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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Might have to watch that low off the SE coast too. If that intensifies a bit, it might shift the baroclinic zone SE a tad. You'll also want to see if the heights across SE Canada are lower (aids in a bit more confluence). The 12z GEFS did do that compared to 00z.
  2. We'll see what the rest of the 12z stuff does, but I don't know if this is a candidate for SE ticks from where it's modeled now.
  3. It's a strong S/W so this won't come SE much if at all. I'd rather be in NY state or VT into Nrn NH.
  4. That's a deep trough, still don't like the looks of much winter in SNE outside maybe Berks. We'll see.
  5. Yeah it's not totally elevation dependent. It will matter though to a point.
  6. No that was for the weekend chance....if that even happens in SNE. Elevation will matter somewhat tomorrow, but if he has 2SM -SN...it won't do much even on top of the massif.
  7. LOL, but it's a different environment now. I usually stay conservative here in these setups. We'll see. I know you don't want to hear it, but SG looks decent up by you.
  8. I don't see 4"unless somehow it came down good. Maybe 1-3.
  9. Yeah that’s the period of good banding. But it almost has competing areas for awhile. It’s a gulf system so it will have juice. I just thought it would have a bit more QPF, but I’m not really changing my thoughts either way. It does have a good period of WAA which will help.
  10. Nam is a little disorganized to me. It does have a brief period of good banding though.
  11. NAM still Blows its load to the south. I’d like to see that more north.
  12. Yep. If I can pull at least 2” Of picturesque snow I’ll take it.
  13. Hrrr soundings are pretty good. Bit of an unstable layer at the top of the saturated layer so could be some good bands.
  14. He only gets wood if It’s elevation dependent.
  15. Kevin means the sun angle argument. But yeah overall it’s a warmer month. But it has a tenacity to linger with it basically being solar winter. But honestly the argument should be more for December and not November.
  16. Could be a nice event from near winter wolf to elevated western RI? Obviously depends on trends.
  17. Tomorrow very much will be rate dependent probably outside of 600’ or so. It’s probably going to be a lot of 33F snow and then wet bulb to near 32 later in the day or within the heavier rates.
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