Nov 2002, 2004, Nov 2012 i think had a few there, Nov 2014 had a couple events add to maybe 3-4” there. So if you avg it out it’s probably only 1” in Nov and that’s from sporadic storms. Probably due for at least a small event.
Well I was comparing the EC weeklies and then using the 6-10 day from the latest EPS to show how bad the weeklies did from week 3 initialized on 10/27. My guess is the CFS weeklies also showed a torch too.
EPS suggests a gradient pattern may develop over New England at the end of the run. I wouldn’t call it a SE ridge, but as the flow tries to relax with EPO ridge retrogression, the ridging develops a tad heading into Greenland. At the same time Canada is very cold. So verbatim battle ground is over New England towards the end. What you want to see is that ridging in Greenland take over and help pin the cold into eastern Canada. I’m not sure I buy that at the moment.
Looks like if ORH doesn’t do it (I think they tickled 32 briefly?) next chance is Monday or Tuesday next week. Logan should do it too. Same here I suppose.