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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Except they have warmed too. I'd feel better Union north.
  2. You should use 10:1 before the sleet. That was way too low over areas getting snow.
  3. Pike south will be hard to get double digits I think.
  4. Reggie ticked colder too. Quite the snowy solution near and just north of pike.
  5. Might be the time where it tries to wash out for an hour or two.
  6. Wow at 12z, the 18z NAM has a wicked 850 front near the south coast. Going to dump in that 12z-15z...whatever precip falls.
  7. Comparing to 12z, primary and WAA weaker out in NY state. Also, battleground over my house for a couple of hours lol.
  8. I think the clouds were a little more robust hence the colder temps. Airmass isn't surprisingly colder or anything like that.
  9. I don't think it will be all that cement like as snow. It's cold aloft. Maybe near the end, but I'm not sure this is a paste job with it so cold just above me.
  10. It's kind of a low confidence area. Even here I don't have a good feel.
  11. I don't think it will be all out winter, no. But, I could see one of those deals where maybe we have a rain or mixed event, cold comes in, sets up for another wintry event...but then 4 days later it gets milder again....something like that. That's a big block with help from some ridging near nrn Greenland. So while the PV doesn't have the punch it would have in January....I still think it gives chances here, but latitude will matter.
  12. Yeah at least it didn't change much. Also the other mesos are colder....I feel like after the Feb4th event, I almost can't trust those. The FV3??? I can't wait for that POS to take over the NAM.
  13. Tough to tell with Reggie. Seems like noise with precip rates too. I don't see a huge change from 6z.
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