Stormpc

All positive trends for next Tuesday / Wednesday. Hopefully Richmond area isn't in between both systems. As it stands right now it's very possible. But of course things change. Hopefully you all get a little taste before the Arctic blast takes hold. Whatever you get is going to stay around a while (from Sunday night). Looks like you have to be north of Fredericksburg to taste anything with this one.

6Z AI EURO a considerable jump NW...FYI [For Tuesday/Wednesday]

Yes. So far. GFS slowly worked its way back to the northwest. Hopefully Euro follows suit. It doesn't take much for the euro to move to get me but a little bit of work to do to get up to the central and Western parts of our area. Plenty of time.

EURO still scraping the coast and gone. It'd be nice to see some movement inland there. Otherwise I'm not buying anything. Great potential though. Like nothing I've seen in the 7 years I've been down here. There's an actual chance of a bonafide snow storm through Dixie and into the carolinas. Hopefully the EURO starts creeping back Northwest.

Yes that mid-week storm to the South is good for us folks in Hampton Roads and Northeast North carolina. We want it right there right now actually. Selfishly I would cash that check as well as advertised

I need what the Canadian is advertising. 16inches in Currituck looks about right. That'll do. Thank you

Going to be lots of fake outs the next few days. Let's start with the Weekend event and deal with the rest in 5 days. It's all over the place. If you can lock in the morning runs for Richmond you would do it right now.

Wild run to run differences. Need to first figure out the weekend wave before getting a handle on the 21st/ 22nd. All potential outcomes are there are depending upon your preferred model run. Pretty crazy. Interesting part is this weekend's situation is not close to model consensus and it's Wednesday already.

We're heading into Prime Mid-Atlantic snow season. The next 3 weeks is historically the most active for our area. Feeling good about some threats. Lots of cold air lurking. Southern stream looks active. EURO not really budging on the 10 day threat like the GFS and Canadian. In the meantime this looks to be a fairly benign transition week with seasonal temperatures before whatever happens this weekend sets us up for a possibly active period. Until then its fun to look at things at fantasy range. Some of those Southern Solutions are comical. Imagine though?

I like the Miller A on the EURO. Classic east coast bomb. Been showing up around the 20-22 Jan period on both globals in one form or another. Probably our next best window.

Yes I was long asleep by then. The South Winds really did nothing to the surface temperatures since they were down to 32 or 33 all the way near Wilmington but it got warm up top pretty fast. Once we lost the rates that was it. With all the waterways there's so many microclimates around here. It's a very challenging place in all seasons. I do believe there are better days ahead with at least one or two more legitimate shots.

The chase is more fun than the actual result I think. It lasts a lot longer.

Under an inch...Probably. 5 to .8 before it flipped it to freezing rain during that second batch. Never got above 32. Still at freezing right now. The trees are glazed. Otherwise whatever snow fell is matted own into a sloppy coating. About what I expected. Hoped for 1.5, got half. But for a living right on the shore of the Currituck the temperature was not the problem. Warming aloft did us in and everyone across the south side and away from the peninsula and further north. Still looked really nice for about an hour when everything was covered including the streets. In the end all the ideas of the heaviest snows being south and east of Richmond was correct. Fun little event.

First band ready to push off the coast. Little bit of a lull ready to push into the south side of Hampton Roads and Northeast North Carolina before the Redevelopment out by Rocky Mount comes through. I suspect that will be something other than snow here but it looks real nice now. Everything is covered. Looks like a real storm. 31.0/29. I've got my fix for the year. I'm good. Enjoy this further north. I'm hoping everyone gets a little surprise.

I've got the dreaded huge flakes though. Might pile up quicker but the nose is heading in... you can see it in the reflectivity bright banding. I think that lull will be coming through here within the hour and whatever else comes after that is going to be sleet or freezing rain or just plain rain down here. We will see. I'll probably be sleeping.

31.8 steady light snow everything getting covered including pavement finally. Looks like that heavier band is up across Newport News south of Williamsburg and to the southwest. Look at some traffic cams. Anyway still flakes 14 miles south of VA border

Steady light snow. All of the sleet mixed out. Winds picked up. 33.5 still. Goods are incoming next 90 minutes.

It's happening now. Right about when we all thought. 10:00 p.m. was my guess at start time in this area. 33.5 with spitting snow and Light sleet. Soon as the heavy returns get here we will be in business for a little while before I flip. Hopefully I can get an hour of decent snow. Radar looking pretty decent downstream.

Light snow/sleet mix, 34 Currituck. Just started.

In my opinion that's a great map. Best one I've seen.

I think Northern sections of Norfolk and Virginia Beach can hold on through most of it as long as there's no easterly component to the wind. I think that's where the battle line sets up. Everything south of 264 is gonna flip. My guess. We'll see. Still 6 to 8 hours away from first flakes

No way man!! USA,USA!

I think around the southern edges it didn't do as well but it nailed everything from Fredericksburg up through Baltimore... from the Blue Ridge over to the oceans in Maryland and Delaware to the beaches. It was actually one of the only models that had the northern Edge trimmed properly. Maybe didn't do so hot on the south side but looking beyond just a few spots it did pretty damn well. I would never discount the euro.

Win? Let the event happen before you crown a victor.

I want to see ground truth and what this does the next 12 to 16 hours in the Deep South into South Carolina and western North carolina. Which side of the frozen spectrum they see as compared to what these models are spewing out. So many variables. It's interesting yet comical but it certainly looks like from Newport News up to Richmond there's going to be a good hit.