrate - GO PHILLIES! A nice stretch of warmer weather and sun through the remainder of the work week with temperatures possibly touching 80 degrees by Friday! We turn cooler again and wetter by the weekend. -
The Nor’easter will continue to impact us through today with some showers continuing into tomorrow morning. We dry out on Tuesday and start a nice but brief warming trend. We should see temperatures rise into the upper 70's with some valley location possibly touching 80 degrees by Thursday. We then turn much chillier again by next weekend.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
The Nor’easter will continue to impact us through today with some showers continuing into tomorrow morning. We dry out on Tuesday and start a nice but brief warming trend. We should see temperatures rise into the upper 70's with some valley location possibly touching 80 degrees by Thursday. We then turn much chillier again by next weekend. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Hey Kevin - thanks! It has some subtropical characteristics....but it's more of a hybrid mid latitude cyclone....the storm Thursday-Friday was cold core for sure. -
The Nor’easter is located off the NJ coast this morning and will drift toward and possibly into South Jersey by tomorrow AM and finally weaken on Monday. The ChescoWx model has over 1.80" of rain here in East Nantmeal by Monday morning. Winds could gust today as high as 40 mph causing some trees to fall and some power outages. Very chilly today with highs mostly remaining in the 50's. Once the storm passes we start a warming trend with highs by mid-week in the low to mid 70's which is a few degrees above normal for the very end of September.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
The Nor’easter is located off the NJ coast this morning and will drift toward and possibly into South Jersey by tomorrow AM and finally weaken on Monday. The ChescoWx model has over 1.80" of rain here in East Nantmeal by Monday morning. Winds could gust today as high as 40 mph causing some trees to fall and some power outages. Very chilly today with highs mostly remaining in the 50's. Once the storm passes we start a warming trend with highs by mid-week in the low to mid 70's which is a few degrees above normal for the very end of September. -
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Our stretch of below normal temperature days looks to continue through the weekend before a nice moderating trend next week. We look mainly dry through Friday and then we will have to watch what the coastal storm does to see what if any impacts in may bring this far west of the coast. See the ChescoWx vs. The NWS 7 day forecast for EN below. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Our stretch of below normal temperature days looks to continue through the weekend before a nice moderating trend next week. We look mainly dry through Friday and then we will have to watch what the coastal storm does to see what if any impacts in may bring this far west of the coast. See the ChescoWx vs. The NWS 7 day forecast for EN below. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Not the best weather week on the way. Rain is at least possible every day through Friday. Best chances of rain will be today into tonight and again tomorrow night into Tuesday. There is the potential a coastal storm could develop from Wednesday into Thursday which could increase the rain threat but at this point plenty of uncertainty on when and where that storm will track. Either way well below normal temperatures on the way with highs from Tuesday through Thursday according to the ChescoWx model not escaping the 50's with lows in the 40's. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Not the best weather week on the way. Rain is at least possible every day through Friday. Best chances of rain will be today into tonight and again tomorrow night into Tuesday. There is the potential a coastal storm could develop from Wednesday into Thursday which could increase the rain threat but at this point plenty of uncertainty on when and where that storm will track. Either way well below normal temperatures on the way with highs from Tuesday through Thursday according to the ChescoWx model not escaping the 50's with lows in the 40's. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We begin a stretch today of below normal temperatures that may last through much of the remainder of September. It also looks to be a pretty wet week but with a lot of uncertainty as to how wet by later this week. The best chances of steady rain arrives tomorrow and into Sunday night. With greater chances again Tuesday. Temperature wise unseasonably chilly with highs remaining in the 50's Tuesday through Thursday with closer to 60 degrees in some of our valley locations. Overnight lows will be in the chilly upper 40's. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
We begin a stretch today of below normal temperatures that may last through much of the remainder of September. It also looks to be a pretty wet week but with a lot of uncertainty as to how wet by later this week. The best chances of steady rain arrives tomorrow and into Sunday night. With greater chances again Tuesday. Temperature wise unseasonably chilly with highs remaining in the 50's Tuesday through Thursday with closer to 60 degrees in some of our valley locations. Overnight lows will be in the chilly upper 40's. -
Fun cyclical climate change stat of the day - Did you know that the average number of heatwaves in the U.S. have decreased by 27.9% since the beginning of the 20th century?
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Today will be the last day for over a week with above normal temperatures in the upper 70's to near 80 degrees. We fall off to the upper 60's to low 70's tomorrow and with near record setting low maximum temperatures possible both Tuesday and Wednesday. High temperatures both of those days will struggle into the mid to upper 50's. Those temperatures are typical for November 10th! In addition to the unseasonable chill this week it will also be very wet. Rain chances increase by Sunday, and chances remain each and every day of the new work week. The in-house ChescoWx model predicts over 4 inches of rain this week!
