It's sort of elongated though, not wrapped up to give the prolonged heavy rates and wind. But that's what you'll need to see if you want any chance. Like Will said, I'd like for other guidance to move that way.
Might have to watch that low off the SE coast too. If that intensifies a bit, it might shift the baroclinic zone SE a tad. You'll also want to see if the heights across SE Canada are lower (aids in a bit more confluence). The 12z GEFS did do that compared to 00z.
No that was for the weekend chance....if that even happens in SNE. Elevation will matter somewhat tomorrow, but if he has 2SM -SN...it won't do much even on top of the massif.
LOL, but it's a different environment now. I usually stay conservative here in these setups. We'll see. I know you don't want to hear it, but SG looks decent up by you.