ChescoWx

Fog should slowly diminish later this morning. We should see some light rain across especially for spots north of the PA Turnpike this afternoon. Rain amounts look light with most spots less than 0.15". Today’s temperatures will be in the low 40's just about average for the date. Rain chances to ramp up again tomorrow night and especially Friday with more significant rain expected. Snow chances look to increase by Sunday but way too early to nail down specifics.

Fog should slowly diminish later this morning. We should see some light rain across especially for spots north of the PA Turnpike this afternoon. Rain amounts look light with most spots less than 0.15". Today’s temperatures will be in the low 40's just about average for the date. Rain chances to ramp up again tomorrow night and especially Friday with more significant rain expected. Snow chances look to increase by Sunday but way too early to nail down specifics.

Both the Euro and GFS and Euro AI ensembles all had snow totals tick up a bit from 6z vs 0z. With some adds on the southern flank.

What always gets me is folks staring at an 18z vs a 12z model with 5 days to go and they get fired up that the 18z GFS has 31 inches of snow at ACY and only 3" at ABE....this is all model noise and meaningless! There will be a storm and there are many runs to go that will have it suppressed and those that have it going inland. Relax folks!

Surprised to hear you being less enthused over a model run....

Agreed 16.6" over 4 days! a truly unique storm!!

At least DT is always calm and measured in his thoughts...great spelling to boot!!

From this vantage point IMHO this is where you want the GEFS to be....

LOL! there can be no rug pull 5 days before an event. It will be lost and gained a couple times this week on the GFS - Canadian and the European.....relax MIckey!

12z AI GFS

1005mb to 987mb between 4am and 4pm Sunday.....

I would like to see that northern stream piece dive in just a wee little bit earlier.....

February 2010 - a not too shabby snow month.

Fog should burn off later this morning, and we turn much milder with highs well into the 40's our normal high is still in the low 40's. After today there is at least a chance of rain each day with maybe some snow mixing in on Thursday night. Our heaviest rain looks to be on Friday, and we can really use the rain. There will no doubt be rumors of a snowstorm starting next Sunday....but the good news is we don't shovel snow rumors!