Hard not to like PFs spot (well especially the ski area) for this. Sure question of how far north the goodies get...but I feel like he's in a good spot here. Deeper into the cold, and probably near some mid level fronto.
HRRR is like 1-2 for Kev into ORH areas maybe 2-3 for Dave and Ineedweenies. I think those clown maps are more realistic as HRRR explicitly depicts snow unlike some other models. Caveat being 10:1 ratios shown and it likely will be less so probably lower range of totals?
Well the Nina forcing verbatim is very weak in that graphic. So it goes into Phase 8-1-2 type stuff which I believe would tend to be on the cooler side for us. But the signal is not strong. It's probably temporary...but I'd rather see that versus an Indian ocean signal that would torch us.
This is interesting. The MJO forcing really weakens. 850 easterlies weaken too. The Atlantic part looks to perk up a bit. Not sure what that might mean.
Doesn't look like much of a relaxation other than a few days next two weeks. Looks like the NAO region tries to assert itself as the Pacific relaxes a bit. That EPO ridge shows signs of moving east again very late in the run.