CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Yeah did not expect snow here lol. Won’t last long.
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snowing here in Marshfield
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@ORH_wxman I haven’t looked at MJO stuff but I wonder if a s/w placement change sort of caused those abrupt changes? I’m on my phone and can’t really analyze.
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Yep and big height changes out west. One of the reasons I was saying to Seymour snow why I felt better was the propensity of the SE ridge not to flex on the mean. I’m sure at times it may try, but we aren’t seeing those oranges and reds near the SE coast. Probably related to the EPO ridging being so poleward and also not that huge -PNA trough we saw in December. It’s sort of centered more north.
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Wow big change. I’d like to see 00z show that too. Not sure if it’s just that a s/w is in a different spot downstream and keeps the PNA higher or what. It does at least help confirm the trough not digging into it the Baja. I do want to see the PV further south though. Not that we need arctic air but for confluence purposes would want to see that further south and not retreat north.
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I’ll have to look! Away at the moment.
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I’ll be happy with 1”
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HRRR trying to finish off SNE.
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Yeah happy ending getting softer.
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I mean these next two events looked like shit for New England and now 50 miles away will have a solid pack by Thursday. So things are changing. We’ll get our turn hopefully.
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I don’t feel that negative looking ahead. This week sucks, but the models are giving us chances which is more than we have seen all winter. We will probably have to deal with cutters too, but that’s just how it goes.
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He’s coming
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Yeah, but these guys were just saying this now vs what you mentioned weeks or months ago. I don’t understand what they were looking at. Maybe just projecting?
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Yeah the north ticks eliminate that. I’d be fine with LGT-MDT steady stuff, but temps blow once again. Probably another C-1” deal here.
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Wish the ending wasn’t so flaccid but oh well.
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Not me lol. Kids and school. Anyways enjoy up there. Should be a good pack by tomorrow night.
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Well there’s work and school lol. Hopefully we can salvage something down here.
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Dude you’re going to get good snows. Take an edible.
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Yeah you’re in good shape overall even if you do mix or change to rain for a bit.
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Looks like Reggie has the Monday deal further north and a little more flaccid.
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Pretty quick flash over too. Won’t take hours to go NW-SE.
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I was more talking about tomorrow, but I do know what you mean. You wonder if the lower levels are modeled a little warm by a few degrees. That typically can/does happen, but lately hasn’t really materialized due to the lack of cold.
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The nrn part of the trough moving in starts to pinch off and close. When that happens, the CCB starts develop and you get a nice happy ending.
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The initial WAA stuff wasn’t south, but the CCB stuff did shift quite a bit.
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Not necessarily. Mid levels close off.
