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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Reckless? It’s the reality. Tossed.
  2. CoastalWx
    Tossed
  3. CoastalWx
    HRRR is most certainly warmer than 6z.
  4. CoastalWx
    You're on the line, I'd probably slide you into the 8-12 to be honest.
  5. CoastalWx
    You should do better than that no? What does GYX have?
  6. CoastalWx
    Yeah he can be confusing. He talked about torches, wanting his driveway and chicken path cleared etc. Then he throws fresh eggs around the coop when the euro gave him 6”.
  7. CoastalWx
    We tried to tell Brian and Lava.
  8. CoastalWx
    Jeez Runaway, glad you guys are ok.
  9. CoastalWx
    That’s doable. Part of the issue is how this comes in. Sometimes it’s like a 2-3hr burst and then gets showery. That will get you the lower end. If it comes in like a wall and really regenerates north of the dry slot because of the 850 WF then higher end of range is possible. That I don’t know.
  10. CoastalWx
    I think the 6z euro actually looks decent. It has a big swath of heavier QPF north of the pike which probably happens given the 850WF look and good forcing there. Would like to see that south before we sleet, but a good thump regardless. I still expect a chunk of sleet and maybe even a touch of light rain or drizzle before maybe another inch of snow to end it. Perhaps a little more if we briefly CJ.
  11. CoastalWx
    If anything NAM will bring the low over Hoth.
  12. CoastalWx
    Euro made the move as expected.
  13. CoastalWx
    WTF seriously?
  14. CoastalWx
    I'm thinking still 4-7, 5-8ish around here still. If the 12z runs don't change much, maybe I'll up it a tad.
  15. CoastalWx
    That was for RTD throwing buns around.
  16. CoastalWx
    Comparing the runs from 00z including GFS, NAM definitely has the most movement all over the country, so typical NAM issues perhaps. Regardless, it's a srn stream system with a SE ridge. I would say 8/10 times these have ticks north in them. Maybe this is the time where they don't...but I would have your hard hat on stanbdby.
  17. CoastalWx
    Everything looks fine to me. Still a signal on the 2nd to 3rd on EPS. Then a relaxation 4-5 or so before some more chances. It's not a lock by any means if the PNA drops though. But it is sort of an overrunning look. Latitude ftw.
  18. CoastalWx
    You’re fine where you are.
  19. CoastalWx
    These will slide north a bit.
  20. CoastalWx
    They won’t be big moves, but ticks coming.
  21. CoastalWx
    And especially those in NJ. Yikes.
  22. CoastalWx
    Yeah. I’m not sure the nam will happen but 8-12” to Taunton will be lowered.
  23. CoastalWx
    Tblizz not understand how these work.
  24. CoastalWx
    It’s probably too far north, but I’m not sold on some of these snowy solutions.
  25. CoastalWx
    At least BOX circle that area south of pike as greatest uncertainty. They’ll have to take em down there I think.
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