ChescoWx

The GFS ensemble thinks a below normal temperature month for October is underway...

My ChescoWx forecast has beaten the NWS point and click in 36 of the last 40 days!

My ChescoWx forecast has beaten the NWS point and click in 36 of the last 40 days!

Some light rain and below normal temperatures today before we clear out for most of the rest of the week. We start the week with below normal temperatures with some lower valley locations likely to see some 30's for the first time this year by Tuesday or Wednesday morning. We start a slow warming trend through the week before we turn a bit cooler by next weekend.

Some light rain and below normal temperatures today before we clear out for most of the rest of the week. We start the week with below normal temperatures with some lower valley locations likely to see some 30's for the first time this year by Tuesday or Wednesday morning. We start a slow warming trend through the week before we turn a bit cooler by next weekend.

After yesterday's summerlike weather today we return to near normal temperatures for early October with highs in the upper 60's to low 70's. We fall to below normal temperatures through midweek before we rebound to near normal temperatures again to close out the upcoming week. Our best rain chances come tomorrow later in the day but it does not look significant.

After yesterday's summerlike weather today we return to near normal temperatures for early October with highs in the upper 60's to low 70's. We fall to below normal temperatures through midweek before we rebound to near normal temperatures again to close out the upcoming week. Our best rain chances come tomorrow later in the day but it does not look significant.

With some models hinting at an early frost next week can our first freeze be far behind? Below are current reporting stations across the Chester County PA area with last year, average, earliest and latest first freeze dates.

With some models hinting at an early frost next week can our first freeze be far behind? Below are current reporting stations across the Chester County PA area with last year, average, earliest and latest first freeze dates.

Happy Red October for those who celebrate - Go Phillies!! Unseasonably warm weather starts the month with temperatures today and tomorrow well into the 70's to low 80's. We turn much chillier starting on Saturday with highs by Sunday remaining in the 50's. Rain chances increasing by tomorrow night into Saturday morning.

Happy Red October for those who celebrate - Go Phillies!! Unseasonably warm weather starts the month with temperatures today and tomorrow well into the 70's to low 80's. We turn much chillier starting on Saturday with highs by Sunday remaining in the 50's. Rain chances increasing by tomorrow night into Saturday morning.

We continue to see a nice warming trend today through Friday. Temperatures by Friday could touch the 80's for what will likely be our last time for most spots till next April or May. We turn sharply chillier over the weekend and especially next week. Highs by next Tuesday will remain in the chilly 50's with nighttime lows down into the 30's with the potential of a frost or freeze across some of our typically colder valley locations by Wednesday morning.

We continue to see a nice warming trend today through Friday. Temperatures by Friday could touch the 80's for what will likely be our last time for most spots till next April or May. We turn sharply chillier over the weekend and especially next week. Highs by next Tuesday will remain in the chilly 50's with nighttime lows down into the 30's with the potential of a frost or freeze across some of our typically colder valley locations by Wednesday morning.

Happy Red October (a little early) for those that celebrate - GO PHILLIES! A nice stretch of warmer weather and sun through the remainder of the work week with temperatures possibly touching 80 degrees by Friday! We turn cooler again and wetter by the weekend.

Happy Red October (a little early) for those that celebrate - GO PHILLIES! A nice stretch of warmer weather and sun through the remainder of the work week with temperatures possibly touching 80 degrees by Friday! We turn cooler again and wetter by the weekend.

The Nor’easter will continue to impact us through today with some showers continuing into tomorrow morning. We dry out on Tuesday and start a nice but brief warming trend. We should see temperatures rise into the upper 70's with some valley location possibly touching 80 degrees by Thursday. We then turn much chillier again by next weekend.

The Nor’easter will continue to impact us through today with some showers continuing into tomorrow morning. We dry out on Tuesday and start a nice but brief warming trend. We should see temperatures rise into the upper 70's with some valley location possibly touching 80 degrees by Thursday. We then turn much chillier again by next weekend.

Storm totals so far across the Chesco area

Hey Kevin - thanks! It has some subtropical characteristics....but it's more of a hybrid mid latitude cyclone....the storm Thursday-Friday was cold core for sure.

The Nor’easter is located off the NJ coast this morning and will drift toward and possibly into South Jersey by tomorrow AM and finally weaken on Monday. The ChescoWx model has over 1.80" of rain here in East Nantmeal by Monday morning. Winds could gust today as high as 40 mph causing some trees to fall and some power outages. Very chilly today with highs mostly remaining in the 50's. Once the storm passes we start a warming trend with highs by mid-week in the low to mid 70's which is a few degrees above normal for the very end of September.

The Nor’easter is located off the NJ coast this morning and will drift toward and possibly into South Jersey by tomorrow AM and finally weaken on Monday. The ChescoWx model has over 1.80" of rain here in East Nantmeal by Monday morning. Winds could gust today as high as 40 mph causing some trees to fall and some power outages. Very chilly today with highs mostly remaining in the 50's. Once the storm passes we start a warming trend with highs by mid-week in the low to mid 70's which is a few degrees above normal for the very end of September.

Latest NBM with model rain

Latest NBM with model rain

Our stretch of below normal temperature days looks to continue through the weekend before a nice moderating trend next week. We look mainly dry through Friday and then we will have to watch what the coastal storm does to see what if any impacts in may bring this far west of the coast. See the ChescoWx vs. The NWS 7 day forecast for EN below.