snowfan

5 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

3k looks really good. Both NAMs look good with precip. What's the deal with Kuchera? 12:1-15:1 rates are what I thought we were expecting? I would expect the clown maps to be throwing out 6-8+, not actually giving us less than 10:1 rates.

You’re not getting 15:1. No one is expecting that.

CWG just posted its 7th update of the day. Most easily topping an inch w up to 4 or more N/W. 

1am DC

FOLKS!

BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible with whiteout conditions. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches are absolutely happening

* WHERE...Parrs Ridge, NE Carroll County, MD

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Impossible travel in this .5 sq mi area. Plan for fuel, bread, milk, and a few chickens for days.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are
  guaranteed and Visibility may be reduced to less than zero.

9 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Not sure that makes sense. Issue watches then lower totals lol 

It aligns with the watch, so in that sense it makes sense.

Just now, clskinsfan said:

Bernie is enjoying thirsty Thursday as well. Weenie post though. 

So we’re having a board meet up on the mall in dc at 2am? Randy is bringing the drinks. 

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

There is nothing to look forward to on the GFS

For the most part, the op has looked like shit in the extended for awhile now, but everyone keeps laughing at it and referring to the ensembles. 

If the NAM could just adjust the QPF min over one of your houses and not mine, I’d be good with it. 

Euro seems to be a bit on an island by not showing an sig decrease in snow in between the northern and southern maxes. 

I’m not a greedy person. I just want the 6z euro.

22 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I’m less concerned about the location of snowfall maximums as I am the recent increase in high elevation rain events.  As an avid skier who makes trips out west regularly I can attest that at many of these ski resorts the difference between a 250” season and a 350” season isn’t all that noticeable in terms of the quality of skiing once you get past early January.  
 

But in recent years there has been a marked increase in warm events that do impact the ski season in a significant way. Rain to elevations unheard of previously. Warm periods where temps get into the 40s and 50s even at 9000 feet!  These wreck the snow quality. And if you actually melt some of the snow in a season where snowfall is low, now it’s noticeable v just a low snow year but when it’s below freezing from Xmas to March!  
 

For 20 years I took a trip out west almost every season and not once had to cancel or change plans due to a freak thaw or rainstorm.  Sometimes conditions were epic and sometimes just good but never was the resort warning of significant closed terrain due to some freak rain or high temps. Winter Park, Vail, Aspen, Taos, Snowbird/Alta, snow basin, A-basin, Jackson, Revy, Breck, Steamboat… not once in all those trips to all those places did I encounter a sheet of ice or closed natural terrain mid winter.  But in the last 5 years 3 times now I’ve had to cancel a trip at the last minute because conditions were crap.  And one time last winter I took a chance and regretted it because Streamboat and Snowmass were both a sheet of ice and most of their expert terrain was un skiable. I could have skied that garbage here for much less.  The west finally got a huge dump just in the last 10 Days but as recently as early Feb many western resorts were still reporting only 80% open terrain. In Feb!  That’s ridiculous!  Many resorts in New England are still only 55-60% open in mid Feb!  
 

We don’t have to argue over why. But as an avid skier warm events affecting ski resorts is most definitely increasing lately. 

Sounds like some bad luck is playing a part in this to be honest. No different than good luck playing a hand in me not having these same issues going out west to places like Bachelor, Alta, Breck, etc.

Seasonal maxes shift around all the time. Many of those western resorts just had a killer season last yr. This yr it’s shifted north where Alyeska just went over 500” on the season…more than double what revelstoke has.

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I don't have the pretty snowfall maps.  But looks like DC is perilous, but barely stays snow.  Somebody get the soundings!

This is 1am for DC on the 3k NAM. Put me on salary. SMH.

The hole over DC means this is legit.

6z euro really nailed short pump.

@ers-wxman1your call on this winter back in….i wanna say December…..was pretty damn good so far. You got shit for it at the time, but nice job. I reserve the right to change my praise if we finish strong