ChescoWx

As it shall this time as well!!

For those on Team Snow - I present the latest European AI model ensemble means run....the best weenie run I can find - so you mean there is a chance??

28.2 degrees DP 17.0

The HRRR tries to sneak the 2" line into NW Chesco and close to ABE....for snow weenies we present the snowiest latest models...

I suspect even that 1" up at ABE may be a bit overdone if the latest models are onto something...850's a bit toasty

November finished as our 3rd below average temperature month over the last 4 months. December looks to also be getting off to a well below normal temperature start. Sunny today but with temperatures almost 10 degrees below normal for highs. Clouds roll in tonight with some snow arriving toward dawn. The Winter Weather Advisory starts at 4am for Western Chester County. Any snow to start should quickly change to sleet and then rain with little if any accumulation. That said with the timing near rush area it may be a bit slippery for the morning commute. High temperatures Tuesday through Thursday will be in the mid 30's well below average but fall even further below average by Friday as the coldest air of the season arrives. Temperatures on Friday will stay in the 20's. Another wintry event is possible by Friday night into Saturday.

November finished as our 3rd below average temperature month over the last 4 months. December looks to also be getting off to a well below normal temperature start. Sunny today but with temperatures almost 10 degrees below normal for highs. Clouds roll in tonight with some snow arriving toward dawn. The Winter Weather Advisory starts at 4am for Western Chester County. Any snow to start should quickly change to sleet and then rain with little if any accumulation. That said with the timing near rush area it may be a bit slippery for the morning commute. High temperatures Tuesday through Thursday will be in the mid 30's well below average but fall even further below average by Friday as the coldest air of the season arrives. Temperatures on Friday will stay in the 20's. Another wintry event is possible by Friday night into Saturday.

Of course official NWS measurements are never made on concrete or driveways. A good mailbox or wood deck can work quite well for snow measuring if you don't have a trusty snowboard like some of us weather weenies employ!! LOL!!

Nice map IMHO!! As you mention I suspect an adjustment will be needed tomorrow...a nice 50 mile NW in snow accumulations may well hit the mark! Thanks!!

All that said the ensemble run held serve or even increased amounts a bit.....so you say there is a chance??

All of the models have started to reduce snow totals by at least an inch from the last run....

Following our 0.5” of snow this morning - some light rain will continue into early this afternoon. We clear up tonight and remain chilly with well below normal temperatures for the entire upcoming work week. Our next winter event looks to arrive as snow toward Tuesday morning before a slow transition from snow to rain from southeast to northwest across the area. Some models are showing a plowable event for NW Chesco and into Berks and Lehigh counties. But as we all know we do not shovel model snow. The current NWS early forecast has 2 to 4" possible for NW Chesco to about 1 inch down toward Chadds Ford in SE Chesco. Snow should turn to rain by late morning. We could see more snow arriving on Friday night, so an early season arrival of winter type weather is on the way.

Following our 0.5” of snow this morning - some light rain will continue into early this afternoon. We clear up tonight and remain chilly with well below normal temperatures for the entire upcoming work week. Our next winter event looks to arrive as snow toward Tuesday morning before a slow transition from snow to rain from southeast to northwest across the area. Some models are showing a plowable event for NW Chesco and into Berks and Lehigh counties. But as we all know we do not shovel model snow. The current NWS early forecast has 2 to 4" possible for NW Chesco to about 1 inch down toward Chadds Ford in SE Chesco. Snow should turn to rain by late morning. We could see more snow arriving on Friday night, so an early season arrival of winter type weather is on the way.

Sorry to hear of your loss. I too have a funeral on Tuesday.

The snow has just about ended and looks to be mixed with drizzle now. The 0.5" of snow we recorded in East Nantmeal this morning will make November 2025 the "snowiest" November since the 7.3" of snow we saw back in November 2018. This is the 10th November in the 22 years I have been at this location that we have received measurable snow during our 11th month. 2025-11-30_9-45-26.mp4

First measurable snow of the year with snow still falling here in NW Chesco

First measurable snow of the season here in NW Chester County - still snowing steadily

European ensemble snow greater than 1 inch probability has increased a bit at 12z with the 50% line down to Philly

European ensemble snow greater than 1 inch probability has increased a bit at 12z with the 50% line down to Philly

Latest European models 1/2 inch across SE Chesco to as much as 3" in NW Chesco and on up to the LV

Latest European

The 6z Euro ensemble and probability of 1" of snow. For Chesco from 40% in SE to 70% in NW....if I was a betting man or forecaster I would take the under. I suspect mainly rain to a slushy inch until North of ABE.

This morning was the coldest morning (26.1) here in East Nantmeal since last April 9th at 25.8. Warwick was the area cold spot at 22.1 degrees this morning. Sunny and chilly today with highs struggling to escape the 30's in the hills with low 40's in the valleys. Clouds increase tonight with some light snow or a mix of rain/snow arriving tomorrow morning before a quick change to plain rain. Monday looks sunny before snow arrives toward Tuesday morning. We should see a pretty steady transition from snow to rain from SE to NW across the area. The best chances for a small accumulation will be across far NW Chester County and into Berks and Lehigh counties. We keep temperatures well below normal all week with the coldest weather of the season arriving to close out the week. Temperatures on Friday may not even reach freezing for high temperatures.