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Everything posted by snowfan
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Lord….you already have ppl canceling next winter based on historical trends when ppl can’t even get this winter right based on historical trends. Take the seasonal approach and hold off on evaluating next winter until ya know…..closer to next winter.
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We are also now targeting post-Feb 20.
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And BN precip would be consistent with CPCs outlook for both 8-14 days and 3-4 weeks out.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Good radiational cooling night underway. Tipton airport topped out at 50 and is already down to 32.
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We are not far away from the time of year when retaining snow cover becomes a real challenge outside of the mountain west and interior New England. Doesn’t mean it can’t snow of course, but you need that early season snowfall And sustained cold to have big impact on snow cover outside the mountains.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Looks like we have at least another 7-10 days of AOA temps. Given trees/plants are already showing signs of early growth, I’m assuming we’re going to have some issues with late season cold killing things off.
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GFS op is just a continuation of the seasons long theme….active with a number of systems to look at, but marginal to crappy temps. Even at the end of the run, there are 50s/60s in the middle of the country on the way to OBY. I get it….LR looks promising on ensembles. That doesn’t always translate, but hopefully it will this yr.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Read the room. Many/most here would absolutely love that.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Can confirm…..just a bad winter stretch even out in Canaan. Such a stark contrast from two weeks ago. Here’s a snap from yesterday at Douglas falls.
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The post analysis of why this didn’t turn out to be an epic pattern will be glorious. I’m sure someone already has a few pages typed up just in case.
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Fire up the grills and open the pools for Super Bowl Sunday.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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As has been the case most of the winter, the airmass is crap. Verbatim, that would be a rate/time of day dependent wet pasting for the N/W areas. That said, it’s a positive to see both this system and the one that precedes it a few days showing up.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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It’s too soon to write off winter. We know we can score in Feb and March. That said, we’re losing ground quickly on the ability to retain said snow for a significant period of time. Id much rather have cold w a few inches on the ground for a few weeks than I would 6-8” that melts in 2 days.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Very solid trade. Nice move to solidify the starting rotation.
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Never a good thing when this thread turns into a trip down memory lane. If the 18z gfs op is close to accurate, we’ll have blooming daffodils and crocuses before the flip.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Natives are going to get restless if the ops don’t start showing some consistent hits in the LR.
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Do we really need two threads to track February? Get organized people. Can’t imagine how chaotic some of your desktops look.
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At least the gfs wasn’t a snore fest. We be tracking in a week or so.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
snowfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Something you’re not likely to see this year. -
Gorgeous morning in Canaan with undercast in the valley.
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Home opener is two months from today.
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Well, Chiefs-49ers it is. 9ers would tie the Pats and Steelers for most rings if they win.
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That schedule next yr is no easy task. Currently the 2nd toughest schedule for ‘24. Bengals, Steelers, Browns, Bills, Eagles at home Cowboys, Texans, Bucs, Steelers, Browns, Bengals, Chiefs, Chargers on the road