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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
5.8" as of 10am here in East Nantmeal temp up to 9.5 Of note still snowing on the beach at Sea Isle City... -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
At 9am up to 4.6" here in EN with 1.3" in past hour. Temp up to 8.9 degrees -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
3.3" as of 8am here in EN temp down to 8.7 above -
Remember sleet counts as snow so you may still get to your 6" of snow...keep the faith and good luck!
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
If it turns to ZR it would be better to have some sleet accumulation down IMHO.....but I am clearly no expert in snow removal 101 -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
I am going out to snowblow and or shovel as soon as the pingers start....it will get too heavy and clumpy with sleet accumulation on top. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Temp down to 8.8 with moderate snow As of 7am 2.3" so far with 1.0" in last hour -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Looks like Mt. Holly just slightly lowered snow totals -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
The 1st run the HRRR at 0z with a couple inch jump in snow from 18z and a couple inches of IP on top...that said it is the HRRR -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
I am more into the mesos...but one thing that continues to be a Euro problem is it's insistence on ZR that it's own sounding just don't support. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
18z Euro increased snow by a couple inches...it still shows way too much ZR which will never happen IMHO. Looking at soundings they are not ZR only IP. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Been a while since I have viewed a JB uh the other JB's forecast....I always felt bad how much grief he got for the famous forecast fail -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Hrrr 12z 2026.01.24.mp4 -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
6 inches of straight sleet in East Nantmeal with that one! -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Across Chesco I think a solid 7" to 10" (SE to NW) of snow (6" - 8" snow/and 1" to 2" of sleet) with some ZR snizzle at the end. NAM leading the way -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A significant winter storm will impact the area starting after midnight tonight. Arctic air has spread across the area with most spots still in single digits here in the 9am hour. We won’t warm much today with an outside shot at a station or 2 recording a top 5 coldest maximum temperature for the day. Highs generally in the middle teens above zero. Snow probably begins during the 2am hour from SW to NE across the area. It will be snowing heavily by daybreak, and we should see many spots accumulating at least 6” of snow by 10am. After 10am we should see a quick change from south to north to a prolonged period of accumulating sleet which will slowly add to our snow totals. It is possible that some areas of southern Chesco could see up to 3” of sleet on top of the snow that had previously fallen. Sleet could mix with the snow at times by later tomorrow night before ending by 11pm. The NWS has a forecast for 8” to 12” of snow/sleet accumulation across the area. Southern Chesco could see some freezing rain, but those amounts look light at this time. We stay very cold all week following the storm so little melting will take place as temperatures will remain well below freezing for at least the next week. I expect many valley locations to see some morning with lows below zero. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
A significant winter storm will impact the area starting after midnight tonight. Arctic air has spread across the area with most spots still in single digits here in the 9am hour. We won’t warm much today with an outside shot at a station or 2 recording a top 5 coldest maximum temperature for the day. Highs generally in the middle teens above zero. Snow probably begins during the 2am hour from SW to NE across the area. It will be snowing heavily by daybreak, and we should see many spots accumulating at least 6” of snow by 10am. After 10am we should see a quick change from south to north to a prolonged period of accumulating sleet which will slowly add to our snow totals. It is possible that some areas of southern Chesco could see up to 3” of sleet on top of the snow that had previously fallen. Sleet could mix with the snow at times by later tomorrow night before ending by 11pm. The NWS has a forecast for 8” to 12” of snow/sleet accumulation across the area. Southern Chesco could see some freezing rain, but those amounts look light at this time. We stay very cold all week following the storm so little melting will take place as temperatures will remain well below freezing for at least the next week. I expect many valley locations to see some morning with lows below zero. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Above is only thru 1pm -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sleet already up to ABE by 3pm on Sunday.... -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
For sure! I don't really think our cyclical climate has any real impact especially on large snowstorms....they run like much of our climate in clusters of occurances over different decades.
