CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Charts!! This was sent to me from a met friend. I like this view. Two things I noted. Go back to a week ago. 1) PNA trending more negative. (Shocker). 2) The NAO area with more ridging. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/mofc_multi_eps_family_hovmoller?area=North Hemisphere&base_time=202302130000¶meter=geopotential 500 hPa
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I don't think it's threading the needle. In fact, it squashes one event next week. There would be wiggle room. I almost want to see that one event squashed in lieu of something much bigger.
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Canadian would work.
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Take the under a bit on BHO. I think they were "excited."
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Yep, love to see that.
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LOL, trough extending into the EPAC. Where have we seen this before. Better hope that blocking holds. These ridge fold overs have been a trademark this winter.
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I've seen March 2018 as an analog too. I get it from a synoptic standpoint. Just wondering if there are similar ones with less prolific outcomes.
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GFS op is a good example of why you'll need a sizeable block. We squash a small system to our south later next week, but a beast of a low out west wants to run right into this thing shortly after.
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Well 1956 is prolific, so something perhaps more tame. Anyways, I think once again...the Pacific will help determine our fate. I feel like the NAO will flip negative, but if it's more of a lousy PAC (+EPO) then December comes back to haunt us I think.
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What would be a better analog snowfall wise?
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Sunday down here. Saturday...no lol.
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Ryan H too. Unfortunately there was a min near the river that year.
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MQE with a suspect total, but they had a few that season.
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Lots of s/w's too so it's possible the specific event and timing will shift a bit.
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We were just having fun. We ended up being pals to some locals who brought us around. Some others didn't find it as amusing.
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Canadian is probably drunk, but just saw it gives us a happy ending Friday night.
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Man that was epic. The mid level magic event. When all the models showed a great H7 look, soundings good, but little QPF. I think it was the RGEM that showed ern areas may get crushed. Still the heaviest snow I’ve ever driven in going to work at 5a. Had to follow the guardrail on the X-Way to know when there would be turns because vis was about 100’. Arrived to work to see Cantore in an MCS in Plymouth. Underrated event for Bob’s area to EWB. 20-23” there in a matter of hours.
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Yep. The whole floor was moving. Thought it would collapse. It also didn’t help we were yelling Bruins in the local’s faces and almost started a street fight.
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There is something refreshing about not exaggerating totals, no “in the hills, river east” etc.
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No KFS incorporated?
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Yeah for once we have some consistency. Not that it means much this far out, but it’s something.
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Well that looks makes sense with the overrunning signatures.
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1956 ain’t coming, but maybe we can get some action later next week.
